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All Forums | MLB Betting

Cubs worth taking, on the RL-1.5

lajohn
PrimeTime31
Broncodevil
MB67
bigdude
...
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lajohn
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 10:20 AM ET #1

I like them to win the game straight-up, on the moneyline, but can they ALSO cover the RL at-1.5?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I like them to win the game straight-up, on the moneyline, but can they ALSO cover the RL at-1.5?
 
PrimeTime31
PrimeTime31
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 10:52 AM ET #2

Im taking it.
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Im taking it.
 
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 11:14 AM ET #3

Last year, they met 3 times AT Chicago.
The Cubs won ALL THREE!!!
BUT, two of the three, were 1-run wins.
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Last year, they met 3 times AT Chicago.
The Cubs won ALL THREE!!!
BUT, two of the three, were 1-run wins.
 
Broncodevil
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 11:36 AM ET #4

Cubs against Cole..................Pirates against Hendricks

Rizzo 8-23                              Polanco 7-17

Montero 3-6                            Harrison 4-12

Zobrist  2-5                             Mercer 4-14

Bryant 3-13                             Marte 2-12

Schwarber 1-5                        Mcutchen 2-13


This may help..Pirates have a little more trouble than Cubs with

the opposing pitcher.

Also, if you play beat the streak, Rizzo or Polanco would be

a good play today!

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Cubs against Cole..................Pirates against Hendricks

Rizzo 8-23                              Polanco 7-17

Montero 3-6                            Harrison 4-12

Zobrist  2-5                             Mercer 4-14

Bryant 3-13                             Marte 2-12

Schwarber 1-5                        Mcutchen 2-13


This may help..Pirates have a little more trouble than Cubs with

the opposing pitcher.

Also, if you play beat the streak, Rizzo or Polanco would be

a good play today!

 
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 11:47 AM ET #5

Unfortunately, looks fairly even to me...at first glance.
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Unfortunately, looks fairly even to me...at first glance.
 
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:07 PM ET #6

The Cubs have won 4 of their last 5, while the Pittsburgh has lost their last 4.
Pittsburgh's offense has not "quite clicked" yet, as they have scored a total of 8 runs...nothing scary.
Also, Cole is sporting a 6.55 ERA so far, so Chicago can definitely get to him in this matinee matchup, in which the Cubs excell at home.
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The Cubs have won 4 of their last 5, while the Pittsburgh has lost their last 4.
Pittsburgh's offense has not "quite clicked" yet, as they have scored a total of 8 runs...nothing scary.
Also, Cole is sporting a 6.55 ERA so far, so Chicago can definitely get to him in this matinee matchup, in which the Cubs excell at home.
 
MB67
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:13 PM ET #7

Took Cubbies with RL . 
Claim to Fame - beating Bill Rodgers in a race.
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Took Cubbies with RL . 
 
bigdude
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:14 PM ET #8

I AM FROM PITTSBURGH THE PIRATES ARE TRASH MAN.. JUST CANT GET IT TOGETHER AND THE CUBS ARE BEST TEAM IN LEAGUE !! THE PENGUINS WILL SCORE MORE THEN THE PIRATES..... CUBS 900/ 500 ... GET ON IT !!!!
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I AM FROM PITTSBURGH THE PIRATES ARE TRASH MAN.. JUST CANT GET IT TOGETHER AND THE CUBS ARE BEST TEAM IN LEAGUE !! THE PENGUINS WILL SCORE MORE THEN THE PIRATES..... CUBS 900/ 500 ... GET ON IT !!!!
 
MB67
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:15 PM ET #9

Pittsburgh can not hit . 
Claim to Fame - beating Bill Rodgers in a race.
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Pittsburgh can not hit . 
 
The_Swamp
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:18 PM ET #10

Betting on a pitcher based on his road/home splits is the biggest mistake one can make in bases; bet on the pitchers current form is how I see it. Hendricks has been dominant at wrigley but has struggled early in the season, no reason to back him here just yet, imo. 
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Betting on a pitcher based on his road/home splits is the biggest mistake one can make in bases; bet on the pitchers current form is how I see it. Hendricks has been dominant at wrigley but has struggled early in the season, no reason to back him here just yet, imo. 
 
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:30 PM ET #11

I believe that, being a "matinee game", in this instance, is the "key"...
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I believe that, being a "matinee game", in this instance, is the "key"...
 
TwoLegParlay
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 1:59 PM ET #12

I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
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I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
 
lajohn
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 2:03 PM ET #13

[Quote: Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay] I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
[/Quote

...interesting...
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[Quote: Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay] I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
[/Quote

...interesting...
 
JFelty
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 2:27 PM ET #14

Pirates are a mess.... Cole is a headcase and once he gets touched up he loses concentration. Cubs ml easy W today juicy little bit but paying juice for a sure winner never a problem.
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Pirates are a mess.... Cole is a headcase and once he gets touched up he loses concentration. Cubs ml easy W today juicy little bit but paying juice for a sure winner never a problem.
 
TwoLegParlay
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 2:34 PM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by JFelty:

Pirates are a mess.... Cole is a headcase and once he gets touched up he loses concentration. Cubs ml easy W today juicy little bit but paying juice for a sure winner never a problem.
Yeah, I don't understand why people are so worried about taking a -200 on the ML because of the "juice." It's all about overall winning.

If it were the stock market, and they got a 10% return, they'd call it an incredible year, but a 50% return on a bet isn't an incredible win.

The logic is flawed.
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Quote Originally Posted by JFelty:

Pirates are a mess.... Cole is a headcase and once he gets touched up he loses concentration. Cubs ml easy W today juicy little bit but paying juice for a sure winner never a problem.
Yeah, I don't understand why people are so worried about taking a -200 on the ML because of the "juice." It's all about overall winning.

