No doubt, great season last year, but was lucky in quite a few games.. this year, schedule is not kind:
@UGA
@Bama
@KSU
@Ole Miss
@Miss St
LSU
What is everyone's thoughts? I can see 8-4 easily with that schedule...
I don't make many of these bets - usually one or two a season at the most, and will only bet if it's even or plus money.
First of all, I thought Auburn would be about a 6 or 7 win team last season, so I'm not sure how much credence you want to give my thoughts.
Auburn faces three teams that are more talented than them, Alabama, Georgia and LSU. Does that mean they will lose all of these games? Of course not. In fact they won 2 out of 3 last season, although a case could certainly be made they should have lost all three.
With an entire offseason to watch tape on Malzahn's offense, will defensive coordinators devise ways to slow it down this season? Malzahn's offense ground to a halt in 2011 in conference play, but of course Auburn also experienced a huge drop off in talent that season. So were the offensive struggles due to lack of talent, defensive coordinators devising better game plans, or a combination of the two?
While I think the answer is probably a combination of the two, for me personally I think the drop off in talent was the biggest factor.
It's not uncommon to see big improvements in a coach's second season, and Malzahn brings back a QB who led him to the title game last season. So traditional thinking finds that Marshall will only improve in his second season running Malzahn's attack, which understandably leads many to think Auburn won't drop much from last season, if any.
I tend to think that Auburn will lose a couple of games this season, but I'm not prepare to predict they'll lose 4 games. With their schedule it is certainly possible, but I won't bet on that happening.
I will pass on the play.
I don't make many of these bets - usually one or two a season at the most, and will only bet if it's even or plus money.
First of all, I thought Auburn would be about a 6 or 7 win team last season, so I'm not sure how much credence you want to give my thoughts.
Auburn faces three teams that are more talented than them, Alabama, Georgia and LSU. Does that mean they will lose all of these games? Of course not. In fact they won 2 out of 3 last season, although a case could certainly be made they should have lost all three.
With an entire offseason to watch tape on Malzahn's offense, will defensive coordinators devise ways to slow it down this season? Malzahn's offense ground to a halt in 2011 in conference play, but of course Auburn also experienced a huge drop off in talent that season. So were the offensive struggles due to lack of talent, defensive coordinators devising better game plans, or a combination of the two?
While I think the answer is probably a combination of the two, for me personally I think the drop off in talent was the biggest factor.
It's not uncommon to see big improvements in a coach's second season, and Malzahn brings back a QB who led him to the title game last season. So traditional thinking finds that Marshall will only improve in his second season running Malzahn's attack, which understandably leads many to think Auburn won't drop much from last season, if any.
I tend to think that Auburn will lose a couple of games this season, but I'm not prepare to predict they'll lose 4 games. With their schedule it is certainly possible, but I won't bet on that happening.
I will pass on the play.
I played Auburn under 9.5, -130. I think Malzahn is an excellent coach, but going 10-2 or better in the SEC is like going 12-0 in other conferences. Outside of Alabama I don't think any other team has consistently had 10-win success in the SEC. I think they lose at least 1, possibly 2 during the stretch of LSU, at Miss St, (bye), So Carolina, at Ole Miss. Then I see losses at Georgia and at Alabama. K State could also be a challenge.
If they go 10-2 and hit the over, hats off to them. If I happen to lose, I don't think I'm gonna look back and think "that was a bad bet". GL whatever you decide.
I played Auburn under 9.5, -130. I think Malzahn is an excellent coach, but going 10-2 or better in the SEC is like going 12-0 in other conferences. Outside of Alabama I don't think any other team has consistently had 10-win success in the SEC. I think they lose at least 1, possibly 2 during the stretch of LSU, at Miss St, (bye), So Carolina, at Ole Miss. Then I see losses at Georgia and at Alabama. K State could also be a challenge.
If they go 10-2 and hit the over, hats off to them. If I happen to lose, I don't think I'm gonna look back and think "that was a bad bet". GL whatever you decide.
Coincidentally, the Vikings are my favorite NFL team, and of all the QBs in the draft, I wanted Bridgewater. I honestly didn't think the Vikings would get him when the passed on him with their first pick, but amazingly he slid all the down to the last pick of the 1st round. I think he's a very good bet to be the rookie of the year if he gets a chance to play.
Coincidentally, the Vikings are my favorite NFL team, and of all the QBs in the draft, I wanted Bridgewater. I honestly didn't think the Vikings would get him when the passed on him with their first pick, but amazingly he slid all the down to the last pick of the 1st round. I think he's a very good bet to be the rookie of the year if he gets a chance to play.
Excellent post!!!
Excellent post!!!
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