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Quote Originally Posted by Skipbone: It's easier to pass than run after a short week? Where is the data to support that premise? The sample size of Thursday night games is too small too make a viable analysis. My statement was based on logic. There is data that says RB's are injured 3x more often than WRs. They take the most punishment and require the most recovery time. If you decrease recovery time, you decrease his performance capacity. QB/WR/TE may not be hit in the previous game. A RB is guaranteed to be hit a min 15-30x. There are lots of articles that quote players complaining about Thurs games…Read some.
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Covers | 71 |
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Yet, you are still reading the posts.
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Covers | 71 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert: With 70% of the public on Indy ........... this just doesn't make sense. both of these teams are going to be 8-8 when the season's done. Give me the home team getting 3. Again, this just makes no sense, 70% of the pub on the road fav here, what am I missing? What your missing is Houston has Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Colts have Luck. 90% of the time, the public is going to favor the better QB. I think the public happens to be right in this one. It's much easier to pass after a short week, than it is to run. If Houston covers, they'll need a few TO's. It would probably be wise to wait til close to kick off if you like Hou. You may be able to get 3.5. I don't bet spreads of less than 4, so I think Colts ML is the $$.
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Covers | 71 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HughJardon: Gb at home on Thursday night game where home teams dominate (last week in Washington not withstanding), an injured rookie QB with bum receivers and a back up RB and the line drops from 9 to 7.5? Something fishy here. This line should have opened at 13 and held strong. There is no reason to like the Vikings in this match up and Vegas sets the line BEGGING for people to take the chalk, and the line still moves down. This game needs to be monitored right up until kickoff before making a play. Somebody knows something that hasn't been announced yet. This is the smartest post yet
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Covers | 108 |
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Quote Originally Posted by smarterthanyou: ^but what is the $$$ %? I don't know where you can find that data. If you do, please share. BTW, you can tell by the line movement that the $% was opposite of the bet %.
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Boom_Boom | 104 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack: Let's revisit this statement after the game! You are off by a massive amount! To suggest that Auburn is a team the public is in love with, is to simply not get it! Everybody thinks this team is over-rated, that they got lucky last year, that they are over-valued, etc and so on... At some point this season, the public will be on the bandwagon... but it has not happened yet! So, how far off was I? That should have been a SU win for KState.
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Boom_Boom | 104 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Shark_Attack]
To suggest that Auburn is a team the public is in love with, is to simply not get it! 69% of bets were on Auburn. That's the definition of the public side. What's not to get?
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Boom_Boom | 104 |
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I can't see how anyone can be supremely confident in picking this game. If you're picking K-state you're hoping to buck a 13 game ATS winning streak and breaking a 3 home-game ATS losing streak. If you like Auburn, the play seems just toooo easy. Aub has lots of attention after last year's run and they only have to cover by less than 2 scores. It's the only CFB game on and it comes on right before an NFL game, so you know there's going to be lots of action. You must know that you're paying a premium with Aub (which is never good) and the vast majority of the public is going to be on Aub. Who doesn't love Aub after what they did to Bama last year? If all the signs are pointing to your team, you have to ask yourself" Why just 8.5?" Auburns probability of covering is no better than 45%(likely much lower). The wiser bet would be an in-game play, but nobody should feel overly confident.
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Boom_Boom | 104 |
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WOW! 13 ATS covers in a row. Its gonna be hard to fade Auburn. I do admit KSU is not too shabby as a dog. Just 2 losses as a home dog in 3 years (6-2). I smell push.
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Covers | 108 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TyphoonVenom: Does anybody have the Stones to take the UNDER in this game? Yes! If you think everyone is on the over, Then you'd be wise to jump ship
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Covers | 69 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheHbk: Ben Looks OLD... I wanna see some Magic From Ben HIV is nothing to joke about
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Covers | 31 |
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Quote Originally Posted by stevenp: EVERYONE IS ON THE CLIPS! HM. clips talent clearly is above spurs. but... .....check the standings. Then things become less clear.
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Covers | 20 |
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Quote Originally Posted by x3mparanoia: Okc-4.5. 11-1 ATS this season following a loss. Who's the 1 they lost to?
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Covers | 26 |
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VT wins for three reasons:
1. ACC home dogs are money 2. they have rarely ever lost 3 in a row and never recently. 3. Everyone saw them be humiliated last week, so odds makers need them to win this week. (Don't believe me? Half the posts here reference last weeks game) Enough said VT +13 plus 1 unit ML
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Covers | 61 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Pricetopher: Tonight's Plays: $2k - Florida St. (-13.5) $2k - Arkansas St. (-7) $2k - Colts (-3) 60-22-1 *All picks posted on Twitter: @Pricetopher I hope you're right. I'm on all those games big as well.
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