Running out of time...will update record after these games start
DETROIT TIGERS -101 (2.02/2.00)
I know I've talked about Rick Porcello regressing since his solid 2009, but most of that was for on the road. He is still better at home in his 2+ years in the majors, and the Tigers are a lot better in his home starts.
Rick Porcello at home:
- Career: 4.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 31 starts, Tigers 20-11
- 2011: 9.00 ERA, 2.40 WHIP, 1 start, Tigers 0-1
- 09-10: 4.10 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 30 starts, Tigers 20-10
Porcello on the road
- Career: 4.59 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, Tigers 13-19
- 2009-10: 4.80 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, Tigers 11-17
It's only Porcello's second home start of the year, his first start 5 ip, 5 er in a loss to KC. That was Porcello's third time facing KC in Detroit in his last 5 home starts dating back to last year, and 4th overall since 8/24 last year. 4 quality starts in last 5 coming into this year and the miss was the 2nd home start vs KC.
Porcello against the Yanks:
- All starts: 6.89 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, Tigers 1-2
- Home starts: 5.06 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, Tigers 1-1
- Wed 5/12/10 1:05pm ET start: 0.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, Tigers 1-0 (7ip, 4h, 0er)
- Wed 4/29/09 7:05pm ET start: 14.73 ERA, 2.46 WHIP, Tigers 0-1 (3.2ip, 6h, 6er)...First career home start!
First start for AJ Burnett at Detroit with the Yankees. In 3 starts at Comerica with Toronto: 9.42 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, Blue Jays were 2-1 scoring 23 runs behind him in those 3 starts.
Only Burnett's 2nd road start...the following is mostly copied with updates from my play against him in his first, when Tornoto came back off Mariano late:
Burnett also worse on the road overall in his career and especially in his 2 years with the Yankees. It's his second road start of the season after posting a 5.76 ERA in 19 road starts last year. Yanks now 7-13 in his road starts since beginning of last year which is awful for a team that goes to the playoffs almost every year. Yanks are 16-21 in his road starts since they signed him (5.14 ERA, 1.52 WHIP), 16-23 including postseason (5.44 ERA, 1.55 WHIP)
All this plus A-Rod and Jeter out of the lineup starts to make Detroit look too easy to the against the grain guys. Yanks off shutout, beware of backups getting a chance, Porcello isn't Verlander or Scherzer is why I'm not going bigger.
NEW YORK METS -107 (2.14/2.00)
Mets now favored so they are home favorite off a home shutout. Copied from my play on Pelfrey his last home start, unpopular fave chance win vs Arizona: Mike Pelfrey isn't great, or even good, but he is good at times at home, especially last year when he had a 2.83 home ERA in 19 starts, Mets were 13-6, 8-1 before July 1st, 14 quality starts. Mets 34-22 since 2008, his first full season in the rotation. Career home ERA 3.62 about 2 runs better than his road ERA. After his last ARZ start he now has a 3.22 career Citi Field ERA. Mets 3-0 in his home starts vs the Giants, Pelfrey 2.08 ERA, 0.79 WHIP. Giants starter Jonathan Sanchez has been better on the road last year and to start this year than he was in his first few years with the Giants. Giants are still 0-3 in his 3 starts at the Mets, Sanchez 4.50 ERA, including a May 2010 loss against Pelfrey.