Do not follow any advice in tis thread (except this post). Most of it will be posted by losers.
Since you have not yet had your mind infected by losers you stand a chance of success if you find 3 or 4 consistent winners, and most folks agree they are long term winners, and you read their posts daily, and only pay attention to what they say.
Post no more asking for advice, you will get plenty of it and 90% of it will be bad. The winners will not seek out threads like this asking for advice, so they won't show up, just some guys that want to be your guru and mentor, most of whom cannot prove a winning record.
I would not be here myself if it were not the slowest wagering day of the year and I am bored, and I can assure you I won't be back.
BOL
P.S. As soon as someone tells you trends are a key factor and you should study them, scratch him from your list
Do not follow any advice in tis thread (except this post). Most of it will be posted by losers.
Since you have not yet had your mind infected by losers you stand a chance of success if you find 3 or 4 consistent winners, and most folks agree they are long term winners, and you read their posts daily, and only pay attention to what they say.
Post no more asking for advice, you will get plenty of it and 90% of it will be bad. The winners will not seek out threads like this asking for advice, so they won't show up, just some guys that want to be your guru and mentor, most of whom cannot prove a winning record.
I would not be here myself if it were not the slowest wagering day of the year and I am bored, and I can assure you I won't be back.
BOL
P.S. As soon as someone tells you trends are a key factor and you should study them, scratch him from your list
$60.00 | $351.84 | $411.84 | Win | 3 Team Parlay | ||
Win | 6/26/15 7:10pm MLB Baseball 956 New York Mets +108* vs Cincinnati Reds (J Cueto - R must Start N Syndergaard - R must Start) | |||||
Win | 6/26/15 7:05pm MLB Baseball 969 Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles Under 7½ -120* (C Kluber - R must Start W Chen - L must Start) | |||||
Win | 6/26/15 8:10pm MLB Baseball 973 New York Yankees/Houston Astros Under 9 -125* (N Eovaldi - R must Start V Velasquez - R must Start) |
$60.00 | $351.84 | $411.84 | Win | 3 Team Parlay | ||
Win | 6/26/15 7:10pm MLB Baseball 956 New York Mets +108* vs Cincinnati Reds (J Cueto - R must Start N Syndergaard - R must Start) | |||||
Win | 6/26/15 7:05pm MLB Baseball 969 Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles Under 7½ -120* (C Kluber - R must Start W Chen - L must Start) | |||||
Win | 6/26/15 8:10pm MLB Baseball 973 New York Yankees/Houston Astros Under 9 -125* (N Eovaldi - R must Start V Velasquez - R must Start) |
My god I couldn't agree more! Football and Basketball I learned in just a few months.. You can fade the public in both those sports
BUT baseball I cant figure out! Been doing it for 2 years. Just a 50/50 bettor. Always. Nothing more, Nothing less. I'll win more than I lose but not by much.
Anyways.. the only advice I can give to you GOTITANZ12 and I want you to listen to this..
if you say to yourself "they should win" then don't bet. Take the Braves-Rockies for example. So many people kept betting the Braves because THERE IS NO WAY THEY LOSE 3 IN A ROW.. THERE IS NO WAY THEY LOSE 4 IN A ROW... and guess what? they did!
If you think a certain team should be favored and their not.. there is a reason. Braves were -121 this week then went to +111 in 1 hour and they lost with Miller on the mound. And people still bet the Braves.
Last thing.. STREAK FOR THE CASH helps me. I took the Marlins Runline yesterday.. really only because I saw it on SFTC. The 1 percent doesn't always win, but they come close.. wish I would have bet them to win, but SFTC does help.
GL MAN! Start off slow and build your bankroll. Don't bet what you don't have!
My god I couldn't agree more! Football and Basketball I learned in just a few months.. You can fade the public in both those sports
BUT baseball I cant figure out! Been doing it for 2 years. Just a 50/50 bettor. Always. Nothing more, Nothing less. I'll win more than I lose but not by much.
Anyways.. the only advice I can give to you GOTITANZ12 and I want you to listen to this..
if you say to yourself "they should win" then don't bet. Take the Braves-Rockies for example. So many people kept betting the Braves because THERE IS NO WAY THEY LOSE 3 IN A ROW.. THERE IS NO WAY THEY LOSE 4 IN A ROW... and guess what? they did!
If you think a certain team should be favored and their not.. there is a reason. Braves were -121 this week then went to +111 in 1 hour and they lost with Miller on the mound. And people still bet the Braves.
Last thing.. STREAK FOR THE CASH helps me. I took the Marlins Runline yesterday.. really only because I saw it on SFTC. The 1 percent doesn't always win, but they come close.. wish I would have bet them to win, but SFTC does help.
GL MAN! Start off slow and build your bankroll. Don't bet what you don't have!
I don't agree with Key...to say no trends are worthwhile is just flatout wrong. A lot are a waste of time or looking into things too much, but theres some that are great. Dallas Mavs overs against Southeast Division teams like almost always hit, the Mets are great in day games. Things like that. Trends are looked into too much, but to say there's no value in them is wrong. Sports betting is a prediction business. That's what makes it fun, cause it's up to the bettor to predict how a certain game will go, but just like there is analysis to study baseball stats, you can also use information to bet.
