I'd say no better than 20-25 % which makes his current line of + 160 not good enough value to take him. If he had a competitive showing in Neveda he might fight this all the way to the Convention but the whole deck is stacked against him. The super delegates are against him. He's gained no traction within minorities. His plans to tax everyone is a total nonstarter. Thoughts?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'd say no better than 20-25 % which makes his current line of + 160 not good enough value to take him. If he had a competitive showing in Neveda he might fight this all the way to the Convention but the whole deck is stacked against him. The super delegates are against him. He's gained no traction within minorities. His plans to tax everyone is a total nonstarter. Thoughts?
Well, the way I've tried to discuss it with my friend is that you have to consider the diversity argument doesn't hold as much water as the pundits try to claim it does. I say that because you have to break up the 50 states and start examining where the candidates can win. Sanders may not win any of the deep southern states but if he can win a lot of rural white states, that may actually prove to be enough to offset it. California is very liberal and I suspect it may go for Bernie. That would be a big win. There are swing states the two of them may contest very closely, too.
The chances are better than the average person thinks. However, my biggest concern is that there are a lot of stupid Hillary Clinton voters out there. You don't just vote a candidate into office because you want to make someone the first female president. I wish someone would tell the feminists that.
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Well, the way I've tried to discuss it with my friend is that you have to consider the diversity argument doesn't hold as much water as the pundits try to claim it does. I say that because you have to break up the 50 states and start examining where the candidates can win. Sanders may not win any of the deep southern states but if he can win a lot of rural white states, that may actually prove to be enough to offset it. California is very liberal and I suspect it may go for Bernie. That would be a big win. There are swing states the two of them may contest very closely, too.
The chances are better than the average person thinks. However, my biggest concern is that there are a lot of stupid Hillary Clinton voters out there. You don't just vote a candidate into office because you want to make someone the first female president. I wish someone would tell the feminists that.
Bernie has less than a 5% chance, in my opinion. It would almost take a miracle. The next few states don't line up well for him. More importantly, the super delegates are all lined up for HRC.
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Bernie has less than a 5% chance, in my opinion. It would almost take a miracle. The next few states don't line up well for him. More importantly, the super delegates are all lined up for HRC.
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