I like Penn State's chances of going on the road and securing a win over Rutgers. The Nittany Lions got a huge emotional boost this week when it was announce that they are immediately eligible for a bowl game.
Rutgers has opened up 2-0, but they have been less than impressive in doing so. While they beat Washington State on the road, the Cougars have looked awful in the early going and are one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Scarlet Knights then barely squeaked by Howard 38-25 as a 38-point favorite. The most telling stat in that game was that Howard actually outgained Rutgers 427 to 397 in total yards.
I believe the key factor here is the edge that Penn State has on the defensive side of the ball. The Nittany Lions have looked strong on that side of the ball, while Rutgers hasn't looked good at all. The Scarlet Knights gave up 532 yards passing against Washington State and 269 yards rushing against Howard. Penn State is going to have a much easier time moving the ball and that should allow them to win here by more than a field goal.
Key Trends - Rutgers is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 37 or more points in their last game, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games played in the month of September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning record.I like Penn State's chances of going on the road and securing a win over Rutgers. The Nittany Lions got a huge emotional boost this week when it was announce that they are immediately eligible for a bowl game.
Rutgers has opened up 2-0, but they have been less than impressive in doing so. While they beat Washington State on the road, the Cougars have looked awful in the early going and are one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Scarlet Knights then barely squeaked by Howard 38-25 as a 38-point favorite. The most telling stat in that game was that Howard actually outgained Rutgers 427 to 397 in total yards.
I believe the key factor here is the edge that Penn State has on the defensive side of the ball. The Nittany Lions have looked strong on that side of the ball, while Rutgers hasn't looked good at all. The Scarlet Knights gave up 532 yards passing against Washington State and 269 yards rushing against Howard. Penn State is going to have a much easier time moving the ball and that should allow them to win here by more than a field goal.
Key Trends - Rutgers is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 37 or more points in their last game, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games played in the month of September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning record.Iowa has three distinct advantages in this game- they are superior along both lines (even without LT Brandon Sherff who is likely out) and have a very strong advantage up the middle defensively, Iowa has the better QB in this game as Jake Rudock has thrown 93 passes so far this season without throwing an interception, and Iowa is going to run the ball extremely successfully in this game.
Last week Ball State took away the Iowa rushing attack and Iowa struggled to move the ball consistently until they put together strong drives in the fourth quarter to pull out a squeaker at home. Ball State consistently played all 11 defenders close to the line of scrimmage against Iowa in standard downs and took advantage of a limited audible system that basically changes a call to a short side inside or outside zone. Iowa will be more flexible offensively against ISU if they have to be and I look for Rudock to take advantage of an overly aggressive ISU defense early and for a combination of Mark Weisman and Jordan Canzeri to wear down a tired Cyclone defense once the Hawks take a two score lead. Iowa's offense is not without flaws entering this game, but they are facing a rush defense that is allowing 6.3 yards per rush and 8 rushing TDs in 85 rushing attempts. Iowa State's defense has yet to force a turnover this season and have only 3 sacks against 57 attempted passes. Iowa State doesn't have yet have anyone emerging as a play-maker on defense and 5 of their top 6 tacklers are defensive backs. ISU has only 5 tackles for loss so far this season.
Iowa State's offense has had one quarter in each game where they have played with their hair on fire and 6 quarters overall where they have done little. ISU is averaging only 3.3 yards per rush and no one on the team is averaging over 3.8 yards per rush. Mark Mangino has been brought in to marshal the offense, but this rebuild is going to take time. ISU knows the way to attack Iowa is to throw over the middle and they have a couple of tailbacks who can catch and run, but I am not sure Sam Richardson will have the time or poise to let that develop. ISU lost their best big play threat in Quenton Bundrage on the outside and Iowa should be able to key on the slippery Jarvis West in the passing game. Iowa State's offensive line will have their hands full against Iowa's front line. Iowa's defensive line has a combined 10 tackles for loss (with another 7 combined for the back 7) and they are allowing just 1.9 yards per carry. Iowa has yet to allow a single rushing or red zone TD this season. ISU is going to have to move the ball on big plays to have a chance in this game.
