MLB Top 3: Best home/away total bets in baseball

May 21, 2013 |
The Pirates are 6-18 over/under in Burnett's last 24 home starts.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
The Pirates are 6-18 over/under in Burnett's last 24 home starts.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Watching the winds at Wrigley Field is always on top of a baseball bettor’s to-do list. And so far this season, those Windy City gusts have helped total bettors go 14-10 over/under when capping the Chicago Cubs’ home stands.

That may not seem like a huge windfall for over backers, until you compare it to the Cubs’ over/under count on the road. Chicago is 7-14 over/under away from the north side, heading into Tuesday’s game at Pittsburgh. The Cubbies play over 58 percent of the time at home but just 33 percent on the road.

Chicago isn’t the only club with decisively different over/under counts at home and away. Here are three other MLB teams presenting value to total bettors depending on the scenery:

Atlanta Braves (9-10 O/U home, 16-9-1 O/U away)

The Braves pitching has defended the House That Ted Built with an MLB best 2.47 ERA at home while posting a 4.06 ERA on the road – a difference of 1.59 runs. Atlanta is 2-3 over/under in the midst of its current six-game home stand.

Pittsburgh Pirates (8-17-1 O/U home, 13-7 O/U away)

Bucs’ ace A.J. Burnett is a different man inside PNC Park. Last season, he went 8-6 with a 3.10 ERA at home, where the Pirates finished 5-12 over/under in his 17 starts. Burnett is 2-3 with a 2.51 ERA in seven home starts in 2013. Pittsburgh is 1-6 over/under in those home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies (14-8-1 O/U home, 8-15 O/U away)

Outside of Wrigley Field, Citizens Bank Park is perhaps the ultimate example of how much ballparks can make a difference. The Phillies’ crumbling lineup is having a tough time scoring, ranked 27th in runs per game, averaging four runs at home compared to just 3.13 on the road. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the second-best hitters park in the majors this season (behind Wrigley).
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