Fish's Slippery Player Picks - 1/11 (YTD: 18-4)

Question

Happy November my friends. Safe to say we've made it through the first couple of weeks of the season with a pretty handy record - won't keep going at this rate forever but I see no reason I won't continue winning more often than not. Hopefully today is no exception!

Rockets @ Celtics - Josh Minott over 5.5 rebounds

We've made a bit of coin off Minott's move into the starting lineup over the last few days, and even if he wasn't convincing yesterday he still got to the 7 boards we needed him to. Inexplicably, my books have now dropped his line down a number to 5.5 - it's around even money with one that I use but fairly juiced at the other so shop around and if you can find this at close enough to even money I'd jump on. Minott didn't play well yesterday after a couple of good games but still snared 8 boards despite being in foul trouble early and getting limited minutes as a result, and Mazzulla still finished the game with him on the floor so he must have liked something he was doing. Today the Celts take on the enormous and athletic Rockets, so on what is a very guard-heavy roster they will need the length and athleticism of Minott on the floor for hopefully a good 30 minutes or so - more than enough for him to scoot past this rebounding line given in his last three games he's racked up 9, 14 and 8 of them.

Mavericks @ Pistons - Ausar Thompson over 8.5 rebounds + assists

Love this one. I think Ausar Thompson will likely take a solid stride forward in his third season in the league, and the early signs support that. What I really love about his early season stats is that there is a massive outlier game in which he only played 15 minutes when the Pistons got pumped by the Cavs, which, with only five games in the rearview mirror, negatively skews his stats despite being largely irrelevant. That game aside, Thompson has picked up 9+ rebounds in 3 of 4, and averaged 5 assists. In three of those four games, Thompson has had 15 (!!) combined rebounds and assists, nearly double what his line is in this game. I like him to go over in both of those individual categories so it made sense to combo them up. For me this was available at near enough to even money at this number with one bookie, and plus-money for 9.5 at another - I still like 9.5 if that's what yours is offering.

Go team!

Fish22 · Accepted Answer

Happy November my friends. Safe to say we've made it through the first couple of weeks of the season with a pretty handy record - won't keep going at this rate forever but I see no reason I won't continue winning more often than not. Hopefully today is no exception!

Rockets @ Celtics - Josh Minott over 5.5 rebounds

We've made a bit of coin off Minott's move into the starting lineup over the last few days, and even if he wasn't convincing yesterday he still got to the 7 boards we needed him to. Inexplicably, my books have now dropped his line down a number to 5.5 - it's around even money with one that I use but fairly juiced at the other so shop around and if you can find this at close enough to even money I'd jump on. Minott didn't play well yesterday after a couple of good games but still snared 8 boards despite being in foul trouble early and getting limited minutes as a result, and Mazzulla still finished the game with him on the floor so he must have liked something he was doing. Today the Celts take on the enormous and athletic Rockets, so on what is a very guard-heavy roster they will need the length and athleticism of Minott on the floor for hopefully a good 30 minutes or so - more than enough for him to scoot past this rebounding line given in his last three games he's racked up 9, 14 and 8 of them.

Mavericks @ Pistons - Ausar Thompson over 8.5 rebounds + assists

Love this one. I think Ausar Thompson will likely take a solid stride forward in his third season in the league, and the early signs support that. What I really love about his early season stats is that there is a massive outlier game in which he only played 15 minutes when the Pistons got pumped by the Cavs, which, with only five games in the rearview mirror, negatively skews his stats despite being largely irrelevant. That game aside, Thompson has picked up 9+ rebounds in 3 of 4, and averaged 5 assists. In three of those four games, Thompson has had 15 (!!) combined rebounds and assists, nearly double what his line is in this game. I like him to go over in both of those individual categories so it made sense to combo them up. For me this was available at near enough to even money at this number with one bookie, and plus-money for 9.5 at another - I still like 9.5 if that's what yours is offering.

Go team!