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Event: Bellator 82 TALE OF THE TAPE: THE FAVORITE Name: Andrey "Spartan" Koreshkov (-160) Fight Breakdown: Former Bellator World Welterweight Champion Lyman Good is one win away from getting the chance to reclaim the belt he once wore. Since losing his strap, Good is 4-1 with two knockout wins, and the lone loss coming via split decision to No. 1 contender Rick Hawn. Good looked mighty impressive in his last fight, stopping Russian Michail Tsarev, and if he can get by another Russian in Andrey Koreshkov, he'll get the chance to prove he's still one of the best welterweights in the world by fighting for the Bellator world title once again. But it won't be easy. Koreshkov is on a roll right now, having scored the biggest win of his young career in his last outing when he knocked out former DREAM welterweight champion Marius Zaromskis in the first round. He is an exceptional striker and has the power in his limbs to knock out anybody out there. Against Good though, he faces the sternest test of his career, as the American has never been knocked out in his career. Can Koreshkov be the first man to do it? Well, he'll have to be if he wants his hand raised, because if this fight hits the floor, it's very difficult to imagine a way Koreshkov will beat Good. Fight Prediction: I see Lyman Good getting the takedown and grinding out a unanimous decision victory. There's no point of him taking the risk to stand with Andrey Koreshkov, and Good is a smart fighter, so he knows what to do here to get the win and move one step closer to reclaiming his gold. Adam's Pick: Lyman Good (+130) via unanimous decision but make sure to check the latest MMA odds. Adam's Recommended Play: I like Lyman Good a lot in this fight, and I think there's some good value on him at +130. Scoop up this price while you still can. |
MMAOddsbreaker | 3 |
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Bellator 82 Tale of the Tape: Alexander Sarnavskiy (-525) vs. Tony Hervey (+325)
TALE OF THE TAPE: THE FAVORITE Name: Alexander Sarnavskiy (-525) TALE OF THE TAPE: THE UNDERDOG Name: Tony Hervey (+325) Fight Breakdown: Alexander Sarnavskiy was the No. 1 lightweight prospect in the world, and Bellator had high hopes of him winning their latest 155-pound tournament. But after being outgrappled and losing a split decision to Rich Clementi – the first loss of his young career – Sarnavskiy needs to get back on track and prove why he’s so highly thought of. Despite the loss, the youngster is still a dangerous fighter, as he has vicious striking as well as submissions for days, backed up by his 17 stoppage victories. He’s a talented guy and has an opportunity to get back on the proverbial horse by taking out a relatively tough guy in Tony Hervey. Hervey is a decent fighter who possesses solid power in his strikers (11 of his 15 wins have come via TKO/KO) and submission ability (his other four wins have come via tapout for a 100 percent finishing ratio), but his biggest problem is he’s very beatable. With a 15-12 record, Hervey is clearly an inconsistent fighter, and the fact five of those losses came via sub and six by decision is especially worrisome against Sarnavskiy. One thing that Hervey does have going for him is that he’s faced much higher-level opponents than Sarnavskiy, but for the most part he’s suffered losses against them. Against Sarnavskiy, his best chance of winning will definitely be the knockout, but considering the Russian has never been knocked out before, that’s a tall task. Fight Prediction: Tony Hervey will try and throw the thunder at Alexander Sarnavskiy, but the Russian will be able to get a takedown at some point and finish off the American by submission. This isn’t a gimme by any means, but Bellator definitely wants to get Sarnavskiy on a winning streak, and Hervey is a decent name to add to his resume in what should be a bounce-back victory for him after the Rich Clementi debacle. Adam’s Pick: Alexander Sarnavskiy (-525) but make sure to check the latest MMA odds. Adam’s Recommended Play: After Sarnavskiy’s loss to Clementi, you shouldn’t bet him at -525. Pass on this fight. |
MMAOddsbreaker | 3 |
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LoL...Nick is the BetCRIS MMA opening lines oddsmaker. The line is opened on the show and then it is bet and moved or not moved on the show. Once the show is posted, the lines are put up at the books. The numbers you are seeing are the actual opening numbers before the bets on the show were made. Cheers, MMAOB
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MMAOddsbreaker | 9 |
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Rampage Opening Odds Video: https://youtu.be/hUxOBlIoDyY
