Who would you pick & why?
Yo Everyone,
I’ve yet to make a play on the NFL this year, but really want to get back into it. I felt like forcing myself to make some reads & post a play today. Instead of betting the card each week, I’m gonna try to pick out the 1 game with the most value.
Detroit @ Jacksonville
I don't believe in my Lion's yet this year.
They haven't played like a complete team & haven't put together a solid game all season.
They've yet to beat an opponent by over 4.
I don't see any reason why they couldn't win by 6+.
It just wouldn't shock me if they lost SU either.
Lions have not entered the 4th Q with a lead.
Every W on the board so far has come from a game winning drive.
Calvin Johnson didn't practice all week & is listed as Questionable.
Louis Delmas will not play.
Amari Spievey will not play.
DeAndre Levy, Cliff Avril, Corey Williams & Titus Young were all held to limited practice.
Pettigrew was held out until Friday, but should play.
Jags have been blown out by GB, CHI, HOU (combined 17-4) & CIN team that can show up & play big some weeks.
They beat IND & Lost by 3 @ MIN & @ OAK.
JAX has been awful at home tho.
3-41 against CHI
10-27 against CIN
7-27 against HOU
If there is 1 thing for certain, there is no certainty in sports betting.
Please don't get me wrong.
Do I believe Detroit shows up to play in this spot? Most definitely.
They are more than capable of running away with this one, without a doubt.
But they are more than capable of losing SU.
They have dominated no one.
You're asking them to do something they haven't been able to do all season long.
In 7 tries this year, they havn't beaten an opp. by more than 4.
3 out of 7 games, Jacksonville has proved they can keep it close. The 4 blowouts came against some really tuff teams.
I hope & believe the Lion's can crush today.
I just don't see any value in taking them @ -5.5 on the road
Detroit has dominated no one. They havn't played a complete 4Q game all year. In all 3 W's they've come from behind late in the 4th & needed game winning drives to win.
Let me know what you think & BOL to everyone today.