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@NutinButtLove Lol. They’ve both been excellent coaches so far in their tenures, especially ty lue. His superstar roster makes him seem like he is getting carried (like the perception spoelstra used to have,) but he has a plan A, B and C every night because of the potential serious injuries/load managements he has to deal with. Leonard can carry anyone, but he doesn’t. Harden and PG are so dependent on rhythm…. On the flip side, Dallas is big man-averse and Kidd really has to find ways to utilize two ball dominant guards (and no one else consistently) on a nightly basis. |
NutinButtLove | 8 |
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I think miller and Turner by decision carry awesome value, too. Only ones im opposite is the jiri, but im not leaning the other dude by much. I don’t see a ton of value on zhang, but I’m definitely game for the “not go the distance” in that fight; some sneaky value on the other Asian chick by KO, or decision |
tsarvis12 | 14 |
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With you on most of these! Lopes is so good. Hope we don’t get burned cause only -140/-150 is bananas to me. Deveison, Turner, lopes, with Jim miller would be such a sweet start |
tsarvis12 | 14 |
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volk, moreno and yair lost so not sure on this take |
fade_the_mush | 3 |
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@Buffalobob89074 Everyone loves to talk about narratives when they are often times, contradictory. Chiefs whoop Miami and then win impressively at red hot buffalo. The following week they’re +3.5 against Baltimore. With your logic, that line was screaming Chiefs too. I’d argue the same situation in the Bills game. |
Silverstones | 36 |
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Poole is an elite (open) shooter with a nice handle so I think that’s where the disconnect lies with him. He probably thinks he starts on any other team too, but he is Jordan clarkson 2.0 |
Puerta2Puerta | 6 |
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This entire game feels like a “no bet.” O/U: Hard not to reflect off the Warriors Grizzlies series last year. First game of the series was fireworks but the second game was more of a playoff type feel, not even getting to 210 points. That was more on the Grizzlies slowing the game down than the Warriors. The Warriors usually are fine getting into a shootout with anybody, plus Monk isn’t scoring 32 again. Saying that, Warriors had success in the half court offense getting easy shots in the paint until they got three happy. This makes me feel like the game is going under 240 (which is a ridiculous playoff number,) but I’m not sure the Warriors have road defense and the Kings took 98 FG attempts and 32 FTs. That’s an insane pace. No bet. Spread: Not a lot of data here outside of the warriors abysmal road record. Playoffs are different, but it’s been an issue all year. I have this strange feeling that the Kings go up 2-0 and the Warriors win the series 4-2. No bet.
Takeaway: Warriors odds will probably go up to -300 for the series if they win tonight, but you’d get some great odds betting them to win the series if they lost tonight. That might be a play. No bets here, figured I’d share my thoughts.
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Brady2Gronk | 2 |
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@paletta007 Not to nitpick but Holloways last two wins were more than solid.. |
paletta007 | 137 |
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Fight 1 was a great fight. Could've went either way the entire time. Fight 2 was a worse decision than sterling/yan fight 2 but still a great fight. This alone should dictate a coinflip, but I can't see Holloway losing this fight unless Volkanovski gets a finish. The kattar fight was the fight right after the two volkanovski fights and it was an absolute clinic. That was Holloway's best fight and then he won his next fight by unanimous decision as well. Holloway/Volkanovski 1 and 2 were great fights, Holloway has to win this fight due to an awful decision, and Holloway has only gotten better since. What am I missing? |
Brady2Gronk | 2 |
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@StumpTownStu Only x's and o's that have mattered have been curry, and bostons ability/inability to shoot 3s. Game is 50/50 like the last five |
atokst13 | 8 |
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It's not a question of if...Boston at some point will try and turn this into a 3pt contest. They shot 10% in the first half and were down 12 in game 5. They make eight straight threes in the 3rd and guess who takes the lead? They've done this over and over again since the milwaukee series. Every boston game is 50/50 because of this factor...they are so streaky. |
bluecompass | 6 |
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replied to
If you dont realize that Warriors are the play of the milennium in game 5 you shouldnt be betting
in NBA Betting I bet GS heavy before the playoffs started and I was all over the -150 before the finals started. Realized at some point in between game 1 and game 2 that I'm going to be really lucky if I win those. Boston is not overrated. They were the unlucky team who had to play Brooklyn first round and they swept them. Then they knockoff the defending champs and then the gritty 1 seed. I dont see why they cant knock off the best (maybe 2nd best) team as well.
Something about road games in these Boston series tells me Game 5 could seriously go either way and it feels like the warriors left it all out there Friday... |
JimmyGape | 66 |
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I feel like that +650 should have gone your way with Malkoun |
The_Fist | 14 |
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Usually don't bet prelims but Allen's line jumped up for a reason. He is an animal. He faught Kyle Daukus a couple years ago and that was one of the most relentless fights I've watched. He has been great ever since. Not huge on Garcia but I think he has a stylistic advantage and think he beats the newcomer. Also, pairing both gets 1/1 odds. Far more confident in Allen but I like the odds here. |
Brady2Gronk | 1 |
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@dustmiester This was my thoughts going into game 1. Not only that celtics are overrated, but warriors were clearly the best team. Not sure anymore |
ActionMagnet | 70 |
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Boston is (seemingly) a shoe in for 100+ at home these playoffs going over 100 in 8 out of 9 games. Coupled with the fact GS has gone over 100 in 17 out of 18 games, the over feels like the play. Both teams can play great defense, especially boston, but Warriors defense has regressed overall since Klays return, oddly. Plus this game is not a must win for either team, I think both teams play free as well |
Brady2Gronk | 3 |
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Since Jan 1st (regular season): GS on the road with Steph: 18 games 7-11 record 13-5 TT over 100 14-4 over 212
BOS at home: 24 games 18-6 record 20-4 TT over 100 14-10 over 212
Playoffs: GS total/road splits: 18 games/7 games 13-5 / 3-4 record 17-1 / 6-1 TT over 100 11-7 / 5-2 over 212
BOS total/home splits: 20 games/9 games 13-7 / 5-4 record 14-6 / 8-1 TT over 100 9-11 / 4-5 over 212 |
Brady2Gronk | 3 |
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created a topic
The one and only time GS should have lost a game 1 in the finals (since the Steph era) was the JR Smith game.
in NBA Betting When he didnt realize the situation and the game went OT. I remember that game vividly because it was astonishing that Cleveland was even in it, and it felt like their only chance in the series was pulling out that game 1. I think we have that same feel after game 1 tonight, but Boston doesn't come as close as Cleveland did. Say this Warriors team isn't as good as their dynasty days, fine. They're still 9-0 at home this postseason for a reason; GS is next level at home. They finally have a worthy opponent and I think they set the tone tonight. I like golden state big. Think theres a little value in GS/over. Boston only wins if they disrupt GS' pace |
Brady2Gronk | 3 |
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@HeinrichCu Gotta say you're fading before the game big cat |
Brady2Gronk | 4 |
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@LonghornHoosier There's value in a teaser since home teams have been winning by substantial margins, and its golden state. Good luck, though. |
Sikia | 14 |
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