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UFC on FOX 6 Opening Odds: Lightweights Donald Cerrone (-130) vs. Anthony Pettis (+100) Nov 29, 2012 UFC on FOX 6: January 26, 2013 Chicago, Illinois UFC Lightweight Contender Donald Cerrone (-130) UFC Lightweight Contender Anthony Pettis (+100) Opening UFC on FOX 6 Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Cerrone a small -130 favorite (bet $130 to win $100) while Pettis opened as a +100 underdog (bet $100 to win $100) according to the MMA odds. These two fighters were expected to fight earlier this year, but a staph infection for Pettis prevented the bout from happening. Trash talking also ensued between the two regarding who was ducking who, but Cerrone has been hungry to prove himself against a top contender since losing a unanimous decision to Diaz last December 30 at UFC 141. That loss temporarily derailed his title shot, with Diaz continuing to roll and earning that opportunity instead. However, this matchup with Pettis is still being billed as a fight for the No. 1 contendership against the winner of Diaz and lightweight champ Benson Henderson. The long layoff could be a factor since Cerrone has fought twice since Pettis’ last bout, a first-round knockout of Joe Lauzon at UFC 144 on February 26. Cerrone was equally impressive in his first-round KO of Melvin Guillard at UFC 150 on August 11 even though that fight started off a bit rocky when he was floored early on. His 6-1 mark in the UFC simply gives him much more experience against top-level competition, and he has extra motivation for a possible rematch with Henderson, who beat him for the WEC lightweight title back in 2010. Video: https://youtu.be/8KAQ6wuy3SQ |
MMAOddsbreaker | 9 |
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UFC on FOX 6 Opening Odds: Featherweights Erik Koch (-140) vs. Ricardo Lamas (+110) Nov 29, 2012 Erik KochUFC on FOX 6: January 26, 2013 Chicago, Illinois UFC Featherweight Contender Erik Koch (-140) UFC Featherweight Contender Ricardo Lamas (+110) Opening UFC on FOX 6 Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Koch a small -140 favorite (bet $140 to win $100) while Lamas opened as a +110 underdog (bet $100 to win $110) according to the MMA odds. Koch originally had a featherweight title shot against champion Jose Aldo at UFC 149, but injuries by both fighters derailed that opportunity on two different occasions, including a rescheduled bout at UFC 153. Since then, former lightweight champ Frankie Edgar has dropped to 145 and immediately gets the next crack at Aldo. The winner of this fight could get the next title shot as both Koch and Lamas are on a roll. Koch is riding a four-fight winning streak while Lamas has won three straight and six of seven with the lone loss during that stretch coming against Yuri Alcantara at WEC 53 in 2010. Lamas scored an upset of Hatsu Hioki which vaulted him into the Top 5 of the MMAOB MMA Fighter Rankings. It’s interesting to note that Koch is not among the Top 15 in the featherweight rankings, showing Lamas might be undervalued in this spot. Video: https://youtu.be/Hm4xXpUnxEU |
MMAOddsbreaker | 9 |
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UFC on FOX 6 Opening Odds: Lightweights TJ Grant (-125) vs. Matt Wiman (-105) Nov 29, 2012
UFC Lightweight Contender TJ Grant (-125) UFC Lightweight Contender Matt Wiman (-105) Opening UFC on FOX 6 Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Grant a slight -125 favorite (bet $125 to win $100) while Wiman opened as a -105 underdog according to the MMA odds. Wiman’s win over Sass was not as surprising as the way he beat him. Sass is a well-known submission specialist and was beaten at his own game, and Wiman showed how well-rounded of a fighter he is in registering his ninth stoppage among 15 career wins. Wiman has won two in a row and five of six, losing only to Dennis Siver via unanimous decision during that stretch. That came after a two-fight losing streak against Sam Stout and Jim Miller, each by UD and both earning Fight of the Night bonuses. Grant has also been on a roll, winning three straight and four of five, and his latest bout against Evan Dunham also resulted in Fight of the Night. The pattern here obviously suggests a very balanced matchup between two fighters who know how to put on a good show. Bettors should not be surprised if either of them comes away with a victory in a fight most likely headed to the judges. |
MMAOddsbreaker | 9 |
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UFC on FOX 6 Opening Odds: Light Heavyweights Glover Teixeira (-245) vs. Quinton Jackson (+185)
