Starting out here at Covers in Week 2 of the NFL Season. I will stick mainly to NFL & may post NBA in the future. Follow or fade, all feedback is appreciated..
Here we go..
Thursday Night Football Texans @ Bengals (-6)
The 2016 Jaguars were suppose to come in and shock the NFL. Well, after a dismal '16 campaign, they did exactly that in Week 1 of 2017 vs the Houston Texans. Coming in as a 6 point favorite, the Texans were overwhelmed by the Jags defense, 29-7. 5 days later and now they are a 6 point dog?! Against a team that didn't score last week?! (Ravens 20 Bengals 0) Vegas has this one wrong. Texans will bounce back and take this one 23-17 in Cincy. We will take the points just to be certain. Texans +6 (1 unit)
Sunday Jets @ Raiders (-13.5)
These two teams are going in opposite directions in 2017-2018. The Jets are in a rebuild and the Raiders are flourishing from the exact same method (2002-2015) Let's hope it doesn't take the Jets 13 seasons to post a winning record. In Week 1 of 2017 Oakland's passing attack was strong hitting 8 different receivers led by their two big guns, Crabtree (6/83) and Cooper (5/62/1td). I expect a lot of the same this week. Look for Oakland to handle the Jets at home. Final score - Raiders 38 Jets 9 (2 units)
Reskins @ Rams (-2.5)
Week 1 was no fluke for the new look Rams. After taking a 10-0 lead in the 1Q, they never looked back against the Andrew Luck-less Colts. Jared Goff got his first career win (0-7 LY) as did rookie head coach Sean McVay. This week the Washington Redskins come out west to visit Los Angeles, coming off a 30-17 loss against a talented Eagles team. After posting a league high 46 points in W1, I don't see the Rams letting up with a balanced attack of Todd Gurley on the ground and recent acquisition Sammy Watkins adding to their already solid receiving core. The Rams will take this one easily and cover the 2.5. Rams 34 Skins 16 (5 units)
Eagles @ Chiefs (-6)
Next we will look at the Philadelphia Eagles ?? flying into Kansas City to face the rested Chiefs. Call me crazy but the 6 point spread here is too much. The entire NFL saw what the Chiefs did on TNF against the heavily favored New England Patriots. Alex Smith had the game of his life and Kareem Hunt made each fantasy owner that drafted him look like a genius. Nonetheless, I will be fading this Chiefs team going into Week 2. The Pats were off on both sides of the ball and the Chiefs took advantage. The Eagles will be ready for this attack. Led by Carson Wentz (307/2td/1int) & their defense (4 sacks, INT, 2 FF) Philly took care of the Redskins 30-17 in a not so impressive win. A win is a win in this league & the Eagles are 1-0. Their defense lead by their D-Line will keep this one close & limit the big plays the Chiefs were able to pull off lw in New England, while keeping stand out rookie Hunt at bay. Big money coming in on KC raising the line to -6 but we will go with the points here. KC gets the W but the Eagles will cover. 23-20 Final. (2 units)
I will follow up with any more plays for Sunday & keep an eye out for my MNF pick with the Lions facing off against the New York Football a Giants in East Rutherford. Current line Giants -3.
**I will track my record by wins and by units. Unit system 1-10.
Starting out here at Covers in Week 2 of the NFL Season. I will stick mainly to NFL & may post NBA in the future. Follow or fade, all feedback is appreciated..
Here we go..
