Gimme the better guards in this situation every time.
Chicago's guards are awful. Charlotte has a similar small quick backcourt to Milwaukee and they were able to win by 10 as 10 point underdogs in Chicago on New Year's Eve.
Milwaukee is playing back to back. I'm assuming this is why the line is so high. Milwaukee does not have a player the caliber of Noah. However they do have a slew of above average rebounders and noone logs 30 minutes besides Jennings and Ellis who could probably play 6 days a week.