UFC Light Heavyweight Contender Glover Teixeira (-245)Profile: When people talk about the next big thing at light heavyweight in the UFC, the names Alexander Gustafsson and Glover Teixeira (19-2) come up every time. The 33-year-old monster trains out of the famed Pit, where such notable fighters as Tim Kennedy, Bobby Southworth, Tito Ortiz and Chuck Liddell have learned their craft over the years. With a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and fists that have delivered him 11 knockouts in his 18 wins, Teixeira is the real deal and can bring the fight anywhere. He is currently on a 17-fight winning streak and garnering increased attention as a true contender in the suddenly-murky UFC light heavyweight division following dominant wins over Kyle Kingsbury (arm-triangle choke submission) and Fabio Maldonado (TKO) in his first two fights within the organization. UFC Light Heavyweight Contender Quinton Jackson (+185)Profile: Former light heavyweight champion Quinton “Rampage” Jackson (32-10) is nearing the end of his career with what he has said will be his last fight in the UFC on deck, but there is still some fight in the brawler. Jackson has not seen the win column since May of 2011 when he earned a unanimous decision against Matt Hamill, and although 34-year-old looked as good as he has in years in his title fight against light heavyweight champoin Jon Jones, he was still defeated handily. Couple that with Jackson demanding a fight in Japan at UFC 144, and then missing weight for it and being handled by Ryan Bader, and it looks like he will have only his heavy hands to rely on for a victory moving forward. Opening UFC on FOX 6 Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Teixeira a solid -245 favorite (bet $245 to win $100) while Jackson opened as a +185 underdog (bet $100 to win $185) according to the MMA odds. This matchup was originally scheduled for UFC 153 in Brazil, but Jackson pulled out due to injury. That would have certainly given Teixeira a home country edge, and instead he pummeled fellow Brazilian Maldonado. Teixeira’s 17-fight winning streak is somewhat impressive, but he has yet to fight someone of Jackson’s caliber even if he is on the downside of his career. This should be a good test for him to prove he belongs among the elite light heavyweights in the UFC. Despite his two-fight skid, Jackson is still ranked in the Top 10 among 205-pounders in the MMAOB MMA Fighter Rankings while Teixeira is just outside. Of course that could change if Teixeira wins as expected, but Jackson does have a puncher’s chance because of his ability to KO opponents. Jackson’s last KO came against Wanderlei Silva nearly four years ago at UFC 92, so he may go all out in what could be his last fight inside the Octagon with his contract due to expire. |
MMAOddsbreaker | 9 |
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MMA Betting Preview: Cage Warriors 49 Odds Breakdown Oct 26, 2012
Cage WarriorsEvent: Cage Warriors 49 Date: Saturday, October 28 Location: Cadiff, Wales, U.K. How to Watch: Preliminary card streams on Facebook.com at 2:30 p.m. (ET), main card streams on MMAjunkie.com at 4 p.m. The U.K.’s premier MMA organization stages its 49th event on Saturday as Cage Warriors is back for what should be another entertaining show. In the main event of the evening, Brazilian welterweight Bruno Carvalho squares off against Ireland’s Cathal Pendred. Carvalho opened as a -240 favorite (bet $240 to win $100) while Pendred is a +180 underdog (bet $100 to win $180) according to the MMA odds. The 30-year old Carvalho enters the contest with a 14-5 record and holds a notable submission win over TUF vet Kyacey Uscola. He has been on a roll, winning nine of his last 10 fights, save a KO loss to Marius Zaromskis (via summersault kick). He is a second-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has five submission wins to his name, and he’s also a black belt in judo, so Pendred is going to have his hands full. The 25-year-old Irishman enters with a 10-2-1 record, including five wins via knockout. He’s also on a roll, having gone undefeated in his last five outings, including a notable decision win over UFC vet David Bielkheden. There’s no doubt Pendred is going to be looking to keep this fight standing and knock out Carvalho, but the question is if he can stop Carvalho’s takedown attempts, not to mention Carvalho has underrated striking, as demonstrated by his five TKO/KO wins. This is one of the better fights in MMA this weekend. In the co-main event, lightweight Greg Loughran squares off with Tim Newman. Newman opened as a -165 favorite while the comeback on Loughran is +135. Newman carries an 8-3 record into the bout with two wins via TKO/KO and three via submission, including a sub of TUF alum Aaron Wilkinson. However, the 29-year-old Newman has been inactive for quite a while, having not fought since a loss to former UFC fighter Curt Warburton last December, and cage rust may play a factor here. Loughran enters the bout at 