NO (+3.5): I think this game is similar to the last one and another shootout in a dome. These two teams know each other well and both are fairly healthy. This game will come down to Saints D and their secondary. Last one to score wins. 29-33 Saints. Seattle (+3.5): RLM from +4.5 with 81% on Chicago. This won't be a very exciting game and is actually off the board in 50% of the books (probably because of Seattle's corner's possible suspension). Chicago has two division rivals in a row next week and they may be looking ahead a bit against a team that doesn't play well on the road and suffered a tough loss last weekend to the Dolphins. The corners ARE playing and you should see a lot of ground-and-pound. 17-19 Chicago. Minnesota (+9.5): GB won tihs matchup a couple of weeks ago 45-7 in the dome and now they are at home. They aren't the GB of old, have no running game, and are plagued with injuries. Minny are no NY Giants, but if they can pressure Rodegrs they can force some turnovers and pound the ball with AD to chew up the clock. 24-27 GB. St. Louis (+7.): RLM from +9 with 84% of SF. St. Louis has unfinished business after the tie and SF pretty much has the NFCW locked down with 3 of there next 4 winnable games. Kaepernik looks to be starting and he creates a spark, but he might struggle against this D. 49ers 0-4 ATS against teams with a losing record. Sharp $ might push this back up to 7.5, which is where I'd take St. Louis. 30-23 San Fran. NY Jets (-4.5): 66% public fave, which is why it moved from the opening -3; I like the direction it's heading. Zona doesn't know WHO is there QB and rely on Fitz and their D to keep them in games. The Jets show up for games every few weeks and have had plenty of time to prepare after getting obliterated at home by NE. Believe it or not, I think the Tebow circus is dying down now that they see how worthless he is to that offense. This game will be Arizona's 8th straight loss but I don't think Rex will allow the Jets to get embarrassed two straight weeks at home. 12 - 20 Jets. Carolina (-3): I know it's KC at Arrowhead (0-6 ATS at home/Panthers 4-0 ATS on road), 80% public favorite, and I know KC is due for a win. Both coaches are on the hot seat and neither team has played to its potential. Cam took control of the offense Monday night, although against a bad D on prime time, but if he can do the same it will be a similar game. Brady Quinn played well against a division rival and Jamal Charles always "does work", but I think Cam and S.Smith will be too much. 33-14 Cam. Detroit (-4.5): RLM from -3.5. Detroit had quite the letdown on Turkey Dat at home and are now coming off of 8 days rest and are moving on. Their playoff hopes are done and now they can be spoilers as Indy does have playoff hopes. Luck has had a good year and they have a young quick squad, but Detroit is a bit underrated and their D is one of the best. This will be a shootout and I can see C.Johnson having 150+ w/2 TD's (don't forget how bad the Colts D is). 31-38 Detroit. Jacksonville (+5.5): If your taking J-Ville take them now because the public is driving this line down. Henne is playing well and Buffalo looked bad against Indy last weekend. I personally won't touch this game and it will be as bad to watch as you can imagine. Neither team will have more than 300 total yards and it will probably be very cold. 13-16 Buffalo. Miami (+9): 90% of the public on NE and this line hasn't moved a bit, which makes it a bit fishy (are they begging for fish $?). These two teams generally play each other close. Gronk is still out and Miami is healthy. This is the ONE game that Phins fans get excited to go out and see and I like how Miami's D is playing. NE wants homefield and has HOU and SF coming up, so although NE wins outright the Phins keep it close.22-27 NE (to just hit the Under). Houston (-5.5): 94% on Houston and this game is below a FG??? I'm baffled, Houston still needs to win a couple for homefield and they have the Pats coming up so they need this W. Tennessee got beat by Houston earlier 38-14 and this is about the score I see again here. Houston has had 8 days to prepare and the Titans fired their O coordinator a couple of nights ago. 36 - 24 Houston. Denver (-8): The line is moving with the $ and is right in my wheelhouse at 53%. 