Packers+3 x 3.... Lions are coming off a overtime, but the thing is, their defense was on the field 4 days ago, for 82 plays! And 37 minutes..... The Packers defense only played 15 plays in the second half of their game four days ago, for the game the Packers defense was only on the field for 22 minutes.... This probably won't be evident in the first half of this game but mid third quarter and the fourth quarter the Lions defense is going to be gassed.....
Jordan Love has been significantly better vs. man coverage. Here’s Love’s man vs. zone stats from PFF, with rankings based on the top 34 quarterbacks in snaps:
PFF Passing Grade: 92.0 vs. man ranks No. 1; 73.8 vs. zone.
Passer Rating: 112.4 vs. man ranks No. 7; 90.6 vs. zone.
Big Time Throw Percentage: 9.7% vs. man ranks third; 3.6% vs. zone.
Yard Per Attempt: 7.8 vs. man ranks sixth; vs. 7.6 vs. zone.
Notably, Love was excellent against the Lions in Week 1, and he had strong games recently against the Giants and Steelers, who play the third-most man coverage snaps..
This is Green Bay's first game as an underdog this season and their first since facing the Eagles in the playoffs last year.
Under LaFleur, Green Bay has gone 18-6-1 ATS as an underdog of 3 points or more and 14-4 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points.
Matt LaFleur has coached 18 games with the Packers on short rest. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS as an underdog and 4-9 ATS as a favorite in those games. They are 6-3 ATS on the road and 3-6 ATS at home at Lambeau.
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