22-18, including seven wins by knockout and 13 by submission, and holds notable victories over Jonathan Brookins, Norman Parke, and Andre Winner. The 29-year-old’s biggest problem though is inconsistency, as before he was on his current four-fight winning streak, he was on a six-fight losing streak. He’s also been submitted 10 times in his career and has been knocked out three times, although one of those sub losses was to Eddie Alvarez at Bellator 1, so Loughran clearly has the experience factor going in his favor. My gut feeling tells me someone is getting submitted in this fight. Next up is a middleweight contest between Faycal Hucin and John Michael Shiel. Shiel enters as a -280 favourite, while Hucin is a +210 underdog. Shiel is undefeated at 8-0 with six of those victories coming by way of knockout and two by submission, and holds a notable victory over TUF veteran Ross Pointon. The 24-year-old Hucin comes in at 7-3, including one win via T/KO and three via submission. Hucin was knocked out by a punch in his very first MMA bout, so keep that in mind as he matches up with the heavy-handed Shiel. Merv Mulholland and Daniel Thomas then tango in a lightweight affair. The line opened as a pick ‘em, with both fighters -120. Mulholland is 9-4 in his career, with all via by finish (three knockouts, six submissions). However, in his losses he has been submitted once and knocked out twice, including a notable TKO loss to the aforementioned Pendred, and keep in mind he hasn’t competed since September 2011. Thomas, on the other hand, enters the bout at 19-8-1, and he has five wins by knockout and 14 via submission, including a notable sub win over the aforementioned Wilkinson. He has also been finished six times, four times via TKO/KO and twice via submission, and in his last four fights is only 1-2-1 with both losses coming via knockout. There’s a reason this fight is a toss-up because it could go either way. Next is a lightweight contest between Lew Long (-350) and Paul Redmond, who opened as a +250 underdog. Long is 6-1 in his career including three wins by submission and one by knockout, and he’s riding a four-fight winning streak. Meanwhile, Redmond comes in at 3-3, and although all three of his wins are by knockout, he’s also been knocked out once and submitted twice in his young career. It’s likely Long will look to get this fight to the ground and go for subs while Redmond will try and keep it standing and look for the knockout. And finally, the opening bout is a bantamweight contest between Kris Edwards (-170) and Alan Philpott (+140). Edwards is 8-3 in his career with five submission wins and two knockouts to his credit, so he definitely has a solid ground game. It should be noted he was cutting to fight at flyweight until a late opponent switch meant that Philpott got the call on very short notice, as he actually competed just last week, winning 54 seconds into the first round over Rich Edgeworth. Philpott is 6-2 in his MMA career, and all six of his wins have come via submission, so it’s obvious he likes to drag the fight to the floor. This fight should end up on the mat, and it’s possible someone gets submitted to open Cage Warriors 49. |
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MFCMFC 35: Explosive Encounter takes place October 26 at Mayfield Trade Centre in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada and airs live in the U.S. on AXS TV at 10 p.m. (ET) and on tape delay in Canada on TSN 2. The main card features five bouts that have the potential to produce exciting finishes, including a title-fight headliner. In the main event of the evening, the MFC will crown a middleweight champion as the vacant title is on the line in a matchup between Joseph “Leonidas” Henle (8-0) and Elvis “The King” Mutapcic (11-2). MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas has installed Henle as a -160 favorite (bet $160 to win $100) while Mutapcic comes in as the underdog at +130 (bet $100 to win $130). Henle was on Season 11 of The Ultimate Fighter and submitted Costas Philippou to get into the house but then lost a decision to Seth Baczynski in the first round. But that was an exhbition bout so he is still undefeated in his pro career, where he has four wins by submission and two via knockout, including a TKO of Luke Harris in his MFC debut to get this title shot. He trains out of Reign Training Center in California alongside Jake Ellenberger and Mark Munoz and seems to be improving every fight. At 29 years old, the gritty fighter nicknamed “Leonidas” is in the prime of his career. His opponent, Mutapcic, grew up in war-torn Bosnia before relocating to rough-and-tumble Des Moines, Iowa, so you know Mutapcic is tough as nails. The 26-year-old has six career wins via submission and four via