5-4 last week. Brings us to a season total of 16-12. Hilariously wrong on Michigan State last week. Probably just bad luck on Indiana/BG over (how many 4th and 1s were stuffed in that game?). It happens.
I'm a whole lot busier than last year, so I honestly don't expect to do as well, and I'm not jumping on the lines early Sunday. Sadly. But I still have thoughts, on a few games that seem under-the-radar (at least I haven't seen people hitting them hard). Here are a few of them. Tell me what you think:
*Cincy -23. I know this is down because of it being a road game and Miami's opportunity against a (semi-) big in-state school, but Miami is just really, really terrible this year. Which means they'll probably get killed.
*ULL -6. We saw Akron's best punch last week. We won't see it again this week. I think the Zips have improved, and I don't see a total dismantling, but I think ULL takes this by double-digits.
*Kansas State +5.5. I know Texas is better, but aren't we at the point where we just get out of the way and let them implode? And maybe make some cash on the way down.
*Nevada -9. Hawai'i has performed a bit better than I expected this year, but I still don't trust them off the island any farther than I can throw them.
*Wake/Army over 48. I realize that these are a couple of anemic offenses we're talking about. But you know what? These are also a couple of anemic defenses. Army will let Wake score because Army is bad at defense. Wake will let Army score because Wake hasn't learned their lesson from last year about bothering to defend the option.
*Kansas/LT under 52. Rice couldn't draw Kansas into a shootout--or even a moderately-scoring game--so I don't expect post-Dykes disaster Tech can do it.
I'm debating UNC against Georgia Tech, because usually a team with a bye week to prepare for the option is golden. The trouble is that UNC last year provided a notable exception to that rule--to the tune of 68 points. Has Koenning learned his lesson?
I'm a Vols fan. Want to know what I think about the game at UF? On paper, this is a clear instance of underdog and under. UF is a walking disaster on offense (and excellent on defense), and Tennessee is even worse. The Vols will be starting either a freshman (in his first ever start) or a junior who can't throw the ball more than 10 yards and has accuracy issues. That is to say, the offense is terrible. The only thing that keeps me from pulling the trigger (on the under especially) is that UT's defense has been magic for the Gator offense the last couple years. Last year's Florida offense was really, really bad. And scored 37 on Tennessee. Now is this year's Vols D that bad? Almost certainly not, since last year was the worst D in school history, and those responsible have been sacked. But the Gators seem to over-perform in this game consistently, and until I see them stop, I'm a bit nervous in putting my money behind my prediction of 24-14 Florida.
Also, NC State will beat Clemson for no apparent reason, because that's just the way the ACC works. Will I bet on it? No. It won't happen if I bet on it. Because that's just the way the ACC works.