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Nice work Herb. Let's get these!
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herbshack | 78 |
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Good Luck Sir! I do think teams and bettors will overlook the Rocks going forward, esp at home - will be interesting to pick spots here and there. Noticed you on them a bit and agree w/ the angle in general. |
herbshack | 78 |
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Nice come from behind shellacking. Pay that man his money! |
herbshack | 78 |
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Let's run it back tonight - new manager lighting a fire! |
herbshack | 78 |
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Rocks didn't even need the 1.25 but that was a sweet cash even with the cushion! |
herbshack | 78 |
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herbshack | 78 |
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Keep chipping away Herb - bankroll creeping higher! |
herbshack | 78 |
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Betting dogs is always tougher but keep in mind that faves are 5-0 in the playoffs so far and the books will begin to adjust accordingly. |
Lippsman | 334 |
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Love it - Mikolas is a gas can - Mets -1/2 F5 -135 also easier money than rasslin gators. |
Floridaman | 9 |
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Didn't have data on which playoff round but managed a rough estimate by adding that the team's game 9 games ago was NOT a playoff game. playoffs = 1 and ((series game = 1 and line >= 120) or (series game = 2 and p:L and p:line >= 120 and line >= 120)) and ppppppppp:playoffs = 0 110-153 (41.8%) +16.91u +6.4% ROI |
Lippsman | 334 |
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@dyamarik Will look into the first two series only numbers later today if possible. Also note that the way I tested it, a team could have been a slight fav in game 1, lost that game, then come back as a dog in game 2 and for my test, that would be a play on. Not sure if Lippsman would have been on those. |
Lippsman | 334 |
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playoffs = 1 and ((series game = 1 and D) or (series game = 2 and p:L and D)) SDQL did not do the 120 or better but that's an easy modification to playoffs = 1 and ((series game = 1 and line >= 120) or (series game = 2 and p:L and p:line >= 120 and line >= 120)) which went 128-196 (39.5%) +0.88u 0.3% ROI |
Lippsman | 334 |
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Nice day Herb! 2-1 w dogs is outstanding. |
herbshack | 78 |
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Ran a model on this that looked at all playoff series. Simple rules - bet the dog in series game 1. Bet the dog in series game 2 if they lost the first game. Overall very positive numbers but has had down years, though the last one was followed by several nice up years. Great work - looking forward to the upcoming playoffs
Record: 184-237 43.7% Units: +22.2 ROI: 5.3% 2023: 8-11 -1.29u -6.8% ROI 2022: 11-6 +10.25u 59.7% ROI 2021: 10-14 +1.35u 5.6% ROI 2020: 10-12 +3.25u 14.8% ROI 2019: 20-19 +6.6u 16.9% ROI 2018: 12-12 +4.22u 17.6% ROI 2017: 10-14 -0.02u 0% ROI 2016: 10-8 +6.20u 34.4% ROI
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Lippsman | 334 |
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Starting to heat up! |
herbshack | 78 |
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Oh man the September Dogs ... what a run! Glad to see you back. No run lines yet appealing, or do you eschew them? -1.5 @ +125 would seem to be in your wheelhouse. |
herbshack | 78 |
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Excellent work. Goalie/ref overlays worth an additional look as are situational rest/travel spots. Love it that you can make money going 2-6! |
dyamarik | 35 |
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Quote Originally Posted by dakotajhawk:
@Flynt @ColinMac i still have 4 guys missing the entire week 10/22-10/29 in our NCAAF pool. Any word on if things are still getting worked on? Can they get tracked down if you have usernames? Missing NCAAF and NFL on my end for this same period.
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Flynt | 56 |
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@ColinMac NFL and NCAAF from last weekend completely missing |
Flynt | 56 |
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Like it |
Martelxo92 | 7 |
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