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You handicapped a game based on a former NBA player dying in a helicopter crash ? Stop gambling and making statements that promotes degeneracy. |
JFelty | 17 |
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Hello everyone. I will post my picks for College Football in this thread. I don't bet College football until after week 4, however this year is a little strange and I had to augment my model this year. More injuries, time off, travel changes, and rules have change the behavioral and mental algorithm in my model. That being said I hope everyone has had a good season thus far and lets finish it strong. I will post tonights play now, along with Friday's plays, but will wait till Saturday morning to post Saturday's plays due to the in flux injury reports.
OVERALL RECORD: 0-0, +0.00 units
Week 7: GEORGIA STATE @ ARKANSAS STATE, PICK: GEORGIA STATE +3.5 @ -113, as well GS ML @ +1.46 (Pinnacle Odds locked in at 3:17pm Thurs Oct 15, 2020) I was following the betting line and projected the hook would come in with late money on Arkansas state, and it paid off. The line is now Georgia State +3.5. Although not closely followed, this GS team is full of mature college players. They can handle the primetime evening game a lot better then Arkansas State. GS offense has come together this year, while their defense can still put up the stops it needs. It's not pretty but they will get it done tonight. The key to this game is Arkansas inconsistent scoring coupled with poor turnovers. Nothing destroys a teams morale more then turnovers and they cannot consistently keep the ball. GS Coaching staff has begun to finally make GS lack of discipline aware during practice sessions and that should keep their penalties and discipline in check tonight. I am not concerned with the travel distance as it's pretty short and all the numbers in my model and simulations repeatedly indicate the +EV is on GS. As well, you are getting 3.5 points on top. Very easy play here.
1 unit on GS +3.5 1 unit on GS ML +146
Good luck |
ChrisMarkenson | 1 |
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ALL you have to do broke ass idiots, cause you are all losers is make all your picks after all your capping, and REVERSE them all. BAMN. You are all winners now. See, not so hard. lol 95% losers, now you all winners!
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ChrisMarkenson | 5 |
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thank you for tailing broke ass losers lol
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ChrisMarkenson | 22 |
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lol you guys fell for it not me, it's actually the opposite, lol you guys believe anyone types, you are all so desperate lol
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ChrisMarkenson | 22 |
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cool story bro
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claude_gir0ux | 9 |
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Wait, i know why, you don't follow bankroll management, you don't spend time capping properly, and you are all emotional babies. Don't watch the games.
Don't cry. Professionals don't cry and whine. All those people creating threads to cry just stop gambling. If you get mad over one game, or a bad night, or even a bad weak, you don't know about variance, the law of large numbers, and the fact that you suck. Be honest with yourself. Quit before you steal your grandmothers credit card.
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ChrisMarkenson | 22 |
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Thanks, line has moved to -115 from -105, looking good
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ChrisMarkenson | 27 |
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LVRN loves to troll. He is obviously broke. He has a horrible record is not even worth responding too, but thanks KJ, best of luck.
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ChrisMarkenson | 27 |
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Cardinal Rules: 1. Don't ever go without having your hotel, flights booked. Last thing you want is to go bust, and have no flight or hotel to stay at. 2. Leave your credit cards at home with someone you trust. If you need them for emergencies, they can book a flight home early for you or hotel. People tilt and cash advance themselves into trouble. 3. Bring about $100 a day for food and entertainment, and $100 a day for gambling. If you don't gamble, even better, just go to some shows 4. Don't trust any girl, person or pickup, in your room without locking your valuables in the safe. ALWAYS lock up your money, wallet, passport, phone, anything of value. Make sure they see you do it too so they don't get any ideas. 5. Don't get stupid drunk. You can have a good time but be responsible. There is nothing worse then going bust your first night after you got drunk or robbed and spending the week broke and not enjoying yourself. Vegas has a lot to offer, not just girls and gambling. Visit the shows, sight see, people watch, enjoy the great food, etc... I can't list everything but just google "fun stuff to do in vegas" and you will see tons of fun things like gun range, dune buggying, grand caynon, area 51 tour, etc... Good luck!
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ChrisMarkenson | 3 |
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LVRN loves to troll. He is obviously broke. He has a horrible record is not even worth responding too, but thanks KJ, best of luck.
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ChrisMarkenson | 27 |
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Hello guys. Just got back a few weeks ago for LV. Thought I would share a few tips for the newbies and people on a budget heading there for their first time.