knockout, including a notable KO of TUF winner Cezar Mutante Ferreira and a TKO of Jacen Flynn to earn his MFC title shot. The powerful Mutapcic is also known for his vicious leg kicks, and seems to really be hitting his stride. This fight, which is set for five rounds, will likely end in a finish. The co-main event of the evening is a featherweight bout between Shane Nelson (15-6) and Graham Spencer (8-1). Kalikas has tabbed Nelson as a -210 favorite with Spencer a +160 underdog. Nelson is a veteran of the UFC and went 2-2 there including a decision over George Roop and a controversial TKO win over Aaron Riley. The 27-year-old also appeared on TUF 8, but he was eliminated with an opening round loss to eventual winner Efrain Escudero. He trains of out of B.J. Penn’s gym in Hawaii and really exemplifies the fighting spirit of the island, as he’s hard to stop, having only been finished in his last outing, a submission setback in Shooto. His opponent Spencer is the No. 1 featherweight prospect in Canada. He is a grinder who holds four wins via submission and four via decision, but none via knockout. The 27-year-old British Columbian – who will enjoy homefield advantage in this fight – also holds a notable victory over MFC lightweight contender Mukai Mamoro. Up next is a middleweight bout between Sabah Fadai (6-2) and Cody Krahn (11-5). Fadai opened as a -205 favorite and Krahn a +155 underdog. Fadai is a very exciting fighter and boasts four wins via knockout, as well as two more by way of submission. However, since coming to the MFC, he is just 0-1 with one No-Contest, and the B.C. resident needs to prove on Friday that he can win when he steps up in competition. His opponent Krahn has 11 wins, of which the Edmonton native has eight submissions and three knockouts, including a notable TKO victory over Shannon Ritch. Like Fadai, Krahn hasn’t fared well in the MFC, going only 1-2 in the promotion, so with both men badly needing a win, this fight should end with someone getting either knocked out or submitted. Following that matchup is a heavyweight contest that will see Ryan Fortin (6-3) square off against Smealinho Rama (4-0). Rama opened at -165 compared to Fortin at +135. The 20-year-old Rama only began competing in pro MMA this year, and he has already picked up two submissions and two knockouts, including a notable TKO victory over Lee Mein (father of Jordan Mein) at the last MFC event. It’s obvious the 260-pounder from Calgary has a ton of potential, and he’s definitely someone to keep an eye on. Like Rama, Fortin is a finisher with two wins via submission and four via knockout, including a notable TKO over UFC Hall of Famer Dan Severn. The 27-year-old Fortin, who also hails from Alberta, will hold a seven-inch height advantage over Rama (Fortin is 6-foot-6). Make no doubt about it, these big boys are going to bang, and someone is getting finished in this fight. And finally, the first fight on the main card is a light heavyweight matchup of Paul Grandbois (4-4) vs. Jason Kuchera (5-5). Kuchera opened as a -230 favorite with Grandbois a +170 underdog. All of Kuchera’s five wins have come via TKO/KO, but he has been knocked out or submitted in all five of his losses, so he’s the kind of guy that lives by the sword, dies by the sword. The Edmonton native will also be dealing with cage rust in this fight, as he hasn’t competed since a 2010 TKO loss to former UFC fighter David Heath. Like Kuchera, Alberta’s Grandbois either finishes or gets finished, and he has four knockout victories to his credit, but has also been knocked out twice and submitted twice in his losses. Perhaps Grandbois’ biggest advantage will be that he’s fought six times since Kuchera last competed in MMA. Expect someone to get knocked out in this MFC 35 main card opener. |
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By: Adam Martin Event: Bellator 78 Matchup: Lyman Good (-500) vs. Michail Tsarev (+350) Location: Nutter Center, Dayton, OH Time: 8 p.m. (ET) How to watch: Spike.com, MTV2 TALE OF THE TAPE: THE FAVORITE Name: Lyman “Cyborg” Good (-500) Fight Breakdown: Good is the former Bellator World Welterweight Champion, so he knows what it takes to get his hand raised three times in three months and win a Bellator tournament. However, successfully running the gauntlet of Bellator has taken its toll on him, as he was out for a period of time last year with a hamstring injury, and has competed only five times in the last three years. He is under a lot of pressure to win not only this fight, but this tournament, as the Bellator welterweight division is becoming stacked, and he could get lost in the shuffle with another early semifinal exit. Tsarev, on the other hand, is a hungry young fighter who really has nothing to lose in this fight, which makes him