I like these for Thursday…

Hello Covers Community. I am sticking to my intuitive side for the Thanksgiving matchups. 

Over the years, I have profited on this day because the public tends to bet safely. The favorite and the over. It’s not based on current records. But, for action on Turkey Day, I’m sticking with it…by going against the public.

Early game…I’m taking the Packers. The visitors have played their worst games on a natural grass field this year. That is not the case on Thursday. Taking everything “au gratin” with the first game Thursday.

Game two…the Cowboys are coming off a terrific win versus the Eggles. Kansas Swifty are coming into Dallas off a terrific win versus the Colts. I’m not on a side here with choosing a winner, but I am going under. As Yogi Cannolis once said… “it’s never under until it’s over”.

Happy Thanksgiving all. Good luck!

GL 

@takethecannolis

 Good luck to you. 

However, Thanksgiving Day is the one and only day that the public usually wins.

They have a phenomenal S/U record and an excellent ATS record.

This is a very bizarre trend.  I am not a huge trend guy but this one is hard to ignore.

@Raiders22

I respectfully disagree. The books know that the public, sitting around before dinner, want to put a few sheckles on the first game. They will bet the favorite. This is an intuitive bet. I wish you luck with your play(s) today. Enjoy!

I still believe the Packers step it up when playing on turf.

Good luck all!

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-thanksgiving-betting-trends-stats-notes-action-network-betting-primer-202@takethecannolis

 You may disagree but the past does not reflect what you think.

But you may very well be correct today.  I wish you good luck either way! 

Foe example:

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-thanksgiving-betting-trends-stats-notes-action-network-betting-primer-202

Betting Thanksgiving in the past has been as easy as following the crowds.

Favorites with 60%+ of tickets are 23-9 ATS
Public sides (51%+ of tickets) are 34-19 ATS
Public sides, who are favorites, are 30-14 ATS
Public sides are .500 ATS or better every year since 2014 and 11 of the past 12 years
Since 2005, nine teams have closed with 74% or more of the spread tickets on Thanksgiving and those sides went 9-0 SU and ATS.

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-thanksgiving-betting-trends-stats-notes-action-network-betting-primer-202

Sorry, no idea why I cannot get the hyperlink to be clickable.