Flights and Arrival/Departure: Always try to fly in Sunday. Friday and Saturday nights the hotels are 300-400% more expensive then the rest of the nights. Always try to check in Sunday morning or afternoon, and check out Friday morning. If you do arrive Saturday night, just check in your bags with the bell boys, and stay up all night. Once it's 8AM, just check in early with the hotel. Some charge a fee, but it is very small, usually $10-$20. Usually if you are polite, and ask, they will waive it. 5 nights, 6+ days is always enough time in Vegas. You will find after the 3rd or 4th day, if you are partying a lot, or even just walking around, you will get worn down and the 6th day you can't wait till you get home. Friday and Saturday night do have a lot more people, but not to worry, there will still be plenty of partying to do during the rest of the week. There are always people ready to party in Vegas. Hotels: Don't ever cheap out too much on hotels. Try to find one close to strip. Don't ever stay at Circus Circus, or even Strat, you will wear yourself out in the heat/walking, or even worse, over spend on cabs. Don't EVER take the local bus in Vegas. Just don't. Another important reason not to cheap out is you don't want bed bugs, or sheets that are rarely cleaned, or toilet seats not disinfected. It's not worth saving $20 a day, just to spend it on cabs or meds for your bed bugs. The best value hotels are Monte Carlo, and Treasure island. TI has updated rooms, and excellent cleanliness. They also have safe in the room and a fridge. Huge pluses. Monte Carlo does not have a fridge, but they do have a lot of stores/food court and probably the best location on the strip. Pretty much in the middle of everything. Rio is also decent as well, large rooms, but they are off the strip and will require walking or cabbing. So I would stick to MC or TI first trip. Both have free wi fi as well for guests. MGM is also a nice hotel, but its dated, and over crowded. Cabs: If you are going to cab, always shout out around you "IS ANYONE GOING... insert your destination" 90% of the time, someone will split a cab with you. Always ask for flat rate, and pay upfront so you have to disputes. Don't let cabbies think it's your first time. Say "Whats the flat rate again too...... it's been a few months since i've been here" etc... Food: Once you check into hotel, go to the 24 hour grocery/pharmacy, Walgreens or CVS are both on the strip (googlemap it). Buy lots of bottled water, snacks, etc.. to curb your hunger at nights. If your tight for money, budget 20-$25 a day for buffet and eat around 3pm. Have a snack in the morning and one late at night, and pig out at 3pm. It's not the best thing to do long term, but it will tie you over so you don't end up spending $50-$70 a day on food. Don't eat too early or too late, always space it out in the middle of your day so your snacks can hold you over. Cell: If you are from Canada or another part of the US where you dont have state/national coverage, pickup a trac phone at the pharmacy. It's $20 and gives you 200 local minutes and of course a cheap but decent LG phone. You can use this phone to give out your vegas number to person, girls, randoms, etc... so you don't give out your real number and as well, don't have a lot of extra roaming fees. The trac phone is available at CVS and Walgreens. Girls: If you can't find any, just go to backpage or eroticreview and find a local INDEPENDENT girl. Call, ask for price for what you want. Some will try and scam you and say $200, but when they arrive say that is just their fee to show up and charge you more. Go thru everything on phone. Tell them you are here often and if she does a good job, you will use her again. She will call you back at your room to verify you are there. Don't let them know you are new or won't be back often, you will just get a quickie. Remember they will not invest in you if they think you are not coming back. You should find a girl to do everything for $300. Once you have settled on time and place, meet them in lobby to be sure they are who they say they are and you approve. Don't EVER use the flyers, they are fake pics and have pimps. DON'T EVER try to pickup on the strip. That is where LV Police do stings. Casino pickups are ok, but again, iron out all details in casino. Be firm and confident. Be the boss. Don't be naive. NEVER take her first offer. Say "You can try to find a fat old slob for $500, or you can spend an hour with me and have a good time for $250" etc... They will always cave around $250-$300. Never pay more then $300. Good Buffets: Bellagio is pretty much the best. 3pm is a good time too cause you skip the lunch crowd, skip the dinner, and don't pay dinner prices at 4pm. Wynn is overpriced. Paris is also a great choice. Each are $20-$25. Massage: If you have luck at the tables, spend $160 and get a massage at the Bellagio. Ceasars is also good, but don't go to Palazzo/Veneitan. Bellagio is the best. Go in, pay the $160 for 60 min. Go 1 hour early, take a shower, warm jacuzzi, put on your robe, and follow the guides. They are worth it. |
ChrisMarkenson | 12 |
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Dan Haren has pitched relatively well vs. this lineup. I am not interested in other teams in other conditions. Even if Dan gets hit up, this will still fall under 9, or at the very most a push.