If it were the stock market, and they got a 10% return, they'd call it an incredible year, but a 50% return on a bet isn't an incredible win.

The logic is flawed.
 
Werker
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 2:41 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

Yeah, I don't understand why people are so worried about taking a -200 on the ML because of the "juice." It's all about overall winning.

If it were the stock market, and they got a 10% return, they'd call it an incredible year, but a 50% return on a bet isn't an incredible win.

The logic is flawed.

You have a serious misunderstanding of risk management. When you're investing in stocks, unless you're employing highly leveraged instruments, you're rarely risking your entire investment. An individual bet goes to 0 if you lose. But to stick with your stock market scenario, if I'm ever buying out of the money options that have a 1 in 3 chance to go to zero, I'm looking for a lot more than 50% ROI. 
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Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

Yeah, I don't understand why people are so worried about taking a -200 on the ML because of the "juice." It's all about overall winning.

If it were the stock market, and they got a 10% return, they'd call it an incredible year, but a 50% return on a bet isn't an incredible win.

The logic is flawed.

You have a serious misunderstanding of risk management. When you're investing in stocks, unless you're employing highly leveraged instruments, you're rarely risking your entire investment. An individual bet goes to 0 if you lose. But to stick with your stock market scenario, if I'm ever buying out of the money options that have a 1 in 3 chance to go to zero, I'm looking for a lot more than 50% ROI. 
 
TwoLegParlay
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 3:11 PM ET #17

Quote Originally Posted by Werker:


You have a serious misunderstanding of risk management. When you're investing in stocks, unless you're employing highly leveraged instruments, you're rarely risking your entire investment. An individual bet goes to 0 if you lose. But to stick with your stock market scenario, if I'm ever buying out of the money options that have a 1 in 3 chance to go to zero, I'm looking for a lot more than 50% ROI. 
Good points on the risk assessment. Still, doesn't change my stance that a 50% ROI is hardly worth the fuss.
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Quote Originally Posted by Werker:


You have a serious misunderstanding of risk management. When you're investing in stocks, unless you're employing highly leveraged instruments, you're rarely risking your entire investment. An individual bet goes to 0 if you lose. But to stick with your stock market scenario, if I'm ever buying out of the money options that have a 1 in 3 chance to go to zero, I'm looking for a lot more than 50% ROI. 
Good points on the risk assessment. Still, doesn't change my stance that a 50% ROI is hardly worth the fuss.
 
Werker
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 3:32 PM ET #18

Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

Good points on the risk assessment. Still, doesn't change my stance that a 50% ROI is hardly worth the fuss.

Well if you are constantly betting -200 games, you need to hit at 66.67% just to break even. For a baseball team over a season, that'd be equivalent to a 108 win season. And that's to break even. Granted you're definitely going to see games where -200 is still value, but there's plenty of reason to be careful about it.
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Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

Good points on the risk assessment. Still, doesn't change my stance that a 50% ROI is hardly worth the fuss.

Well if you are constantly betting -200 games, you need to hit at 66.67% just to break even. For a baseball team over a season, that'd be equivalent to a 108 win season. And that's to break even. Granted you're definitely going to see games where -200 is still value, but there's plenty of reason to be careful about it.
 
TwoLegParlay
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 4:08 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by Werker:


Well if you are constantly betting -200 games, you need to hit at 66.67% just to break even. For a baseball team over a season, that'd be equivalent to a 108 win season. And that's to break even. Granted you're definitely going to see games where -200 is still value, but there's plenty of reason to be careful about it.
Of course. I majored in math so I appreciate fully what you're sharing. Cubs a good bet today at -200.

Dodgers are risky facing the DBacks and Greinke.
Nationals in the same boat facing a pretty decent offense in the Phillies.
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Quote Originally Posted by Werker:


Well if you are constantly betting -200 games, you need to hit at 66.67% just to break even. For a baseball team over a season, that'd be equivalent to a 108 win season. And that's to break even. Granted you're definitely going to see games where -200 is still value, but there's plenty of reason to be careful about it.
Of course. I majored in math so I appreciate fully what you're sharing. Cubs a good bet today at -200.

Dodgers are risky facing the DBacks and Greinke.
Nationals in the same boat facing a pretty decent offense in the Phillies.
 
TwoLegParlay
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 4:21 PM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by lajohn:

Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
[/Quote

...interesting...
Now that the Cubs are down and that terrible Pirates bullpen is coming up, I'm going to bet Cubs ML on a live bet between innings (only option with my SB unfortunately).

Doesn't mean a win, but the line should be juicy and that Pirates bullpen has been trash.
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Quote Originally Posted by lajohn:

Quote Originally Posted by TwoLegParlay:

I took RL on a bet and the over on a separate bet.

Pirates bullpen blowing leads and have a 5.94 ERA. Cubs relievers have a 2.15 ERA. Pirates starting pitching is not bad, but Cole isn't good. Cole also a whopping 1-8 L9 road games. Cubs are simply the better team even though the Cubs aren't playing as good as they should be.

If Pirates are up when the starting pitcher gets to the point he'll be out, take the opposing team on the ML (providing they have a good bullpen), it's been big money. Took Red Sox on a live bet at +340 and +460 when they were down 3-1 yesterday, they won 4-3.

GL!
[/Quote

...interesting...
Now that the Cubs are down and that terrible Pirates bullpen is coming up, I'm going to bet Cubs ML on a live bet between innings (only option with my SB unfortunately).

Doesn't mean a win, but the line should be juicy and that Pirates bullpen has been trash.
 
 
betFfun
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Posted: Apr. 14, 2017 - 4:21 PM ET #21

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