I've read that even the best bettor will only ever get like 65-70% of games right, most probably get somewhere in neighborhood of 40-50 ish. Baseball is good in that there is limited teams and less things to cap than college football or basketball. You will see gotitanz that college basketball is overwhelming to narrow games down and you will lose a couple of them in ways that just flat out suck, I bet Monmouth -2.5 earlier this year vs. Fairfield, kid on Fairfield randomly shoots a 3/4 court shot down 5 in the final second and hits it and I lose. Baseball doesn't seem to break your heart as badly (unless you bet Rockies unders) and they always seem to get some run bottom 9 that people you.
I don't agree with Key...to say no trends are worthwhile is just flatout wrong. A lot are a waste of time or looking into things too much, but theres some that are great. Dallas Mavs overs against Southeast Division teams like almost always hit, the Mets are great in day games. Things like that. Trends are looked into too much, but to say there's no value in them is wrong. Sports betting is a prediction business. That's what makes it fun, cause it's up to the bettor to predict how a certain game will go, but just like there is analysis to study baseball stats, you can also use information to bet.
I've read that even the best bettor will only ever get like 65-70% of games right, most probably get somewhere in neighborhood of 40-50 ish. Baseball is good in that there is limited teams and less things to cap than college football or basketball. You will see gotitanz that college basketball is overwhelming to narrow games down and you will lose a couple of them in ways that just flat out suck, I bet Monmouth -2.5 earlier this year vs. Fairfield, kid on Fairfield randomly shoots a 3/4 court shot down 5 in the final second and hits it and I lose. Baseball doesn't seem to break your heart as badly (unless you bet Rockies unders) and they always seem to get some run bottom 9 that people you.
1. Make your own decisions, don't follow anybody.
2. Have a plan. Set weekly goals. Set weekly bet limits and STICK TO THEM. Stick to THE PLAN.
3. Gather all the info you can to help you know what your betting on.
4. Pick and choose your bets carefully. Not based on what's on TV today or your favorite team. Treat each and every bet like it's your last dollar, even after your bankroll grows.
5. Self-evaluate your progress or lack thereof periodically and make adjustments to your plan.
6. Patience
I started sports betting last fall. No experienced expert by any means. In March I put $80 in a mobil account out here in Nev. Just betting $10-$50 a bet. The account is now over $1300. NCAA basketball tourney and NHL playoffs were great, baseball is positive, but not by much. So I'm going to change My Plan as it comes to baseball and reduce my bets per week as my self analysis says I'm betting too many bets in baseball. Need to limit my bets to the more confident picks and see if my bankroll continue to rise.
No special tricks or tips, just run it like a business.
1. Make your own decisions, don't follow anybody.
2. Have a plan. Set weekly goals. Set weekly bet limits and STICK TO THEM. Stick to THE PLAN.
3. Gather all the info you can to help you know what your betting on.
4. Pick and choose your bets carefully. Not based on what's on TV today or your favorite team. Treat each and every bet like it's your last dollar, even after your bankroll grows.
5. Self-evaluate your progress or lack thereof periodically and make adjustments to your plan.
6. Patience
I started sports betting last fall. No experienced expert by any means. In March I put $80 in a mobil account out here in Nev. Just betting $10-$50 a bet. The account is now over $1300. NCAA basketball tourney and NHL playoffs were great, baseball is positive, but not by much. So I'm going to change My Plan as it comes to baseball and reduce my bets per week as my self analysis says I'm betting too many bets in baseball. Need to limit my bets to the more confident picks and see if my bankroll continue to rise.
No special tricks or tips, just run it like a business.
I normally don’t post much because I am too busy but with
the All Star break I will jump in.
97% chances are in your lifetime you will have more money if
you stop now, and never bet again on sports.
97 of 100 of people that you talk to on here are losing
players that would have more money if they never bet on sports. The ones that do the best job of convincing
you they know what they are doing, and convince you they are winning players,
and know how to beat sports betting are most likely the biggest and most
consistently losing players you have contact with.
Come to terms with knowing that most people that bet sports
are sick. They are action addicts that
need to lose as much as they want to win.
They are not betting sports for the money, but they think they are, they
want the excitement of the chase the thrill of the win, the agony of the loss,
the emotional swing is what they want. They
need the losses so that the rush of the win feels better and all the losses are
worth it to feel that exuberance once every 10 tries. If they never lost then wins would be boring to them and they’d
find some other destructive hobby. Sad,
but it’s true. This is an addiction that
is every bit as destructive as alcohol, crack, meth, coke, or any other
addiction. Your chances of becoming that
way are about 50/50 unless you accept that possibility. That is the reality.