extremely dangerous. He has also been very active (seven fights in the last two years) in his seven-year career (he actually started his MMA career a few weeks before the “veteran” Good), so it will be interesting to see if activity and cage time will have any effect on this bout’s outcome. Good is a very big 170-pounder and needs to use his size to bully the smaller Tsarev around the cage. He needs to make his presence as a Bellator staple known right off the bat, and make sure that Tsarev knows he’s in Good’s cage, not the other way around. If he can keep the fight standing, he has a good chance to throw his power shots at Tsarev, and while Good likely has an advantage on the feet, especially because of his knockout power, don’t sleep on Tsarev, who, while wild, looks to be improving in the striking department with two of his three career knockouts coming in his last five bouts. He also likes to finish fights quick, as 19 of his fights (17 of wins and two of his losses) have ended in the first round. If this fight hits the ground, then Tsarev will be at a huge advantage, as 19 of his 23 wins have come via submission. Good, on the other hand, lost his Bellator world championship to Ben Askren because he was smothered on the ground. Against Tsarev, a guy who is constantly looking to pass guard or go for the back, that can only mean trouble, which is why Good needs to do everything he can to keep this fight standing, just like he did against judoka Jim Wallhead in his last outing. Fight Prediction: Adam’s Pick: Lyman Good (-500) via unanimous decision Adam’s Recommended Play: |
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replied to
UFC Opening Odds: Flyweight Title Demetrious Johnson (-285) vs. John Dodson (+215)
in Mixed Martial Arts
FWIW...Three openers for UFC on Fuel TV 6 were also released via the show today as well.
Cheers, MMAOB |
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replied to
UFC Opening Odds: Flyweight Title Demetrious Johnson (-285) vs. John Dodson (+215)
in Mixed Martial Arts Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick: If you're responsible for the opening number (which is quite evident you're not) and you post this with Mighty Mouse at -285, why did offshores open 25¢ less than you at -260? I mean you are responsible for the opening number and everything..... How this works is as follows: MMA Oddsmaker Nick Kalikas makes lines on several upcoming bouts which are released via our bi-weekly Oddsbreaker show. Those openers are then offered for betting action by two special guests on the MMAOddsbreaker show. On the show that was released at 4 PM est today, the guests are Larry Pepe from Fox Sports/ Pro MMA Radio and Damon Martin from MMAweekly. In this video segment the two guests both bet with the Underdog John Dodson with provided reasons for their bets. In cases where both guests bet the same way the line is adjusted to reflect that opinion and then released to the books. If there is a split between the guests the line will remain the same and be released to the books as is. In a nutshell the actual opening line for Johnson was -285. Due to the guests opinion it was moved to -260 and Nick opened the line at the books for that new value. You can see and verify this process at the MMAoddsbreaker Youtube channel, or on the MMAOddsbreaker site. I am not sure the reason for the direct negativity, but either way I hope you find the information useful. Cheers, MMAOB |
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UFC Opening Odds: Flyweight Title Demetrious Johnson (-285) vs. John Dodson (+215)
in Mixed Martial Arts UFC Flyweight Title Fight UFC Flyweight Champion Demetrious Johnson (-285) Profile: Demetrious Johnson (16-2-1) became the first-ever UFC flyweight champion following a dominant unanimous decision win over Joseph Benavidez at UFC 152. The 25-year-old from Washington had also earned a unanimous decision win against Ian McCall in a semifinal bout at UFC on FX 3 after the two fought to a draw on March 3. “Mighty Mouse” thought he had walked away with a victory against McCall the first time around, but a scoring mistake changed the decision and forced a rematch for the right to face Benavidez for the title. Johnson had previously lost a bantamweight title fight against champ Dominick Cruz last October before dropping to the flyweight division, and he is 4-1-1 in the UFC with another notable win over Miguel Angel Torres at UFC 130. UFC Flyweight #1 Challenger John Dodson (+215) Profile: A former New Mexico State wrestling champion and part-time Chuck E. Cheese employee, John Dodson (14-5) fell in love with MMA after Greg Jackson recruited him in 2003 due to his impressive wrestling background. With Jackson guiding him, Dodson has already seen much success in MMA, winning