YTD (SOCCER): 34-15-7 ATS
Not a great showing on my part yesterday, but would still back Napoli in the same situation were it to happen again. Truth be told they probably should have scored ample goals to get the FG win and send it to AET but alas they missed a penalty and countless other efforts from close range.
MANCHESTER CITY PK (-128): I do NOT think that Thomas Tuchel is the answer at Bayern Munich, I think they lost a world class goal scorer in Lewandowski and have not been able to replace him. More worrying for Bayern is that they have only scored more than once in just one of their last six games and Manchester City is an incredible 16-3-1 against German opposition. Finally, Pep Guardiola has beaten Thomas Tuchel the last three times without scoring a single goal! Sure, that was with a different team and set of players and circumstances, but coaches have systems their players fit, or don't fit, into and I think Tuchel's doesn't play well against Guardiola's. Much like yesterday, with Haaland on the pitch and Man City in the form they are in, this is an auto-play regardless of outcome, which I am pretty sure will be at worst a push.
Going to stay with the one play today. I like Benfica OVER 1/2 goal but the juice on that is incredibly high at -238, probably b/c it's free money. Will most likely parlay that but not include it on the record, as that's just not fair to do. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all.
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