Today I'm doing well and expect to finish 8-3. I'm trying to figure out why my bets on PIT-LAD and NYM-SEA for under 0.5 runs in the first inning didn't work. You'd think they had a good chance. Also, PHI-ARI and CIN-MIL bets failed too.
Interestingly, except for PHI-ARI, all those games ended up being low-scoring. Even though there were runs in the first inning, the scoring slowed down later. So it seems that betting under 0.5 runs in the first inning is always risky, even with good pitchers. However, the scoring seems to be kept under control unless erratic managerial changes are introduced later on.
Moving forward, what are some good signals to look at when selecting the 0.5 and under in the first inning? It seems that just looking at the pitcher's skill and how they are trending is not enough.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Today I'm doing well and expect to finish 8-3. I'm trying to figure out why my bets on PIT-LAD and NYM-SEA for under 0.5 runs in the first inning didn't work. You'd think they had a good chance. Also, PHI-ARI and CIN-MIL bets failed too.
Interestingly, except for PHI-ARI, all those games ended up being low-scoring. Even though there were runs in the first inning, the scoring slowed down later. So it seems that betting under 0.5 runs in the first inning is always risky, even with good pitchers. However, the scoring seems to be kept under control unless erratic managerial changes are introduced later on.
Moving forward, what are some good signals to look at when selecting the 0.5 and under in the first inning? It seems that just looking at the pitcher's skill and how they are trending is not enough.
More often the ones that seem a lock for no runs become a yrfi amd it's the second tier that's no runs like cards n kc n cubs v w Sox that were no runs ... old saying is if it looks too good to be true it probably is
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@masteryoriented
More often the ones that seem a lock for no runs become a yrfi amd it's the second tier that's no runs like cards n kc n cubs v w Sox that were no runs ... old saying is if it looks too good to be true it probably is
Dodgers are hitting very well, when Gavin Lux is 2/4 there's not a lot you can do. Weak link for them is Freeman and Smith and 1 was out tonight. Wait for them to both be in the lineup.
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Dodgers are hitting very well, when Gavin Lux is 2/4 there's not a lot you can do. Weak link for them is Freeman and Smith and 1 was out tonight. Wait for them to both be in the lineup.
It's odd how teams with poor offenses can suddenly do well against great pitchers, but then the pitcher gets back on track. With average pitchers, it often doesn't happen the same way. I should think about the weather and pitchers' styles, like if they give up fly balls and the wind is blowing in. For now, I think I'll avoid betting on first innings with odds of 0.5 or lower.
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@Bill7
It's odd how teams with poor offenses can suddenly do well against great pitchers, but then the pitcher gets back on track. With average pitchers, it often doesn't happen the same way. I should think about the weather and pitchers' styles, like if they give up fly balls and the wind is blowing in. For now, I think I'll avoid betting on first innings with odds of 0.5 or lower.
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