The opener of Tennessee -5 has been bet up to -6. We haven’t seen any buyback yet on the Browns…but at least Titans money stopped at that price. You’re hearing a lot of people in Las Vegas say “you just can’t bet on the Browns right how” because they were one of the few dogs not to get the money last week. It might take +6.5 or +7 to get the Wise Guys to bite. Dog lovers would definitely come in on the seven.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis:
It’s been a solid Jacksonville -3 all week. Some stores are starting to test Indy +3.5 because nobody was betting the Colts. The Jaguars haven’t been a good favorite this season. So, systems players will like the home dog. Pure “talent matchup” handicappers think the Colts are outmatched by almost everyone. That might cause a tug-of-war around the three this weekend. Not a game the public wants to bet.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh:
The opener of Pittsburgh -6 was bet down a tick to Cincinnati +5.5. Pittsburgh finally looked like their old selves last week at Kansas City. But, they didn’t put a lot of points on the board, making it hard to lay this big a number with them. Sharps who have been winning big with dogs took the six after figuring that was likely the best they’d see.
Baltimore at Minnesota:
An opener of Minnesota -4.5 is up to -5.5 because Baltimore is dealing with so many injuries. That’s not excitement about Case Keenum of the Vikings by any means. Very much “anti-Baltimore” money coming in. Dog players would hit the Ravens at +6 in what could be a defensive struggle. It’s hard to guess how much the public will drive up favorites this weekend because so many square bettors have gone broke in recent weeks laying so much chalk.
NY Jets at Miami:
A opener of Miami -3.5 was quickly bet down to the field goal, where it’s been all week. This is a revenge spot for the Dolphins, who looked impressive in the second half of their upset of Atlanta last weekend. But, it’s still Jay Cutler laying points…which usually puts Sharps on the other side. The Wise Guys took the hook when it was available. They’ll fade any move off the key number of three caused by public action.