The Ultimate Fighter 14 despite moving up a weight class to bantamweight. The 28-year-old is currently undefeated at 3-0 in the big leagues and earned a title shot against Johnson with a second-round TKO of Jussier Formiga in his last fight. For a smaller fighter, Dodson has KO power in his hands to go along with his wrestling base and adequate submission skills. He has a bottomless gas tank, and Jackson has ingrained a solid amount of ring savvy to put him in position to become a contender for years to come. Opening UFC Odds Analysis: MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made Johnson a moderate -285 favorite (bet $285 to win $100) while Dodson opened as a +215 underdog (bet $100 to win $215) according to the MMA odds. Johnson showed his critics a lot in defeating Joseph Benavidez for the flyweight title after opening as a +210 underdog, and he is certainly deserving of being a comparable favorite in this spot. Ironically, the odds on this fight are nearly identical to when he fought Benavidez, although it will obviously be a reversal with Johnson the fave this time around. Dodson is viewed as a future champ somewhere down the road but lacks the big-fight experience of Johnson, who will be difficult for the challenger to chase down and land any significant strikes against. Since these are two of the quickest fighters in the UFC, Johnson’s ability to dictate the tempo and pick and choose where he attacks Dodson will be critical to the outcome. Dodson won TUF 14 by stunning T.J. Dillashaw with a first-round TKO, so he has proven he can step up in the spotlight. But Johnson would be making a big mistake to underestimate him, perhaps the only way he loses the title. |
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Quote Originally Posted by sawman: all lines are out!.. Where's the infamous mmaoddsbeaker? I thought he was releasing them to the whole world Kinda like Camozzi as a dog Not looking to argumentative at all here, but Covers was actually the first to market to break these odds with us. https://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=290267 Cheers, MMAOB |
sawman | 43 |
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replied to
UFC on FX 5 Opening Odds: Heavyweights Travis Browne (-215) vs Antonio Silva (+175)
in Mixed Martial Arts Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
Why are you failing to address the "lines you are opening" by just posting a line that has been out for a month? Your content is a joke. The numbers represented are the lines we opened. As of now we open the majority of all MMA Odds that you guys are betting in to. Probably about 80% to 85% of UFC odds, and closer to 95% on other leagues. There are some times when lines are opened by other organizations ahead of our numbers, but they will usually gravitate towards our direction as was the case with the last Jon Jones fight. The posts here are being handled by our staff, and we will do our best to deliver content in a more conducive manner. We will be starting to break odds here at Covers first within the next week. Hopefully it is content that you will appreciate and find to be of some value. Cheers, MMAOB |
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replied to
UFC on FX 5 Opening Odds: Heavyweights Travis Browne (-215) vs Antonio Silva (+175)
in Mixed Martial Arts We apologize for the posting style and will adjust that to not clutter up the forum. We are simply looking to contribute good content and info here is all. |
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Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
You've got like 75% of the first page of threads on the MMA forum, and only 2 of them have over 100 views. Stop clogging up the best forum on covers. There is about 15-25 people that have a nice community over here, look for each other's threads and comment and discuss accordingly.
You've done nothing but disrupt the great forum that is the covers MMA forum. Fit in, and create one thread, that way it is easier for everyone to just bypass it and click on the ones that matter.
Nick Kalikas
Appreciate the input, and will work on the posting style. Looking to fit into the community here, not disrupt it in any way. We want to bring some more quality content here for the MMA betting crowd. |
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replied to
UFC on FX 5 Opening Odds: Heavyweights Travis Browne (-215) vs Antonio Silva (+175)
in Mixed Martial Arts Quote Originally Posted by Slovak:
Why can't you post all of your shit in the same thread? There is a character post limitation error that I keep getting that is not allowing for that. I will see if I can work that out though. I did try. |
MMAOddsbreaker | 16 |
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