Thursday Night Football Texans @ Bengals (-6)
The 2016 Jaguars were suppose to come in and shock the NFL. Well, after a dismal '16 campaign, they did exactly that in Week 1 of 2017 vs the Houston Texans. Coming in as a 6 point favorite, the Texans were overwhelmed by the Jags defense, 29-7. 5 days later and now they are a 6 point dog?! Against a team that didn't score last week?! (Ravens 20 Bengals 0) Vegas has this one wrong. Texans will bounce back and take this one 23-17 in Cincy. We will take the points just to be certain. Texans +6 (1 unit)
Sunday Jets @ Raiders (-13.5)
These two teams are going in opposite directions in 2017-2018. The Jets are in a rebuild and the Raiders are flourishing from the exact same method (2002-2015) Let's hope it doesn't take the Jets 13 seasons to post a winning record. In Week 1 of 2017 Oakland's passing attack was strong hitting 8 different receivers led by their two big guns, Crabtree (6/83) and Cooper (5/62/1td). I expect a lot of the same this week. Look for Oakland to handle the Jets at home. Final score - Raiders 38 Jets 9 (2 units)
Reskins @ Rams (-2.5)
Week 1 was no fluke for the new look Rams. After taking a 10-0 lead in the 1Q, they never looked back against the Andrew Luck-less Colts. Jared Goff got his first career win (0-7 LY) as did rookie head coach Sean McVay. This week the Washington Redskins come out west to visit Los Angeles, coming off a 30-17 loss against a talented Eagles team. After posting a league high 46 points in W1, I don't see the Rams letting up with a balanced attack of Todd Gurley on the ground and recent acquisition Sammy Watkins adding to their already solid receiving core. The Rams will take this one easily and cover the 2.5. Rams 34 Skins 16 (5 units)
Eagles @ Chiefs (-6)
Next we will look at the Philadelphia Eagles ?? flying into Kansas City to face the rested Chiefs. Call me crazy but the 6 point spread here is too much. The entire NFL saw what the Chiefs did on TNF against the heavily favored New England Patriots. Alex Smith had the game of his life and Kareem Hunt made each fantasy owner that drafted him look like a genius. Nonetheless, I will be fading this Chiefs team going into Week 2. The Pats were off on both sides of the ball and the Chiefs took advantage. The Eagles will be ready for this attack. Led by Carson Wentz (307/2td/1int) & their defense (4 sacks, INT, 2 FF) Philly took care of the Redskins 30-17 in a not so impressive win. A win is a win in this league & the Eagles are 1-0. Their defense lead by their D-Line will keep this one close & limit the big plays the Chiefs were able to pull off lw in New England, while keeping stand out rookie Hunt at bay. Big money coming in on KC raising the line to -6 but we will go with the points here. KC gets the W but the Eagles will cover. 23-20 Final. (2 units)
I will follow up with any more plays for Sunday & keep an eye out for my MNF pick with the Lions facing off against the New York Football a Giants in East Rutherford. Current line Giants -3.
**I will track my record by wins and by units. Unit system 1-10.
Another weak performance by QB Andy Dalton here tonight. Never got into rhythm and it showed as the Bengals have been kept out of the end zone for a 2nd straight game. This team will have a lot to work on in the next 10 days before facing a tough Green Bay team at Lambeau.
FADE2WIN off to a 1-0 start on the season +1 units
Big shoutout to the zero followers I have so far today. Solid day guys.
Another weak performance by QB Andy Dalton here tonight. Never got into rhythm and it showed as the Bengals have been kept out of the end zone for a 2nd straight game. This team will have a lot to work on in the next 10 days before facing a tough Green Bay team at Lambeau.
FADE2WIN off to a 1-0 start on the season +1 units
Big shoutout to the zero followers I have so far today. Solid day guys.
NFL Power Rankings going into Week 1 1. Patriots 2. Atlanta 3. Seattle 4. Pittsburg 5. Green Bay These TOP 5 teams went a combined 1-4 ATS. Pats & Seahawks lose SU!
27. Rams 28. Jaguars 29. Bears 30. Browns 31. Colts 32. Jets These BOTTOM 6 teams went 5-1 ATS!! Rams and Jags win SU!
Granted the Pack played the Seahawks so one team was coming out w/ the loss and the Rams faced (beat up on) the Colts so one team was getting the W but this is very interesting going into Week 2. Let's see how these top teams bounce back and these bottom of the barrel follow up some impressive performances.
NFL Power Rankings going into Week 1 1. Patriots 2. Atlanta 3. Seattle 4. Pittsburg 5. Green Bay These TOP 5 teams went a combined 1-4 ATS. Pats & Seahawks lose SU!
27. Rams 28. Jaguars 29. Bears 30. Browns 31. Colts 32. Jets These BOTTOM 6 teams went 5-1 ATS!! Rams and Jags win SU!
Granted the Pack played the Seahawks so one team was coming out w/ the loss and the Rams faced (beat up on) the Colts so one team was getting the W but this is very interesting going into Week 2. Let's see how these top teams bounce back and these bottom of the barrel follow up some impressive performances.
Adding another play with the Browns +10 in this spot.
