YTD: 57-47 (55%)
ML Dogs: 18-17 (+6.85) 2nd Halfs: 5-5
Yesterday: 1-0
There are still 5 games to be released and I already have some leans there, this could be a huge card. I'll try to add some thoughts later on, bought a couple hooks.
YTD: 57-47 (55%)
ML Dogs: 18-17 (+6.85) 2nd Halfs: 5-5
Yesterday: 1-0
There are still 5 games to be released and I already have some leans there, this could be a huge card. I'll try to add some thoughts later on, bought a couple hooks.
As I mentioned as one of the reasons for fading the Mavs last night was they have been awful at home ATS, but tonight we see a 180 as they are very good ATS on the road at 11-6, and are 3-1 SU & ATS as road dogs this season. Conversely with Phoenix they are like the Mavericks at home against the number, not good. They are not only just 10-7 SU this seaaon at home but they only covered a woeful 5 of 17 home games this year. One other tidbit is the Mavs play surprisingly good efense on the road limiting their opponents to just 42.6% shooting from the field which is 3rd best in the NBA. A shitty ATS 10-7 home team laying 6 to a real good ATS 10-7 road team who play good D on the road? Makes no sense, maybe I'm getting suckered.
Indiana +15
Took that little hook as always. This line makes no sense. 15? There really isn't one of those situations here that screams blowout. The Lakers will win by by 15-16+? Why? Where's the situation that says BLOWOUT? I don't see one. I'll take a fiesty Indiana team that can fill it up getting this many. TJ Ford and Daniels may be out but I don't think it makes much of a difference, the Pacers are actually somewhat deep and have guys who can step in and play. In fact I think their bench tonight has a decided advantage over the Lakers bench even with Odom back but he probably won't be 100%. The Pacers also have some bigs to pound away and use up fouls down low on Gasol and Bynum. I think this line is a full handful of points too many.
As I mentioned as one of the reasons for fading the Mavs last night was they have been awful at home ATS, but tonight we see a 180 as they are very good ATS on the road at 11-6, and are 3-1 SU & ATS as road dogs this season. Conversely with Phoenix they are like the Mavericks at home against the number, not good. They are not only just 10-7 SU this seaaon at home but they only covered a woeful 5 of 17 home games this year. One other tidbit is the Mavs play surprisingly good efense on the road limiting their opponents to just 42.6% shooting from the field which is 3rd best in the NBA. A shitty ATS 10-7 home team laying 6 to a real good ATS 10-7 road team who play good D on the road? Makes no sense, maybe I'm getting suckered.
Indiana +15
Took that little hook as always. This line makes no sense. 15? There really isn't one of those situations here that screams blowout. The Lakers will win by by 15-16+? Why? Where's the situation that says BLOWOUT? I don't see one. I'll take a fiesty Indiana team that can fill it up getting this many. TJ Ford and Daniels may be out but I don't think it makes much of a difference, the Pacers are actually somewhat deep and have guys who can step in and play. In fact I think their bench tonight has a decided advantage over the Lakers bench even with Odom back but he probably won't be 100%. The Pacers also have some bigs to pound away and use up fouls down low on Gasol and Bynum. I think this line is a full handful of points too many.
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