YTD (NFL): 6-5 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 1-2 ATS)
CRAZY season so far! I've won every game NOT played in the AM slate of kickoff weekend, during which I also lost my 2 big plays and hemorrhaged 5 units. But since then we haven't lost. If you're also interested, soccer has been on a crazy tear and I'll have another play upcoming there too.
Here is what we know so far this season; not much. I think the Giants are a bit stuck b/c I don't see Russel Wilson having much more success against a Dallas team that I thought was pretty good week 1. We also had TWO weather delays and both those games ended up being scoring duds after the break so I think we might see a bit more offense this week from both Carolina and Dallas.
As for the Ravens, we OWN Cleveland at home but have had some closer games of late than we would like. I'm not going to drop the big spread today even though it's their home opener and Harbaugh doesn't ever lose them. On to the games I do have my pulse on:
UNDER 46 (CHICAGO/DETROIT): I do actually think that there might be some regression with the Detroit offense with Ben Johnson now coaching the Bears. Ironically enough, that's who they face today and they have pretty much played every game, 8 out of 9 to be exact, UNDER when facing the Bears at home. I didnt' see a ton to be excited about with the Bears offense last week and I think the Lions are putting a strong emphasis on improving the D this week, which they should. I'm believing that the Lions offense won't be as good without Ben Johnson and that the Chicago D is still very capable.
MIAMI (-2.5)...BIG PLAY!!!: I for one am not believing that the Dolphins are left for dead after one week. Sure, they didn't show up but you should see a much different game today. Especially since the Patriots are in a similar spot. And it's not like Mike Vrabel is Mike Tomlin; he's a solid coach but Mike McDaniels isn't that much worse. In other words, I don't think the game comes down to coaching. So I find the real gem in the H2H's between these two teams, where New England is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against Miami, 0-4 SU against them IN Miami, and 0-8 ATS in the last 8 games played IN Miami.
BUFFALO FH (-3): I also like the OVER in this game I dont' think the Bills are just going to play differently this week on offense and they were able to move the ball quite well against a really good Baltimore offense. They are on the road but this is a rivalry game for them playing in-state rivals and a team they very much should beat. I do think that happens but I prefer the FH line which is short and very doable as I know that Coach McDonough put a lot of emphasis on starting strong this week and not having to chase again.
I will have a few more plays but want to get these posted. Definitely expecting much better results so hoping we will collectively have a profitable day. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all....
on your plays 
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