8 is a scary # to lay, but I think Denver snaps out of the funk they put themselves in last week and I believe Tampa is due for a bad game. Looking back, these two teams usually play each other close and with the way TB is playing, Joe Public will jump all over Tampa. Although TB has a good D, I thinking Peyton goes off with 385 yards and 4 TD's. The Denver D will also have a pick-6 as Freemen will be forced to throw late in the game. 23-41 Denver. Cincy (-1): This line will probably cose at -3.5 as the public is loving Cincy and SD is a mess, so if you like Cincy take them now because they have value. Cincy's next 3-4 games will be tough and they have a legit shot at the playoffs. I think that Norv's time in SD is running out like sand in an hour glass. Should be nice weather and I see a lot of passing. 31-24 Cincy. Dallas (-10.5); like Denver, the public @ 54% is pushing this up a bit. I am sticking with my guns and fading the Eagles and like the Jets, Broncos, and Bengals TAKE DALLAS TODAY! Dallas has a shot at the playoffs and has had 8 days. Babin just got cut and the Eagles D looked like UMASS, embarrassing. Both teams have crucial injuries but QB vs QB, WR vs WR, D vs D, I have to go with my gut. 6 - 37 Dallas. Baltimore (-3): One book has Baltimore at -3 because it looks like Batch will get the start again. Batch isn't very good and Baltimore is going to eat him alive. Baltimore has too many weapons and although I think it is tied @ 10-10 at half, I think Baltimore pulls away in the 2nd half. 17 - 27 Baltimore. NY Giants (-1): This line is already going up in most books as you can imagine with 84% on the GMen. If London Fletcher is out, I don't know how Wash will pressure Manning. The key in this game is containing RGIII and forcing him to make mistakes. The Giants/Coughlin have film and will be well prepared for this matchup. 26-21 GMen.
NO (+3.5): I think this game is similar to the last one and another shootout in a dome. These two teams know each other well and both are fairly healthy. This game will come down to Saints D and their secondary. Last one to score wins. 29-33 Saints. Seattle (+3.5): RLM from +4.5 with 81% on Chicago. This won't be a very exciting game and is actually off the board in 50% of the books (probably because of Seattle's corner's possible suspension). Chicago has two division rivals in a row next week and they may be looking ahead a bit against a team that doesn't play well on the road and suffered a tough loss last weekend to the Dolphins. The corners ARE playing and you should see a lot of ground-and-pound. 17-19 Chicago. Minnesota (+9.5): GB won tihs matchup a couple of weeks ago 45-7 in the dome and now they are at home. They aren't the GB of old, have no running game, and are plagued with injuries. Minny are no NY Giants, but if they can pressure Rodegrs they can force some turnovers and pound the ball with AD to chew up the clock. 24-27 GB. St. Louis (+7.): RLM from +9 with 84% of SF. St. Louis has unfinished business after the tie and SF pretty much has the NFCW locked down with 3 of there next 4 winnable games. Kaepernik looks to be starting and he creates a spark, but he might struggle against this D. 49ers 0-4 ATS against teams with a losing record. Sharp $ might push this back up to 7.5, which is where I'd take St. Louis. 30-23 San Fran. NY Jets (-4.5): 66% public fave, which is why it moved from the opening -3; I like the direction it's heading. Zona doesn't know WHO is there QB and rely on Fitz and their D to keep them in games. The Jets show up for games every few weeks and have had plenty of time to prepare after getting obliterated at home by NE. Believe it or not, I think the Tebow circus is dying down now that they see how worthless he is to that offense. This game will be Arizona's 8th straight loss but I don't think Rex will allow the Jets to get embarrassed two straight weeks at home. 12 - 20 Jets. Carolina (-3): I know it's KC at Arrowhead (0-6 ATS at home/Panthers 4-0 ATS on road), 80% public favorite, and I know KC is due for a win. Both coaches are on the hot seat and neither team has played to its potential. Cam took control of the offense Monday night, although against a bad D on prime time, but if he can do the same it will be a similar game. Brady Quinn played well against a division rival and Jamal Charles always "does work", but I think Cam and S.Smith will be too much. 33-14 Cam. Detroit (-4.5): RLM from -3.5. Detroit had quite the letdown on Turkey Dat at home and are now coming off of 8 days rest and are moving on. Their playoff hopes are done and now they can be spoilers as Indy does have playoff hopes. Luck has had a good year and they have a young quick squad, but Detroit is a bit underrated and their D is one of the best. This will be a shootout and I can see C.Johnson having 150+ w/2 TD's (don't forget how bad the Colts D is). 