Concacaf:
Trini/USA under 2.75 @-118 - this is just a knee-jerk reaction to USA's dismantling of Panama. I could be totally WRONG on this but to me, several factors to consider:
1) USA cant catch CR, a draw here is all they need (at worst, just a win)
2) Pulisic is not at 100%, he was injured last week and came off. he'll be there in the lineup but i wonder of his effictiveness, wont play full 90.
3) Arena. if anyone follows USA, youll understand what i mean about him. On the road.... in Concacaf....hes a conservative coach. just cant help himself; even with vastly superior players thru the years, his head wont allow him to think otherwise. its annoying.
4) Trinidad pitch is god-awful. always is. perhaps they mowed it this week, and plugged in those divots.... but i doubt it. and if anyone watched that Mexico game last week they sure as h*ll didnt roll over.
USA SHOULD/CAN blow these guys out but i trust Arena to fcuk up the normal nature of things and keep this waay closer than it should be. going back 10 years.... USA hasnt scored more than 2 goals here in the 5 visits we made. if you think Trini can score then the 'over' is golden. but in the past 5 H2H's they havent, so in my eyes its risky.
Honduras/Mexico BTTS @-105 - this should be a pretty open game with plenty of chances at both ends considering the scenario.
Conmebol: i give up trying to figure out if:
1) we'll see a WC w/out Messi 1a) Sampaoli is a knucklehead.
2) Chile can kick Brazils a** again.
3) Colombias mental state of mind
4) Paraguay still prematurely celebrating
5) Uruguays "meaningless game" approach.
just gonna enjoy these matches, one thing we should be seeing tonight is goals. a buddy made a nice comment over the wknd in that those games last week "coaches had a MONTH to prepare for one opponent, drop pts and tuesdays games are meaningless. right? hence the 'suprises'." i kinda agree with that logic.
now 4 days later, some with thousands of miles travelled, players nicked up. with all the pressure, lot of athletes could be running on fumes in the 2nd half tonight.
was gonna play a few individually, but instead.... put a decent chunk all on one and let it ride. if ecuador and venezuela score then this should hit.
messed up reasonings, i know but each match has a big 'variable' for me to even consider laying juice with anything.
5 game over 1.5 Conmebol Parlay @+278
GL to all