Play On
Home teams (PITTSBURGH)
poor NL offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games
95-63 since 1997.
60.1% (41.2 units)
Play Against
All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS)
poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL
152-93 since 1997.
62.0% (56.0 units)
Play On
Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI)
with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL)
33-33 over the last 5 seasons.
50.0% (13.2 units)
Play On
All favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS)
with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
119-24 over the last 5 seasons.
83.2% (56.0 units)
Play On
Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY)
with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
34-23 over the last 5 seasons.
59.6% (26.5 units)
Play On
Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON)
cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games
58-41 over the last 5 seasons.
58.6% (18.1 units)
Rays vs. Red Sox MLB Betting Trends
Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Boston
Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
Rays vs. Red Sox MLB BETTING PREDICTION
The Red Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall, are 2-6 in their last eight games when playing the opener of a new series and are 16-37 in their last 53 games versus American League East opponents. On the other side, the Rays are 11-2 in their last 13 games versus a left-handed starter, are 18-5 in their last 23 games versus an opponent with a losing record and are 10-4 when playing the first game of a series. T.B. -136/A.Rome
Blue Jays vs. Orioles MLB Betting Trends
Blue Jays are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings
Blue Jays are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Baltimore
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 overall
Blue Jays vs. Orioles MLB BETTING PREDICTION
The over is 32-13-7 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams and is 19-5-3 in their last 27 games in Baltimore. The over is also 4-0 in the Blue Jays’ last four games overall, is 7-3 in their last 10 road games when facing an opponent with a winning record and is 3-1-1 in their last five games when playing the first game of a series. On the other side, the over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles’ last five games when facing a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. OV 7.5 /A.Rome
https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams/phillies/ enters this matchup holding on to the last NL Wild Card spot with a two-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers. That lead should be a little larger as the Phillies have gone 6-11 SU over their last 17 games, three of those wins came against the Nationals in their most recent four-game series. The offense has been great this season with a batting average of .255 (7th), on base percentage of .318 (8th), slugging percentage of .424 (5th) and have scored 742 total runs (7th). The bullpen has not had quite that kind of success with a WHIP of 1.25 (14th) and team ERA of 3.96 (17th). Right-handed pitcher Aaron Nola (10-13, 3.36 ERA) is scheduled to start Monday.
With the second-best record in baseball https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams/astros/ enter this series with nothing to worry about as they have already clinched the division. They have been playing great baseball all season and have won 19 of their last 26 games, most recently 2-1 SU in a series with the Tampa Bay Rays. The offense has been solid throughout the season with a batting average of .247 (13th), on base percentage of .319 (7th), slugging percentage of .422 (7th) and have scored 724 total runs (8th). The bullpen has been one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.10 (2nd) and team ERA of 2.92 (2nd). The right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. Is (4-1, 2.38 ERA) is expected to start Monday. by J.Hedrick
While the Phillies could be a solid play because of motivation, I still like the Astros to take game one of this series. McCullers Jr. Has put out solid production this season and should give the Phillies offense a tough time. Backing the Astros here.
Score Prediction: Astros 6, Phillies 3
Best Bet: Astros ML (-125)
https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams/diamondbacks/ enters this matchup with no chance of making the playoffs this season. However, they do have the opportunity to spoil the Brewers playoff hopes. The Diamondbacks have been struggling over their last 25 games with an 8-17 SU record, most recently going 1-2 SU in a series with the Giants. The offense never had any sort of consistency this season with a batting average of .231 (25th), on base percentage of .305 (23rd), slugging percentage of .385 (20th) and have scored 693 total ruins (13th). The bullpen has not produced either with a WHIP of 1.29 (20th) and team ERA of 4.28 (23rd). The southpaw Tommy Henry (3-4, 5.98 ERA) is scheduled to start on Monday.
https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams/brewers/ are currently two games behind the Phillies for the last NL Wild Card spot. Their only option is to beat the Diamondbacks in this series and hope Philadelphia comes up empty in their next couple of games. Milwaukee has been mediocre over their last 25 games with a 13-12 SU record, most recently going 1-3 SU in a series with the Marlins. Milwaukee’s offense has struggled over that stretch but have been solid throughout the season with a batting average of .235 (22nd), on base percentage of .316 (13th), slugging percentage of .408 (10th) and have scored 714 total runs (10th). The bullpen has not been bad either with a WHIP of 1.22 (10th) and team ERA of 3.85 (13th). The right hander Brandon Woodruff (13-4, 3.05 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Brewers Monday.
I like Milwaukee to take game-one of this series as they’ll have the pitching advantage with Woodruff taking the mound. That and they should be motivated with these last three games being must wins for the Brewers. No value in the moneyline so will be backing the Brewers runline here. By J.Hedrick
Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 2
Best Bet: Brewers -1.5 (-105)
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