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I dunno, if Indy shows up at all, the game goes over. Indy can't defend, so it's either Chicago and under, (because Indy just gets no points), or Indy and over, (chicago still wins but doesn't cover because Indy actually gets some buckets).
Either way, I think you're right that IF Indy does show up, it will have to be early on. So 1st half is not a terrible play on Indy. No way the Bulls lose here. But definitely Indy can make it a game. |
jesron1269 | 26 |
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I like the sweetheart teaser, I was looking at almost the exact same thing, only instead of the dallas over, I added the Orl under. But I like it! I might take that Dallas over after all! Good call!
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Jayro830 | 6 |
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I think playoffs tend to have more unders happen than regular season. Even with the adjusted totals, the under probably hits 60% of the time overall. There are three teams in particular which I think the under is always a good bet in the first round: Lakers, Boston, Orlando.
I don't think the Spurs, Miami, Chicago, Dallas, or OKC series are particularly good for unders. Actually the OKC games in Denver should both go over IMO. But the LA, Bos, and Orl series in the first round have too many commonalities to ignore. Dominant teams, who prefer a slow pace, who have a good inside game, vs teams with no go-to guys, none of which really like the fast break, etc etc... It's a recipe for unders. New York isn't going to dictate pace against Boston. Not a chance. They are the only one of the teams here who might have an inclination to run and gun, and that's why the total is set close to 200, because there will be a little bit of fast breaking...perhaps. But it's Boston. And they will always bring it back to a slow pace. Those are my three series I'm looking at the under for. Maybe the home games for NO might go over, depends if NO shows up. But you can bet the games in LA are going to be more likely than not to be unders. Same with Orlando. But even when that series goes to Atl...Atlanta is just garbge, doesn't matter home or away. They have no home crowd. They have no hunger this year. Garbage. |
paradigm776 | 4 |
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That's a nice story.
....and now back to reality, where Uruguay has multiple players sitting out, they are overmatched (gimme a break, they only had to beat South Korea and Ghana to advance to this point), and they are more than happy to exit here and feel like they accomplished something. Uruguay is dead money. If you are capping 2-1 based on a header late in the game...you might wanna reconsider how much you are putting down on this game... dangerous. |
elmatador | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by boyboy: can mods please change paraguay in my title to uruguay.... ....LMFAO Guys, am I the only one on Denmark today? I really think they are gonna take it to Paraguay! I see huge potential here! |
boyboy | 36 |
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I'm taking spain to be leading at the half for even odds. You think they aren't gonna come out and establish early who is gonna win this game? Don't waste cash on juice. This game ends in 90. In fact it ends in the first half.
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rm2673 | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BetCrimes1984: venue has had 6 games played there, for 18 goals scored/3.00 avg And its stats like that which just absolutely destroy your bankroll...What does the venue have to do with it? VERY little. VERY VERY VERY little. Since Paraguay isn't scoring on Spain today...not even a near miss...it would mean Spain MUST score at least 3 goals. Spain is the type of team that, they will score first...and protect the lead the rest of the way. If they happen to get two goals...you are lucky. Three? Now your asking for some serious help. |
I-Got-5-On-It | 18 |
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4-6 goals a better value. Matter of fact, taking over 4.5 goals at +700 is a very good deal. Neither of these teams do exceptional on defense. Both of them know how to score and likely will score. Neither of them will try and slow the game down after they score a goal to take the lead....etc etc.
I think this game is going to be an offensive exhibition and a thriller. 2-3 goals? maybe. But considering that 2-3 goals could be scored in the first half alone...I dunno.... |
Knightes007 | 7 |
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wow.
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mikeychips22 | 15 |
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not only does spain not score within 15 minutes...they LOSE THE MATCH! lol. Consider your bet dead money.
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WillyWonka | 22 |
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I think you're wrong. I wish I could just bet you for less juice. First 15 minutes spain scores? I'll bet any amount if I could get that bet anywhere I would take it...
You wanna play bookie for me for this one wager? I will literally place 10,000 on it. |
WillyWonka | 22 |
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agree. Spaniards about to be shocked. And then everyone on this forum who bet one Spain "OMG, the refs!" "OMG Spain is a bunch of...bla bla bla."
None of them will say "wow, I was wrong. I need to learn how to cap better." Such is life. |
murphs | 5 |
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Spain = a bad value.
Spain = |
mikeychips22 | 14 |
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terrible money management.
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Mtlguy | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BigGuy219: I am undefeated when my picks are flamed. You might have just 'd the Japan backers. Right, because what people say in a forum has an effect on the outcome of a game thousands of miles away. The only person who got moosed is you. Japan +.5 is hard to argue with. |
BigGuy219 | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Raidernator76: i like paraguay as well. S.Americans are 12-0-3 against Asian teams in World Cup History Yup, and with a draw here today, it will be 12-0-4. Or maybe even a win by Japan to be 12-1-3. Nobody is going to be that shocked. |
adlai52 | 4 |
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I love it. I also think the Japan under is solid. I like your two plays though...
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THAmanRP | 3 |
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Yeah and look at the games yesterday:
Netherlands game was all but finished (and would have finished UNDER) if it wasn't for a penalty call literally with TWO SECONDS left in the game. Also the Brazil game had that mental lapse from the Chilean player who just for no reason gave the ball right up to a Brazilian attacker who put it in. I think it was Fabiano. Anyway, yes the games went over technically, but that kind of stuff isn't something to bank on. The Japan game today in my opinion will have a hard time going over 1.5 goals, much less 2.5. This is a very good game to unload on an under. |
number_master | 9 |
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damn, you might be setting yourself up for disaster when japan finishes the match tied 0-0 and Portugal and Spain finish 2-2.
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billyloco | 19 |
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Portugal is a great value, and Spain isn't playing well nor do they have the momentum when they need it. Also Portugal has no pressure. None at all.
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Lewstar2000 | 4 |
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