AI TEXAS@OHIO ST

Offensive Matchups

Texas (Arch Manning debut)

• Manning’s strengths: mobility outside the pocket, quick release, and arm talent on deep throws.

• Expect Texas to lean on play-action and vertical passing to stress OSU’s young secondary.

• The offensive line is experienced but must neutralize Ohio State’s interior pass rush.

• Key X-factor: WR Johntay Cook II — a vertical threat who could open the field for Manning.

Ohio State (Julian Sayin debut)

• Sayin isn’t as physically dominant as Manning but thrives on accuracy and timing routes.

• Buckeyes’ plan likely revolves around short, efficient passing to WR Jeremiah Smith, who could be the best player on the field.

• Ohio State may test Texas linebackers with RB screens and swing passes, trying to slow down the blitz.

Texas Defense

• DC Pete Kwiatkowski’s unit thrives on pressure from the front seven. Colin Simmons and Anthony Hill Jr. will try to collapse the pocket and force Sayin into quick decisions.

• The secondary, led by Terrance Brooks, must avoid giving up big plays to Smith — who will command double coverage at times.

Ohio State Defense

• The Buckeyes’ strength lies in their safety play (Caleb Downs, Sonny Styles) and athletic linebackers.

• Expect disguised coverages, trying to bait Manning into early mistakes.

• OSU’s front must win early downs to put Texas in 3rd-and-long — where a first-year starter is most vulnerable.

1. Red Zone Execution

   • Texas struggled last year (64% TD rate) while OSU was top-10 nationally.

   • Whichever team turns drives into touchdowns instead of field goals will hold the edge.

2. Turnovers

   • Both QBs are talented but young. A tipped ball, strip sack, or misread could flip momentum instantly.

3. Tempo Control

   • If Texas dictates pace with Manning spreading the field, OSU could struggle.

   • If OSU establishes a balanced run-pass rhythm, Texas’ defense may get worn down.

• Vegas Line: Ohio State –1 (essentially a pick ‘em).

• Total: 47 points ? oddsmakers expect a defensive, low-to-mid scoring affair.

• Model Insights: Simulations give Texas a slight edge covering the spread, but OSU holds a 55% projected win probability due to home-field advantage at the Horseshoe.

• First Half: Tight defensive battle, nerves for both QBs.

• Second Half: Explosive plays from Manning and Smith tilt the flow.

• Final Score Projection:

  • Texas 24 – Ohio State 21

  • Decided by a late Manning drive and clutch red-zone defense.

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Texas got this . Good luck yo .

Texas easy. #1 team as a road dog?! Cake