Plays: All small plays except the Hurts play (explanation below)
Philly ML -120
Philly ML First Half -120
Isiah Pacheco Over 13.5 receiving yards -110
Isiah Pacheco First Reception Over 5.5 yards -110
Kelce Over 77.5 receiving yards -110
Kelce Receptions Over 6.5 -150
Kelce TD -120
Patrick Mahomes Interception YES -110
Miles Sanders Over 59.5 Rushing Yards -110
Hurts First Pass Complete -190
First Reception Devonta Smith Over 9.5 Even
Longest TD Under 40.5 yards -110
Both 33+ Yard Field Goals NO -110
Sprinkle:
Kelce 91-100 yards +1000
Interception Both Teams +140
Large: Hurts Under Passing Yards (Wait closer to kick off)
Waiting to kick off to get the best of the number, and hoping the public gets this back to 245. KC allows 221 receiving yards (avg) to QBs, and only 207 (avg) last three. Hurts has not looked good at all through the air since returning from his injury. Missing wide open Smith/Brown last game on the deep ball was very obvious something was off. I'm expecting more rush attempts from Hurts, and the Eagles to ground and pound to eat up the clock and keep Mahomes on the sidelines. It's exactly what they've done all year and I don't expect a heavy pass game plan to start now with Hurts shoulder injury lingering in the Super Bowl. He's only cleared this number 5 times all year to Minny, Redskins, Steelers, Tennessee, and the Bears (Redskins had defensive players out). The Eagles rush DVOA was #1 this season and I expect them to pound the rock often on what I think is an overrated Chiefs run d. Will post official number on Sunday.
Plays: All small plays except the Hurts play (explanation below)
Philly ML -120
Philly ML First Half -120
Isiah Pacheco Over 13.5 receiving yards -110
Isiah Pacheco First Reception Over 5.5 yards -110
Kelce Over 77.5 receiving yards -110
Kelce Receptions Over 6.5 -150
Kelce TD -120
Patrick Mahomes Interception YES -110
Miles Sanders Over 59.5 Rushing Yards -110
Hurts First Pass Complete -190
First Reception Devonta Smith Over 9.5 Even
Longest TD Under 40.5 yards -110
Both 33+ Yard Field Goals NO -110
Sprinkle:
Kelce 91-100 yards +1000
Interception Both Teams +140
Large: Hurts Under Passing Yards (Wait closer to kick off)
Waiting to kick off to get the best of the number, and hoping the public gets this back to 245. KC allows 221 receiving yards (avg) to QBs, and only 207 (avg) last three. Hurts has not looked good at all through the air since returning from his injury. Missing wide open Smith/Brown last game on the deep ball was very obvious something was off. I'm expecting more rush attempts from Hurts, and the Eagles to ground and pound to eat up the clock and keep Mahomes on the sidelines. It's exactly what they've done all year and I don't expect a heavy pass game plan to start now with Hurts shoulder injury lingering in the Super Bowl. He's only cleared this number 5 times all year to Minny, Redskins, Steelers, Tennessee, and the Bears (Redskins had defensive players out). The Eagles rush DVOA was #1 this season and I expect them to pound the rock often on what I think is an overrated Chiefs run d. Will post official number on Sunday.
The side for this game will just be a small play for me, and was more difficult to pick due to the matchups and all around talent on both teams. Chiefs #1 pass offense vs Eagles #1 pass defense. An unstoppable playoff Kelce averaging 104 yards a game the last 3 years postseason. Eagles ranking top ten against tight ends. Both qbs injured and the top 2 MVP candidates. I'd obviously give Patrick Mahomes the edge in a close passing game, but I expect Hurts to run often and have success (Chiefs allowed the 3rd most rush attempts this season to qbs). The Eagles pass rush having 70 sacks in a historic season, but the Chiefs at #2 with 55 still very impressive. Both a 16-3 record, 6 All-Pro recipients, and players with Superbowl experience. I primarily like the Eagles in this one because I think the style of ball they play gives them more of an edge. They ranked #1 in a rush DVOA, which keeps Mahomeboy on the sidelines, and the Chiefs are not that great against stopping the run. How many games did we watch where the the Eagles get a lead and suffocate the clock. Many say the Eagles SOS was weak, but watching them I just think they've been patiently waiting for a real challenge.
Should be a good game. More than likely I'll increase my first half Eagles play as they've been the best all year at covering before halftime.
The side for this game will just be a small play for me, and was more difficult to pick due to the matchups and all around talent on both teams. Chiefs #1 pass offense vs Eagles #1 pass defense. An unstoppable playoff Kelce averaging 104 yards a game the last 3 years postseason. Eagles ranking top ten against tight ends. Both qbs injured and the top 2 MVP candidates. I'd obviously give Patrick Mahomes the edge in a close passing game, but I expect Hurts to run often and have success (Chiefs allowed the 3rd most rush attempts this season to qbs). The Eagles pass rush having 70 sacks in a historic season, but the Chiefs at #2 with 55 still very impressive. Both a 16-3 record, 6 All-Pro recipients, and players with Superbowl experience. I primarily like the Eagles in this one because I think the style of ball they play gives them more of an edge. They ranked #1 in a rush DVOA, which keeps Mahomeboy on the sidelines, and the Chiefs are not that great against stopping the run. How many games did we watch where the the Eagles get a lead and suffocate the clock. Many say the Eagles SOS was weak, but watching them I just think they've been patiently waiting for a real challenge.
Should be a good game. More than likely I'll increase my first half Eagles play as they've been the best all year at covering before halftime.
Superbook and Circa have it at 60.5 -110 still. Seeing all the others I use moved to 61.5. Maybe keep going up???
I like Philly to win so expecting them to run first and heavily. No need for the other two as much, expecting a closer game. Maybe the other two come in more if they’re up big….but it’s the SB so playing their best back.
Superbook and Circa have it at 60.5 -110 still. Seeing all the others I use moved to 61.5. Maybe keep going up???
I like Philly to win so expecting them to run first and heavily. No need for the other two as much, expecting a closer game. Maybe the other two come in more if they’re up big….but it’s the SB so playing their best back.
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