Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

Nov 6, 2013 |
Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
Tre Mason is coming off an SEC Offensive Player of the Week performance.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Tre Mason is coming off an SEC Offensive Player of the Week performance.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Click here for Saturday's late games.

Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+35, 55)

As national title talk for the Seminoles goes, so goes Heisman Trophy chatter for quarterback Jameis Winston. The redshirt freshman leads the ACC in total offense (331.9 yards per game), passing average (312.8), pass efficiency (201.1) and passing touchdowns (24). Winston's 2,502 passing yards is already the sixth-highest total among ACC freshmen all-time and he is on pace to become the most prolific freshman quarterback in conference history.

Michael Campanaro, the Demon Deacons' all-time leading receiver with 229 receptions for 2,506 yards, is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks with a broken collarbone. Sherman Ragland III will be leaned on in Campanaro's absence and the sophomore performed well against Syracuse, stepping up to set career bests by grabbing 10 receptions for 91 yards. Quarterback Tanner Price ranks fourth in the ACC with 1,956 passing yards,

The Seminoles have held steady as 35-point favorites, with the total currently 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies.

* Seminoles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
* Demon Deacons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Under is 13-3 in Wake Forest's last 16 games on fieldturf.

Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (+13.5, 56)

Redshirt freshman QB Maty Mauk has kept the Tigers' high-powered offense on track with James Franklin (shoulder) sidelined, and he had his best game yet in a 31-3 win over Tennessee last week. Missouri rolled up 339 rushing yards against the Volunteers and ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The defense has been overshadowed somewhat but Missouri ranks fourth in the SEC in scoring defense (20.6).

The Wildcats have struggled in coach Mark Stoops' first season, but they've been close to pulling off a quality win with narrow defeats at South Carolina and Mississippi State. The offense was impressive last week, albeit against Alabama State, as Whitlow rushed for 101 yards and two touchdowns and threw for two more scores. Kentucky has faced trouble stopping the run, allowing 197.6 yards per game.

LINE: The Tigers opened -14 and are now -13.5, with the total set at 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.

* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an SU win.
* Over is 18-7-1 in Kentucky's last 26 games following an ATS win.

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 55)

The Tigers feature the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack (306.2 yards per game), led by running back Tre Mason, who rushed for 168 yards and four touchdowns last week to earn SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Auburn did not know if quarterback Nick Marshall would start last week because of a shoulder injury, but the junior finished with 177 yards of total offense and is expected to be completely healthy against Tennessee.

The Volunteers have to shore up their run defense after allowing a season-high 339 yards on the ground against Missouri. Tennessee has allowed 76 points the past two weeks in losses to Alabama and Missouri. Dobbs completed 26-of-42 passes against Missouri and is the third freshman to start at quarterback for Tennessee in the past four years.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 7-point fave, while the total opened at 55.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the high-50s.

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records.
* Volunteers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 9-4 in Tennessee's last 13 conference games.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5, 59.5)

Former walk-on defensive end Ryan Mueller was named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Week after posting seven tackles (including two for loss) and one sack. Sparked by Mueller’s effort, the Wildcats allowed only one offensive snap inside their 20 and held Iowa State to 249 total yards, narrowly missing out on its first shutout in a conference game since 2003.

Despite being the focal point of the Cowboys’ defense last Saturday, Jace Amaro set career highs with 15 catches and 174 receiving yards – becoming the first Red Raider since Michael Crabtree to record at least eight receptions in eight straight games. Amaro also logged his fourth consecutive 100-yard game, the most by a Texas Tech player since Crabtree posted seven in a row in 2007.

LINE: Texas Tech opened as at 2.5-point favorite and the total opened at 59.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures are expected to be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.

* Wildcats are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Red Raiders are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit home loss.
* Over is 23-9 in Texas Tech's last 32 games.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies (-19, 66.5)

The Bulldogs are on pace to break a 31-year-old school-record for total offense, averaging 447.1 yards, and Prescott is the catalyst. He has rushed for 100 yards or more three times and has accounted for 17 touchdowns. The Bulldogs' secondary was shredded against LSU and Auburn but has allowed only 312 passing yards over the past two games.

Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel has put on quite an encore after his Heisman Trophy campaign as a redshirt freshman, and he ranks fifth in the nation with 2,867 passing yards to go along with 564 rushing yards and accounting for 34 touchdowns. He has one of the nation's top receivers in Mike Evans, who needs 61 receiving yards to surpass Ryan Swope's school record of 1,207 in 2011. D

LINE: Texas A&M is a 19-point favorite after opening at -18. The total has held steady at 66.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies.

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on grass.
* Under is 9-3 in Texas A&M's last 12 games following an ATS win.

Brigham Young Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers (-8, 55.5)

Outside linebacker Kyle Van Noy leads the Cougars’ defense, ranking second among active FBS players in career sacks with 26. Hill is a dangerous dual threat, passing for 339 yards and three touchdowns in BYU’s 37-20 victory over Boise State on Oct. 25. The sophomore is sixth in the nation averaging 357.5 yards of total offense per game, and has completed 65.4 percent of his passes during the Cougars’ five-game winning streak.

White scored two touchdowns in last week’s 28-9 victory over Iowa, and leads all active FBS players in career rushing touchdowns (41) and total touchdowns (43). The Badgers average 7.26 yards per play, leading the Big Ten and ranking seventh in the nation. The Wisconsin defense gets particularly tough in the red zone, leading the country in holding opponents out of the end zone 61.9 percent of the time.

LINE: Wisconsin opened -7.5 and is now -8. The total is currently 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 12 mph.

* Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
* Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Under is 16-5 in BYU's last 21 games against teams with winning records.

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