Browns @ Ravens (-10)
Another tough divisional match-up here in the AFC North, which should be one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL in 2017. After their W1 win, Big Ben gave the Browns the credit that was due and F2W is going to do the same. Cleveland was able to keep LeVeon Bell (10 carries 37 yards) in check although very susceptible to the pass as AB torched them for 11 catches and 182 yards. The run game nor the receiving core of the Ravens compare to the Steelers offense so look for the Browns to stay in this one, hold the Ravens offense to under 20 points and cover this 10 point spread. Running back by committee took a hit this past week for Baltimore as they lost Danny Woodhead for the foreseeable future. They will lean on Terrence West and Buck Allen to carry the load moving forward. The Browns front 7 should be able to hold these two on the ground and keep them in it. IF Rookie QB DeShon Kizer can limit his turnovers, this scrappy Browns squad may even pull out the victory. Either way, we'll take the points. Final Score - Ravens 16 Browns 13 (2 units)
Week 2 Plays to date Texans +6 WIN +1 unit Rams -2.5 (5units) Raiders -13.5 (2units) Eagles +6 (2units) Browns +10 (2units)
Adding another play with the Browns +10 in this spot.
Browns @ Ravens (-10)
Another tough divisional match-up here in the AFC North, which should be one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL in 2017. After their W1 win, Big Ben gave the Browns the credit that was due and F2W is going to do the same. Cleveland was able to keep LeVeon Bell (10 carries 37 yards) in check although very susceptible to the pass as AB torched them for 11 catches and 182 yards. The run game nor the receiving core of the Ravens compare to the Steelers offense so look for the Browns to stay in this one, hold the Ravens offense to under 20 points and cover this 10 point spread. Running back by committee took a hit this past week for Baltimore as they lost Danny Woodhead for the foreseeable future. They will lean on Terrence West and Buck Allen to carry the load moving forward. The Browns front 7 should be able to hold these two on the ground and keep them in it. IF Rookie QB DeShon Kizer can limit his turnovers, this scrappy Browns squad may even pull out the victory. Either way, we'll take the points. Final Score - Ravens 16 Browns 13 (2 units)
Week 2 Plays to date Texans +6 WIN +1 unit Rams -2.5 (5units) Raiders -13.5 (2units) Eagles +6 (2units) Browns +10 (2units)
Jacoby Brissett will start for the Colts. After coming in early in the 4thQ of Week 1, Brissett drove the Colts down the field in 5 plays topped off with a 3 yard Td run by Marlon Mack (10 car/24yd/1td), their only TD of the game. Not an easy call here for HC Chuck Pagano as Brissett joined the club in early Septemeber. With very few reps with the club, I see him struggling in this spot vs a very tough Cardinals defense. Arizona -7 is looking good to me but this is a stay away. Let's see how the kid plays. Prediction (not a play) Cards 27 Colts 16
Jacoby Brissett will start for the Colts. After coming in early in the 4thQ of Week 1, Brissett drove the Colts down the field in 5 plays topped off with a 3 yard Td run by Marlon Mack (10 car/24yd/1td), their only TD of the game. Not an easy call here for HC Chuck Pagano as Brissett joined the club in early Septemeber. With very few reps with the club, I see him struggling in this spot vs a very tough Cardinals defense. Arizona -7 is looking good to me but this is a stay away. Let's see how the kid plays. Prediction (not a play) Cards 27 Colts 16
Truth be told, this write up started as lean. We will now add it to the card.
Titans @ Jaguars (+1.5)
I referenced the Jags in my write up for TNF. They shocked us (me), but are they really as good as they played in Week 1? One thing is for sure, they will be out to prove they are for real in Week 2. Holding the Texans to 7 points, their defense put up an unbelievable 10 sacks, 12 TFL & 15 QB Hits led by Vet Calais Campbells 4 sack game. BUT after watching the offensively inept Texans last night (13pts1td) my gut tells me the defensive performance that carried them to victory had a lot to do with the Texans inability on offense. On the other side of the ball, the Jags were stagnant at times, unable to take advantage of the opportunities their defense gave them. Their bright spot was Rookie Leonard Fournette, hitting the century mark (100 yds 26 carries) in his first NFL game. The run game totaled 155 on 39 carries. Bortles only completed 11 passes (125 yd) in the win. Look for much of the same this week as the Jags will lean heavy on their run game. They may have shocked the NFL with the W. They may have lost some bettors $ and helped Vegas in the process. Packaged with a Titans loss & Vegas has the 1-0 Jags listed as +1.5 dog against the 0-1 Titans at home in Jacksonville. Getting points at home after that performance?! No brainer. Nope. My lean is on the Titans.
**Before going into the Titans, keep in mind they were also FAVORED last week against Oakland! -2.5 vs Oak. -1.5 vs Jacksonville?! This doesn't add up.