Both of these teams are a mess in the kicking game (although ISU does have a potential game changer in West as a returner). Iowa missed three field goals at home versus Ball State last week which may force Iowa to be more aggressive on Iowa State's side of the field offensively. Iowa State has yet to attempt a field goal this season. Iowa State has a decided advantage punting the ball so far this season and field position should be a big factor in this game.
Last season Iowa dominate ISU on the ground offensively and dominated Iowa State defensively for 3.5 quarters allowing two late TDs with the game all but decided. Iowa has struggled to run the ball so far this season and has lacked an identity on offense. I think Iowa goes with a heavy dose of Weisman in this game and stops the running back rotation they have been employing. Both of these defenses are likely to dare the opposing offense to attack down-field. I think Iowa will have more success in that aspect due to a huge mismatch for "move" tight end Jake Duzey matched against ISU's linebackers or safeties. I look for Iowa to take a big early lead and for Iowa backers to sweat a backdoor cover late in this game. Ultimately look for Iowa's defense to dictate terms to Iowa State's offense due to defensive line depth and Richardson's skittishness in the pocket.
Iowa has three distinct advantages in this game- they are superior along both lines (even without LT Brandon Sherff who is likely out) and have a very strong advantage up the middle defensively, Iowa has the better QB in this game as Jake Rudock has thrown 93 passes so far this season without throwing an interception, and Iowa is going to run the ball extremely successfully in this game.
Last week Ball State took away the Iowa rushing attack and Iowa struggled to move the ball consistently until they put together strong drives in the fourth quarter to pull out a squeaker at home. Ball State consistently played all 11 defenders close to the line of scrimmage against Iowa in standard downs and took advantage of a limited audible system that basically changes a call to a short side inside or outside zone. Iowa will be more flexible offensively against ISU if they have to be and I look for Rudock to take advantage of an overly aggressive ISU defense early and for a combination of Mark Weisman and Jordan Canzeri to wear down a tired Cyclone defense once the Hawks take a two score lead. Iowa's offense is not without flaws entering this game, but they are facing a rush defense that is allowing 6.3 yards per rush and 8 rushing TDs in 85 rushing attempts. Iowa State's defense has yet to force a turnover this season and have only 3 sacks against 57 attempted passes. Iowa State doesn't have yet have anyone emerging as a play-maker on defense and 5 of their top 6 tacklers are defensive backs. ISU has only 5 tackles for loss so far this season.
Iowa State's offense has had one quarter in each game where they have played with their hair on fire and 6 quarters overall where they have done little. ISU is averaging only 3.3 yards per rush and no one on the team is averaging over 3.8 yards per rush. Mark Mangino has been brought in to marshal the offense, but this rebuild is going to take time. ISU knows the way to attack Iowa is to throw over the middle and they have a couple of tailbacks who can catch and run, but I am not sure Sam Richardson will have the time or poise to let that develop. ISU lost their best big play threat in Quenton Bundrage on the outside and Iowa should be able to key on the slippery Jarvis West in the passing game. Iowa State's offensive line will have their hands full against Iowa's front line. Iowa's defensive line has a combined 10 tackles for loss (with another 7 combined for the back 7) and they are allowing just 1.9 yards per carry. Iowa has yet to allow a single rushing or red zone TD this season. ISU is going to have to move the ball on big plays to have a chance in this game.
Both of these teams are a mess in the kicking game (although ISU does have a potential game changer in West as a returner). Iowa missed three field goals at home versus Ball State last week which may force Iowa to be more aggressive on Iowa State's side of the field offensively. Iowa State has yet to attempt a field goal this season. Iowa State has a decided advantage punting the ball so far this season and field position should be a big factor in this game.
Last season Iowa dominate ISU on the ground offensively and dominated Iowa State defensively for 3.5 quarters allowing two late TDs with the game all but decided. Iowa has struggled to run the ball so far this season and has lacked an identity on offense. I think Iowa goes with a heavy dose of Weisman in this game and stops the running back rotation they have been employing. Both of these defenses are likely to dare the opposing offense to attack down-field. I think Iowa will have more success in that aspect due to a huge mismatch for "move" tight end Jake Duzey matched against ISU's linebackers or safeties. I look for Iowa to take a big early lead and for Iowa backers to sweat a backdoor cover late in this game. Ultimately look for Iowa's defense to dictate terms to Iowa State's offense due to defensive line depth and Richardson's skittishness in the pocket.