31-38 Detroit. Jacksonville (+5.5): If your taking J-Ville take them now because the public is driving this line down. Henne is playing well and Buffalo looked bad against Indy last weekend. I personally won't touch this game and it will be as bad to watch as you can imagine. Neither team will have more than 300 total yards and it will probably be very cold. 13-16 Buffalo. Miami (+9): 90% of the public on NE and this line hasn't moved a bit, which makes it a bit fishy (are they begging for fish $?). These two teams generally play each other close. Gronk is still out and Miami is healthy. This is the ONE game that Phins fans get excited to go out and see and I like how Miami's D is playing. NE wants homefield and has HOU and SF coming up, so although NE wins outright the Phins keep it close.22-27 NE (to just hit the Under). Houston (-5.5): 94% on Houston and this game is below a FG??? I'm baffled, Houston still needs to win a couple for homefield and they have the Pats coming up so they need this W. Tennessee got beat by Houston earlier 38-14 and this is about the score I see again here. Houston has had 8 days to prepare and the Titans fired their O coordinator a couple of nights ago. 36 - 24 Houston. Denver (-8): The line is moving with the $ and is right in my wheelhouse at 53%. 8 is a scary # to lay, but I think Denver snaps out of the funk they put themselves in last week and I believe Tampa is due for a bad game. Looking back, these two teams usually play each other close and with the way TB is playing, Joe Public will jump all over Tampa. Although TB has a good D, I thinking Peyton goes off with 385 yards and 4 TD's. The Denver D will also have a pick-6 as Freemen will be forced to throw late in the game. 23-41 Denver. Cincy (-1): This line will probably cose at -3.5 as the public is loving Cincy and SD is a mess, so if you like Cincy take them now because they have value. Cincy's next 3-4 games will be tough and they have a legit shot at the playoffs. I think that Norv's time in SD is running out like sand in an hour glass. Should be nice weather and I see a lot of passing. 31-24 Cincy. Dallas (-10.5); like Denver, the public @ 54% is pushing this up a bit. I am sticking with my guns and fading the Eagles and like the Jets, Broncos, and Bengals TAKE DALLAS TODAY! Dallas has a shot at the playoffs and has had 8 days. Babin just got cut and the Eagles D looked like UMASS, embarrassing. Both teams have crucial injuries but QB vs QB, WR vs WR, D vs D, I have to go with my gut. 6 - 37 Dallas. Baltimore (-3): One book has Baltimore at -3 because it looks like Batch will get the start again. Batch isn't very good and Baltimore is going to eat him alive. Baltimore has too many weapons and although I think it is tied @ 10-10 at half, I think Baltimore pulls away in the 2nd half. 17 - 27 Baltimore. NY Giants (-1): This line is already going up in most books as you can imagine with 84% on the GMen. If London Fletcher is out, I don't know how Wash will pressure Manning. The key in this game is containing RGIII and forcing him to make mistakes. The Giants/Coughlin have film and will be well prepared for this matchup. 26-21 GMen.
BTW - I am a situational better in the NFL and generally fade the public unless I have a reason not to. I've been killing it in NCAAF and am posting my NFL picks to get those #'s up and finish the season strong. Any suggestions or comments are more than welcome.
So far I have locked in the Jets @ -4.5, Cincy @ -1.5, and Seattle @ +4.
BTW - I am a situational better in the NFL and generally fade the public unless I have a reason not to. I've been killing it in NCAAF and am posting my NFL picks to get those #'s up and finish the season strong. Any suggestions or comments are more than welcome.
So far I have locked in the Jets @ -4.5, Cincy @ -1.5, and Seattle @ +4.
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