Tennessee opened up at home with a hard fought loss to the Raiders in W1. It may not have been the start they were looking for, but definitely were some positives. Their defensive unit held Oakland's high octane offense to 26 points (2TD/5FG) 7 scores w/ only one 3&out doesn't sound impressive but no one in this league is going to keep Oak off the field completely. The lack of drives resulting in the end zone is for sure a positive. Expect a different outcome here. The Titans will limit the long drives and scoring with Blake Bortles behind center instead of the 2016 MVP candidate DCarr. 2ndY QB Marcus Mariota will cause some major problems for this Jags D with his arm & on the ground. He will need to get their new WR additions EDecker & Rookie Corey Davis in the mix this week and impact the outcome. Keep it on the ground with Murray/Matthews, limit TOs & they should pull it out. I have the Titans taking this one, covering the 1.5. Final score Titans 26 Jags 13
Note: Allen Robinson out for the season w torn ACL. Huge loss for the Jags and tough break for Robinson. Jags will look to USC product Marqise Lee to pick up the slack. Lee with 0 receptions on 4 targets in W1.
Truth be told, this write up started as lean. We will now add it to the card.
Titans @ Jaguars (+1.5)
I referenced the Jags in my write up for TNF. They shocked us (me), but are they really as good as they played in Week 1? One thing is for sure, they will be out to prove they are for real in Week 2. Holding the Texans to 7 points, their defense put up an unbelievable 10 sacks, 12 TFL & 15 QB Hits led by Vet Calais Campbells 4 sack game. BUT after watching the offensively inept Texans last night (13pts1td) my gut tells me the defensive performance that carried them to victory had a lot to do with the Texans inability on offense. On the other side of the ball, the Jags were stagnant at times, unable to take advantage of the opportunities their defense gave them. Their bright spot was Rookie Leonard Fournette, hitting the century mark (100 yds 26 carries) in his first NFL game. The run game totaled 155 on 39 carries. Bortles only completed 11 passes (125 yd) in the win. Look for much of the same this week as the Jags will lean heavy on their run game. They may have shocked the NFL with the W. They may have lost some bettors $ and helped Vegas in the process. Packaged with a Titans loss & Vegas has the 1-0 Jags listed as +1.5 dog against the 0-1 Titans at home in Jacksonville. Getting points at home after that performance?! No brainer. Nope. My lean is on the Titans.
**Before going into the Titans, keep in mind they were also FAVORED last week against Oakland! -2.5 vs Oak. -1.5 vs Jacksonville?! This doesn't add up.
Tennessee opened up at home with a hard fought loss to the Raiders in W1. It may not have been the start they were looking for, but definitely were some positives. Their defensive unit held Oakland's high octane offense to 26 points (2TD/5FG) 7 scores w/ only one 3&out doesn't sound impressive but no one in this league is going to keep Oak off the field completely. The lack of drives resulting in the end zone is for sure a positive. Expect a different outcome here. The Titans will limit the long drives and scoring with Blake Bortles behind center instead of the 2016 MVP candidate DCarr. 2ndY QB Marcus Mariota will cause some major problems for this Jags D with his arm & on the ground. He will need to get their new WR additions EDecker & Rookie Corey Davis in the mix this week and impact the outcome. Keep it on the ground with Murray/Matthews, limit TOs & they should pull it out. I have the Titans taking this one, covering the 1.5. Final score Titans 26 Jags 13
Note: Allen Robinson out for the season w torn ACL. Huge loss for the Jags and tough break for Robinson. Jags will look to USC product Marqise Lee to pick up the slack. Lee with 0 receptions on 4 targets in W1.
Thanks for your constructive opinion regarding the Ravens game on my thread.
I just feel the Browns will have a hard time moving the ball on the Ravens defense, they'll have to do it on the road. MT Bank Stadium is a tough place to play especially for a young signal caller. You said it yourself the Browns secondary is susceptible to the pass. If the Steelers can exploit it why cant Flacco too? Leveon wasnt in game shape and, the Steelers stopped giving him the ball after 10 carries. I dont think the Browns run D has been tested yet. Do i think they have improved? Sure. But how much improved? We'll find out this Sunday
Thanks for your constructive opinion regarding the Ravens game on my thread.
I just feel the Browns will have a hard time moving the ball on the Ravens defense, they'll have to do it on the road. MT Bank Stadium is a tough place to play especially for a young signal caller. You said it yourself the Browns secondary is susceptible to the pass. If the Steelers can exploit it why cant Flacco too? Leveon wasnt in game shape and, the Steelers stopped giving him the ball after 10 carries. I dont think the Browns run D has been tested yet. Do i think they have improved? Sure. But how much improved? We'll find out this Sunday
Thanks for your constructive opinion regarding the Ravens game on my thread.