This may seem like a lot to lay on the road in a big rivalry game like this, but I think Georgia is the class of the SEC East. I look for the Bulldogs to go into South Carolina and have no problem winning by at least a touchdown.
I just haven't been impressed at all with South Carolina in their first two games. They looked awful at home in their opener and had to rally to beat East Carolina last week. Georgia on the other hand knocked off a good Clemson team by 24-points.
Georgia also has a big advantage here coming off a bye. They have had a full two weeks to prepare for the Gamecocks and they have to licking their chops offensively. I expected South Carolina's defense to take a step back with the loss of a talent like Jadeveon Clowney, but I didn't think they would be this bad. After giving up a whipping 680 yards of total offense to Texas A&M, the Gamecocks allowed another 453 yards to East Carolina. They are allowing 5 yards/rush and 7.8 yards/pass, with opposing quarterbacks completing 71.7% of their attempts.
Not only do I look for Georgia's offense to play well, but I like their chances of keeping South Carolina's offense in check. The Bulldogs allowed just 291 yards of total offense against Clemson and completely shutdown the Tigers rushing attack. Clemson had just 88 rushing yards on 43 attempts (2.0 yards/carry).
South Carolina is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play, while Georgia is 24-12 ATS in their last 36 road games after outgaining their opponents by 125 or more total yards in their previous contest.This may seem like a lot to lay on the road in a big rivalry game like this, but I think Georgia is the class of the SEC East. I look for the Bulldogs to go into South Carolina and have no problem winning by at least a touchdown.
I just haven't been impressed at all with South Carolina in their first two games. They looked awful at home in their opener and had to rally to beat East Carolina last week. Georgia on the other hand knocked off a good Clemson team by 24-points.
Georgia also has a big advantage here coming off a bye. They have had a full two weeks to prepare for the Gamecocks and they have to licking their chops offensively. I expected South Carolina's defense to take a step back with the loss of a talent like Jadeveon Clowney, but I didn't think they would be this bad. After giving up a whipping 680 yards of total offense to Texas A&M, the Gamecocks allowed another 453 yards to East Carolina. They are allowing 5 yards/rush and 7.8 yards/pass, with opposing quarterbacks completing 71.7% of their attempts.
Not only do I look for Georgia's offense to play well, but I like their chances of keeping South Carolina's offense in check. The Bulldogs allowed just 291 yards of total offense against Clemson and completely shutdown the Tigers rushing attack. Clemson had just 88 rushing yards on 43 attempts (2.0 yards/carry).
South Carolina is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play, while Georgia is 24-12 ATS in their last 36 road games after outgaining their opponents by 125 or more total yards in their previous contest.Zelo - Where do you get this stuff ? Obviously all of it is not your own because I see at least two, I think three games it is picked on both sides. No Big deal, would like to read this elsewhere too... Just asking,,...
Tell ya, College football is going to be easy as the years go on... Follow the Coach is a great motto.... Give them 1 or 2 years to turn it around and bet them every game... Always fade the new coach who is buddies with the players and school... I.e. Vanderbilt, Toledo,...etc..
Zelo - Where do you get this stuff ? Obviously all of it is not your own because I see at least two, I think three games it is picked on both sides. No Big deal, would like to read this elsewhere too... Just asking,,...
Tell ya, College football is going to be easy as the years go on... Follow the Coach is a great motto.... Give them 1 or 2 years to turn it around and bet them every game... Always fade the new coach who is buddies with the players and school... I.e. Vanderbilt, Toledo,...etc..
Just like betting bill clark at UAB... He is running up the ranks ad in no time will be leading a SEC school... Probably has one more step out of UAB to get their...
By the way... The list for this year, if you go to the home page you can access the 2013 changes... I am going to work on a spread sheet for their spread records if I get a chance... Just makes such a huge difference in a team.. Good coaching or nOT...
https://www.collegefootballpoll.com/coaching_changes_2014.html
Just like betting bill clark at UAB... He is running up the ranks ad in no time will be leading a SEC school... Probably has one more step out of UAB to get their...
By the way... The list for this year, if you go to the home page you can access the 2013 changes... I am going to work on a spread sheet for their spread records if I get a chance... Just makes such a huge difference in a team.. Good coaching or nOT...
https://www.collegefootballpoll.com/coaching_changes_2014.html
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