If you are determined to sports bet then you can be smart
and subscribe to a service (Covers has one) which after fees will get you
around a break even margin, or if you are lucky walk with a little profit. If you are determined to do it on your own
then you want to accept that you are going to lose multiple bankrolls over the
next few years, no getting around that, but you think of that expense as paying
for your education. Like a college
degree, that education does not guarantee you’ll have eventual success, but without it your chances are too small to
count. but you can do a few things to
help your odds of getting there, and lessening the cost of your education.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Keep a diary of details about every day you play. What you played, what you did right, what you
did wrong, thoughts and so forth.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Only play Money Lines in your first 2 years. ONLY
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Never lay -.170 or worse and that is stretching it. Never play a Dog at +150 or more.
Choose one baseball division and spend all of your extra
time diving into that division and become an expert in that one division. Never make any plays that does not consist of
one of those division teams for your first 2 years.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Never play with money that you need for anything. If you can’t afford to lose it, don’t play it
because you probably will lose it.
If the above seems too much work or too boring, randomly
pick someone on this site, and play the exact opposite of what they recommend
and your chances of profiting that season are very good.
Then if you want a third option that you won’t follow
because as simple as this is if every baseball bettor did this there would
probably not be baseball lines offered less than -170.
Wait until May 1st, then play only teams that
fall into the below categories. If you
did this this season with the 5 teams qualified (Houston, KC, LAD, Baltimore,
and San Fran) you would have 44 wins and 26 losses.
All picks fall into all the below qualifications.
Don’t play any team that did not have a win % above 50% after May 1st. it doesn’t matter if they fall below 50%
after that.
Team must be in the current top 15 bull pen On Base
Percentage Against.
Team must be in the top 15 least committed errors for the
season.
Only play a team that qualifies for all the above criteria
and is currently on 2 to 5 game win streak.
If they did not win at least the last 2, don’t play them. If they won the last 5 or more, don’t play
them
Doing this will win you money for the season because you’ll
have some heavy lines and some light lines.
If you really want to increase your winnings don’t play any lines worse
than -150 on these.
You will have an average of less than 1 qualified play per
day so if you are an action junkie this won’t work for you.
I normally don’t post much because I am too busy but with
the All Star break I will jump in.
97% chances are in your lifetime you will have more money if
you stop now, and never bet again on sports.
97 of 100 of people that you talk to on here are losing
players that would have more money if they never bet on sports. The ones that do the best job of convincing
you they know what they are doing, and convince you they are winning players,
and know how to beat sports betting are most likely the biggest and most
consistently losing players you have contact with.
Come to terms with knowing that most people that bet sports
are sick. They are action addicts that
need to lose as much as they want to win.
They are not betting sports for the money, but they think they are, they
want the excitement of the chase the thrill of the win, the agony of the loss,
the emotional swing is what they want. They
need the losses so that the rush of the win feels better and all the losses are
worth it to feel that exuberance once every 10 tries. If they never lost then wins would be boring to them and they’d
find some other destructive hobby. Sad,
but it’s true. This is an addiction that
is every bit as destructive as alcohol, crack, meth, coke, or any other
addiction. Your chances of becoming that
way are about 50/50 unless you accept that possibility. That is the reality.
If you are determined to sports bet then you can be smart
and subscribe to a service (Covers has one) which after fees will get you
around a break even margin, or if you are lucky walk with a little profit. If you are determined to do it on your own
then you want to accept that you are going to lose multiple bankrolls over the
next few years, no getting around that, but you think of that expense as paying
for your education. Like a college
degree, that education does not guarantee you’ll have eventual success, but without it your chances are too small to
count. but you can do a few things to
help your odds of getting there, and lessening the cost of your education.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Keep a diary of details about every day you play. What you played, what you did right, what you
did wrong, thoughts and so forth.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Only play Money Lines in your first 2 years. ONLY
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Never lay -.170 or worse and that is stretching it. Never play a Dog at +150 or more.
Choose one baseball division and spend all of your extra
time diving into that division and become an expert in that one division. Never make any plays that does not consist of
one of those division teams for your first 2 years.
Never, ever, ever, ever, ever put one penny on a parlay, and
realize that anyone who does is a losing player. No exceptions.
Never play with money that you need for anything. If you can’t afford to lose it, don’t play it
because you probably will lose it.
If the above seems too much work or too boring, randomly
pick someone on this site, and play the exact opposite of what they recommend
and your chances of profiting that season are very good.
Then if you want a third option that you won’t follow
because as simple as this is if every baseball bettor did this there would
probably not be baseball lines offered less than -170.
Wait until May 1st, then play only teams that
fall into the below categories. If you
did this this season with the 5 teams qualified (Houston, KC, LAD, Baltimore,
and San Fran) you would have 44 wins and 26 losses.
All picks fall into all the below qualifications.
Don’t play any team that did not have a win % above 50% after May 1st. it doesn’t matter if they fall below 50%
after that.
Team must be in the current top 15 bull pen On Base
Percentage Against.
Team must be in the top 15 least committed errors for the
season.
Only play a team that qualifies for all the above criteria
and is currently on 2 to 5 game win streak.
If they did not win at least the last 2, don’t play them. If they won the last 5 or more, don’t play
them
Doing this will win you money for the season because you’ll
have some heavy lines and some light lines.
If you really want to increase your winnings don’t play any lines worse
than -150 on these.
You will have an average of less than 1 qualified play per
day so if you are an action junkie this won’t work for you.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.