GL! Cheers!
The spreadsheet:
For the season, Aaron Gordon's rebounds line of 6.5 is a winning bet for the Under as he is 38-16 (Under-Over) to the Under, (66.7%). That is a win rate of 29% for the season; last season it was 49%/50%.
But in a leverage situation where his team could be eliminated i will take the Over. He is averaging 7.4 rebounds the last 10 games, and 3-2 in the last 5. His rebounds prop hit rate sit at about 52% when playing OKC; in 27 career games against OKC, Aaron Gordon averages 6.8 rebounds/game. But just a 5.5 rebounds this season; most likely due to the addition of Isaiah Hartenstein.
For the season, Aaron Gordon's rebounds line of 6.5 is a winning bet for the Under as he is 38-16 (Under-Over) to the Under, (66.7%). That is a win rate of 29% for the season; last season it was 49%/50%.
But in a leverage situation where his team could be eliminated i will take the Over. He is averaging 7.4 rebounds the last 10 games, and 3-2 in the last 5. His rebounds prop hit rate sit at about 52% when playing OKC; in 27 career games against OKC, Aaron Gordon averages 6.8 rebounds/game. But just a 5.5 rebounds this season; most likely due to the addition of Isaiah Hartenstein.
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