NBA Player Props 5/14

MIN Gobert u10.5 R -137 PB

Moved from -133 to -137 as I was clicking on it. Could look live for 11.5 or 12.5 alternatively as he seems to get more on 1st rotation. 

SZN: 709-516 | +45.58u | +3.72% ROI 

@emoltzan

 BOL today! 

@D-Town

@sportschat

Thanks & same to you! 

Carrying leans from old thread

Brunson u28.5 P

Green o19.5 PRA 

Very close to locking Brunson, just a little more tough to bet under playoff Brunson 

E 

@emoltzan

 I hear you on Brunson, he'll shoot until his arm falls off. Could go 10-30 and score 30 lol.

@Fuse

@sportschat

Meets my parameters but I just don't think I can pull the trigger. 

He could have 6 @ half and still go over

Lean 

Hield o19.5 PRA 

@emoltzan

 Bro don’t play superstars under. Especially Brunson. He’s going for 30

@richiepicks

If you followed my plays I did star unders a lot this year. Less in playoffs but yeah, the number is supposed to be efficient. 

GSW Kuminga o17.5 P -125 PB

You were saying 

You see my numbers, I don't bet with emotions. If it was that easy why wouldn't you just take his over every game. I can tell you if you did you'd probably lose. No sweat under tonight. 

@emoltzan

 And Brunson only took 17 shots. I always say to myself just bet it and forget it.

@sportschat

Yep, it checked all my boxes I just got afraid. Didn't follow my own rules of no emotions. Often we think all stars must go over but if that was the case sportsbooks wouldn't exist and we'd be rich lol. 

2-0 night, mini-sweep

+1.53u 

Was very close on Brunson and he was no sweat but either way good profit

Back tomorrow to keep stacking! 

@emoltzan

@Yessss88

Leans 2-1 as well, missed out on some profit there. Funny thing is I can back to green o19.5 about an hour later to bet but bumped to 20.5 so left it. 

@emoltzan

Great job as usual (and leans too) 

@sportschat

Thanks! 

WNBA coming shortly as well 

@emoltzan

 I didn't know you did WNBA too. That will force me to pay attention to them haha.

@sportschat

Lol yeah, less confidence here but pretty confident I'll be able to extract some profit. Expecting less than NBA though. Would do smaller unit size as well.