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ChrisMarkenson | 27 |
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Hello everyone. I really wanted to share a 99.45% outcome I have computed with my algorithm. I have been extremely successful with it thus far. I only use it with totals. I am currently building one for money line, but it has not proven to be reliable thus far. Totals however, it has proven to work for me thus far.
Tonight's "lock" or pretty well close to it: LA Angels vs. CLE Indians, UNDER 9 @ -105 The most important factor here is the humidity. Currently it is 81% in Cleveland. If you are not aware, the higher the humidity, the harder it is for the ball to "fly". Humidity creates moisture, which in turn creates weight. This high level, coupled with the light rain, will make it very difficult for the ball to leave the park. As well, Dan and Zach, both have respectable statistics vs. their opponents respective line-ups. Some other notes, Progressive field is currently ranked 26th of 30 in total runs scored in all MLB parks. There are a few other variables involved, but they all point to this being under 9. Please note, as always, anything can happen, so please bet responsibly and within your bankroll. Goodluck everyone, Mens et Manus, Mind and Hand
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ChrisMarkenson | 27 |
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replied to
Days like TODAY is why Bankroll Management and Discipline are the KEY to Sucess
in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by CalifDreamin:
Why in the world would you think you could just show up, "say" youre a winner, and have people tail??
LOL the idiots on this messageboard. I swear if you asked everyone on this board 99.9% of them say theyre big winners, its so ridiculous
"sorry to anyone who tailed" . . . .. get fucking real clown
It is truly sad you have so much anger and have to refer to profanities. It is obvious you are a losing player and overall your life is sad, and pathetic. I was just offering advice. Of course nobody has to take it. This is a discussion forum. I suggest you take some anger management classes. As well, refrain from gambling. As well, a few grammar courses, and maybe going back to get your high school diploma may help. Maybe one day you will have some sort of respectable IQ so you can get a job at McDonalds. Ironic you call me a clown. I was thinking the same about you. Another possibility is that (if you don't have a criminal record, which you probably do) you could get a job as a clown entertaining kids. You seem perfect for the job. You could just talk about your life and your problems. I am sure all the kids will get a big laugh about how much of a joke you are. Don't blame others for your life CalifDreamin. It is obvious you are in pain. If you want to end it all, I am sure nobody will miss you.
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ChrisMarkenson | 29 |
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replied to
Days like TODAY is why Bankroll Management and Discipline are the KEY to Sucess
in MLB Betting
I liked the Mets, despite losing last night, they did not have to go far to Chicago. They also have been playing really well as of late, and Chicago just looked horrible vs. Arizona. I understand value in dogs, but I don't pick dogs just because the line looks really good.
I have had days where I go 6-0 and wish I parlayed, and then there are days like today. I have been doing this for many years. I do have another job teaching but I make decent income betting. I just wanted to warn beginners not to bet more on a pick they think is solid. I am going to go 1-5 actually with STL coming back. It's never over till it's over. In any case, good luck everyone.
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ChrisMarkenson | 29 |
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replied to
Days like TODAY is why Bankroll Management and Discipline are the KEY to Sucess
in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by hammer22: Ummmm thanks You're not welcome. Grow up.
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ChrisMarkenson | 29 |
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created a topic
Days like TODAY is why Bankroll Management and Discipline are the KEY to Sucess
in MLB Betting
Hello, I am new to this board, but not to sports betting. Just want to pass on some advice. Today I just got rocked. I apologize to anyone that tailed me today, but i will live to see another day.
All my capping and experience led me to confident into tonight i would go at least 4/6, instead i go 0/6 (STL just tied it, so possible miracle there in 9th) but in any case, TB getting shut out so far to a KC team that looked dead, Jays waking up, Colorado coming back, Mets getting beat by lifeless swept Cubs, you just gotta wonder why you do this. So in any case, if you just bet properly, don't go all in on "locks" you will be ok in the long run if you can manage your bankroll and bet properly to avoid big losses. Especially on nights like tonight. I was tempted to throw a bit more on a few games, but my discipline saved me. Always remember minimizing your losses are just as important as maximizing your gains. Best of luck.
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ChrisMarkenson | 29 |
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I am on the Cards, As, and Rays, good luck as well.
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ManassaMauler | 67 |
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Thanks guys, appreciate the welcome. As line has already moved. Glad I grabbed it earlier. I really like the Brewers as well, but I am just going to lay off as they seem really tired and inconsistent the last month.
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ChrisMarkenson | 9 |
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