Was big on the Falcons last week but this is a perfect spot to fade them here. Falcons shutting out the superbowl champs then having to travel to face a team that just got embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the league.
This has been a disappointing season for the Lions to say the least but last week definitely hurt there ego's. Lions rebound here and give the Falcons there third loss of the year.
- Teams beating the Super Bowl champs are 18-30 ATS(37%) the following week
- Teams with 11 wins or more as road favorites are 9-29 ATS (23%) past 9 years.
- Teams who lose by 30 points or more ATS and home dogs of 3 or more are 12-1 ATS(92%) past 10 years.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Love the Bills here as well for my 2nd and final play of the week. Dolphins defense shutting down the Jaguars last week while the Bills got creamed at home.
- Teams who lose by 30+ points and are dogs between 3 and 6 are 17-3 ATS(85%) past 6 years
- Teams who allow 7 or less points last week at home with a home Sunday game this week are 4-18 ATS(18%) past 4 years
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Was big on the Falcons last week but this is a perfect spot to fade them here. Falcons shutting out the superbowl champs then having to travel to face a team that just got embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the league.
This has been a disappointing season for the Lions to say the least but last week definitely hurt there ego's. Lions rebound here and give the Falcons there third loss of the year.
- Teams beating the Super Bowl champs are 18-30 ATS(37%) the following week
- Teams with 11 wins or more as road favorites are 9-29 ATS (23%) past 9 years.
- Teams who lose by 30 points or more ATS and home dogs of 3 or more are 12-1 ATS(92%) past 10 years.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Love the Bills here as well for my 2nd and final play of the week. Dolphins defense shutting down the Jaguars last week while the Bills got creamed at home.
- Teams who lose by 30+ points and are dogs between 3 and 6 are 17-3 ATS(85%) past 6 years
- Teams who allow 7 or less points last week at home with a home Sunday game this week are 4-18 ATS(18%) past 4 years
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Zephyr_10 + Magic_Steam - Biggest game of the year for both teams and on primetime. Have to like the under.
alecboyh - Cowboys usually choke in must win situations + they just won an emotional game in overtime last week. However, Saints just shut there opponent out so there in a tricky spot themselves. I think the Cowboys are still the overall better team here so I'd have to lean towards them. Saints are just an average team on the road.
Zephyr_10 + Magic_Steam - Biggest game of the year for both teams and on primetime. Have to like the under.
alecboyh - Cowboys usually choke in must win situations + they just won an emotional game in overtime last week. However, Saints just shut there opponent out so there in a tricky spot themselves. I think the Cowboys are still the overall better team here so I'd have to lean towards them. Saints are just an average team on the road.
Bills lost because they are terrible. The line is injured, their coach is making horrible decisions, and the players gave up. Do not bet the Bills you will regret it.
Bills lost because they are terrible. The line is injured, their coach is making horrible decisions, and the players gave up. Do not bet the Bills you will regret it.
LC - Maybe I'm confused. Miami did not play a division team last week. They played a conference team. And... This week they are not a dog - they are a favorite.
LC - Maybe I'm confused. Miami did not play a division team last week. They played a conference team. And... This week they are not a dog - they are a favorite.
LC - Maybe I'm confused. Miami did not play a division team last week. They played a conference team. And... This week they are not a dog - they are a favorite.
???
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Break it down..
.Division favorites ( Miami this week is a division favorite (-4) )
Miami will be a divisional dog next week (at New england)
So teams in Miami's position are 13-41 ATS in the last 5 years.
LC - Maybe I'm confused. Miami did not play a division team last week. They played a conference team. And... This week they are not a dog - they are a favorite.
???
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Break it down..
.Division favorites ( Miami this week is a division favorite (-4) )
Miami will be a divisional dog next week (at New england)
So teams in Miami's position are 13-41 ATS in the last 5 years.
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Break it down..
.Division favorites ( Miami this week is a division favorite (-4) )
Miami will be a divisional dog next week (at New england)
So teams in Miami's position are 13-41 ATS in the last 5 years.
simple.
Thanks for the explanation. Got it. But I think that trend is a stretch to use. Nonetheless, Buffalo's GM (Buddy Nix) has been talking about moving up in the draft for the last 2 weeks...
They do not "want" to win (even if they could)... I wouldn't be surprised if they played somebody else at QB on Sunday.
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS(24%) past 5 years
Break it down..
.Division favorites ( Miami this week is a division favorite (-4) )
Miami will be a divisional dog next week (at New england)
So teams in Miami's position are 13-41 ATS in the last 5 years.
simple.
Thanks for the explanation. Got it. But I think that trend is a stretch to use. Nonetheless, Buffalo's GM (Buddy Nix) has been talking about moving up in the draft for the last 2 weeks...
They do not "want" to win (even if they could)... I wouldn't be surprised if they played somebody else at QB on Sunday.
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