Well, last week with Geno Smith or without Geno Smith the Jets won and covered. On to this crazy week in the NFL, I have been looking at a couple games but focused on this one due to line movement mostly. {Tampa starts as -1 favorite, goes up to -1.5 favorite, and then it goes to a pick em with a high percentage of bets on Oakland through out } The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have not won at home yet and the Oakland Raiders have yet to lose on the road. It isn't often in the NFL where a team can go undefeated on the road and not win (sorry Cleveland) at home. I am not saying Tampa Bay is the better overall team but I will take them in week 8 as a pick em. Oakland has traveled from coast to coast multiple weeks so far this season and now play a back to back road game scenario. They beat up on the Jags last week ya know so did Tennessee. My one play is the Bucs +0. Enjoy!
Well, last week with Geno Smith or without Geno Smith the Jets won and covered. On to this crazy week in the NFL, I have been looking at a couple games but focused on this one due to line movement mostly. {Tampa starts as -1 favorite, goes up to -1.5 favorite, and then it goes to a pick em with a high percentage of bets on Oakland through out } The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have not won at home yet and the Oakland Raiders have yet to lose on the road. It isn't often in the NFL where a team can go undefeated on the road and not win (sorry Cleveland) at home. I am not saying Tampa Bay is the better overall team but I will take them in week 8 as a pick em. Oakland has traveled from coast to coast multiple weeks so far this season and now play a back to back road game scenario. They beat up on the Jags last week ya know so did Tennessee. My one play is the Bucs +0. Enjoy!
The interpretation of this particular line movement would in my opinion have no correlation to the Oakland and Jaguars game. Obviously, the NFL is quirky and I am no genius I just think this particular line move suggests a push to get more and more bettors on Oakland. I don't suggest this is a trap game either. It is a combination of many factors and although Tampa Bay has a weak secondary the Raiders don't post much defensive punch either. Giving up 25.6 points per game and the most yards allowed in the league. just a few other factors other than my gut instinct.
The interpretation of this particular line movement would in my opinion have no correlation to the Oakland and Jaguars game. Obviously, the NFL is quirky and I am no genius I just think this particular line move suggests a push to get more and more bettors on Oakland. I don't suggest this is a trap game either. It is a combination of many factors and although Tampa Bay has a weak secondary the Raiders don't post much defensive punch either. Giving up 25.6 points per game and the most yards allowed in the league. just a few other factors other than my gut instinct.
May I add that this is the ultimate sandwich game as well. The Raiders just defeated their coaches former team, and following this game have their biggest game of the season on deck in the form of their coaches other former team and their hated rivals in a battle for the division lead. Many people will tell you how it's a great thing that the Raiders stayed in Florida all week. but i'm not so sure a young team feeling a little high on themselves and hanging in Florida all week is such a great thing. As you probably remember I am a huge Raiders fan but I have some progression/regression numbers I have been using this season with some success and they are strongly pointing at the Bucs taking my Raiders down this Sunday.
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
May I add that this is the ultimate sandwich game as well. The Raiders just defeated their coaches former team, and following this game have their biggest game of the season on deck in the form of their coaches other former team and their hated rivals in a battle for the division lead. Many people will tell you how it's a great thing that the Raiders stayed in Florida all week. but i'm not so sure a young team feeling a little high on themselves and hanging in Florida all week is such a great thing. As you probably remember I am a huge Raiders fan but I have some progression/regression numbers I have been using this season with some success and they are strongly pointing at the Bucs taking my Raiders down this Sunday.
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