Week 6 Props n Plays

Nice hit on Kelce TD +195 last night and a boosted parlay to get us to very small green on the week so that was nice. 

In terms of sides I'm not super excited about a lot. But im going back to the well with:

LAC -4 - Miami is Miami. I have this at 6.5-7. I know the Chargers O line is banged up and now Hampton is out. I dont care. Chargers couldve won vs Washington even with that banged up line and Washington has a strong D line. Miami does not and they are absolute sieve on defense. Chargers are still good defensively as well. Miami was only able to muster 10 carries for 16 yds with Achane against Carolina, not a team known for staunch run defense. This should be a blowout, 34-16.

This is not a play yet, but God help me I like the Jets again. This would be the 3rd week in a row and the previous 2 weeks they were in the game early, had every opportunity and then everything imploded after a redzone fumble. My issue now is after this last loss I saw defensive players quitting effort as early as the 2nd quarter. On one hand, a weird London game may benefit them with Denver not being at max effort, but it might lead to even worse effort from Jets. Maybe just a good stay away. 

Also like SEA ml at Jax off their huge win and SEA coming off tough loss vs Tampa. Will wait on this one maybe get better number. 

@Yanasaur

 Love Seahawks this week. Jags on a shorter week just played their Super Bowl in beating KC. That game was a battle for both teams and that’s tough to recover from quickly. Trevor got away with a few mistakes and still continues to turn it over on average about 1.5 times per game. I’ll take Detroit as well even though KC will be desperate. 

Exactly my thoughts on Seattle. 

I dont like Detroit going into KC though. KC made a crazy amount of mistakes with penalties and gave up a 99 yd pick 6 and they still almost won. Detroit will be playing their 2nd straight road game, and going into Arrowhead to face KC off a loss is no joke. Weird Mahomesy voodoo magic happens there. Its KC or nothing in that game for me. I vote just watching a great matchup and rooting for the Lions. 

@Yanasaur

 I can see the side of taking KC or nothing but for me it’s just the opposite, Det or nothing. The Mahomes pick 6 that was certainly fluky was negated by the Lawrence fumble at the 1. Not so sure that wasn’t a TD anyway but that’s a story for another day. Take both fluke turnovers away and you still end up with a 3 point win by the jags. 

KC did have an uncharacteristic amount of penalties but then again Trevor got away with a ton of mistakes too. The pass he threw in the redzone that was bobbled all over and dropped was a huge break. KC also got away with a pick play on the TD they scored. Anyway, what I’m getting at is that Jax made a ton of mistakes and still KC failed to come out on top. Now let’s bring in an offensive juggernaut in Detroit that is not prone to turning over the ball…

I don’t like the way KC is playing on defense right now and I think Detroit should move the ball easily. I can see the KC desperation at home angle but I’m not buying. There’s a very good chance that the KC best days are over and that they’re the second best team in that division now. I believe that this is the year for Detroit. I believe that they’re better on both sides of the ball than they were last year. For me it’s Det ml, Det -3 to -6, and on already locked in on the over at 49.5. I hope I don’t look like a jackass come next Monday lol!

GL with your plays 

I like Seattle as well but giving up 38 @ home to Tampa is concerning, think the U is also in play here. 

What makes you watch the jets and Justin fields and say I want to lay my hard earned money on that football team ? Just curious . It’s a week to week league any given Sunday I just don’t understand the fascination with cappers loving to back these ugly teams EVERY single week . BOL though 

Jets and chargers have burned me too many times this year.  Should probably ride them back but They're in timeout for me.

Its because when you watch them play its not the talent on the field killing them, its the mental mistakes and bad coaching. Mental mistakes can be fixed, bad coaching unfortunately cannot, which is why it will be hard to back them again. They played a lot better defensively against Miami so it was trending positive, and their rushing attack is incredible. Multiple games now they have rushed for high yds/attempt and that is very appealing. But yea I can't go there with them again this week. 

@Yanasaur

 Close your eyes pick.

Bet against Giants & Jets every week. you will be rich

Denver defense is light years ahead of the Jets. Fields cant throw against the bad pass defenses. Denver is top 3

Added: 

SEA -2 +120

Mason Taylor o35.5 rec yds

Mason Taylor TD +300

Added:

PIT def/special teams TD +450

Juwan Johnson o32.5 rec yds

Added:

LV -4

DAL/CAR u49.5

Elic Ayomanor o29.5 rec yds

 Broncos NAME their score..not a BIGGER Mismatch this week..Will Jets get to 10??

Good Luck Yana. Nothing for TNF?