I just feel the Browns will have a hard time moving the ball on the Ravens defense, they'll have to do it on the road. MT Bank Stadium is a tough place to play especially for a young signal caller. You said it yourself the Browns secondary is susceptible to the pass. If the Steelers can exploit it why cant Flacco too? Leveon wasnt in game shape and, the Steelers stopped giving him the ball after 10 carries. I dont think the Browns run D has been tested yet. Do i think they have improved? Sure. But how much improved? We'll find out this Sunday
BOLthis week. good write ups!
Thank you sir! 10 carries wasn't enough but 3.7 a carry does show how they held up against a top tier RB. It'll be a tough division game again this week. I'll be watching closely. BOL this weekend
Thanks for your constructive opinion regarding the Ravens game on my thread.
I just feel the Browns will have a hard time moving the ball on the Ravens defense, they'll have to do it on the road. MT Bank Stadium is a tough place to play especially for a young signal caller. You said it yourself the Browns secondary is susceptible to the pass. If the Steelers can exploit it why cant Flacco too? Leveon wasnt in game shape and, the Steelers stopped giving him the ball after 10 carries. I dont think the Browns run D has been tested yet. Do i think they have improved? Sure. But how much improved? We'll find out this Sunday
BOLthis week. good write ups!
Thank you sir! 10 carries wasn't enough but 3.7 a carry does show how they held up against a top tier RB. It'll be a tough division game again this week. I'll be watching closely. BOL this weekend
Thank you sir! 10 carries wasn't enough but 3.7 a carry does show how they held up against a top tier RB. It'll be a tough division game again this week. I'll be watching closely. BOL this weekend
I got a 3.2 avg according to espn stat.
Maybe you have a point there that Browns are improved up front. Like i said in my other thread, Leveon Bell always start the season off slow, whether its injury or suspension then picks it up midseason. He acts like a primadonna sometimes, doesnt show up for camp or play a series in preseason, always holdin out for a bigger contract. He's talented but sometimes take things for granted. If Leveon Bell didnt get hurt in championship game last year, damn well the Steelers would have gone to the Super Bowl and not the Patriots.
I can see the Browns give up another 3.2+ yards a carry again to the Ravens low-tier backs which isnt bad but it may matter in regards to field position when Crowell averaged only 1.9 ypc on 17 attempts last week. How are they going to run the ball on the Ravens? Maybe Crowell might put up a slightly better stat this week but not enough to make a difference. Kizer is going to be forced to pass against the improved Ravens secondary that nabbed 4 interceptions last week. I'll say Kizer throws 2 or 3.
Also Browns O-line better be more prepared. Kizer getting sacked 7 times is totally unacceptable. Ravens pass rush has improved as well they had 5 sacks. I dont see why the Ravens can get that amount again.
Just my 2 cents. I live AFC NORTH it is my playground lol. Tough division year in year out youre right. Except for last year it was a down year for the AFCN as a whole lol
Thank you sir! 10 carries wasn't enough but 3.7 a carry does show how they held up against a top tier RB. It'll be a tough division game again this week. I'll be watching closely. BOL this weekend
I got a 3.2 avg according to espn stat.
Maybe you have a point there that Browns are improved up front. Like i said in my other thread, Leveon Bell always start the season off slow, whether its injury or suspension then picks it up midseason. He acts like a primadonna sometimes, doesnt show up for camp or play a series in preseason, always holdin out for a bigger contract. He's talented but sometimes take things for granted. If Leveon Bell didnt get hurt in championship game last year, damn well the Steelers would have gone to the Super Bowl and not the Patriots.
I can see the Browns give up another 3.2+ yards a carry again to the Ravens low-tier backs which isnt bad but it may matter in regards to field position when Crowell averaged only 1.9 ypc on 17 attempts last week. How are they going to run the ball on the Ravens? Maybe Crowell might put up a slightly better stat this week but not enough to make a difference. Kizer is going to be forced to pass against the improved Ravens secondary that nabbed 4 interceptions last week. I'll say Kizer throws 2 or 3.
Also Browns O-line better be more prepared. Kizer getting sacked 7 times is totally unacceptable. Ravens pass rush has improved as well they had 5 sacks. I dont see why the Ravens can get that amount again.
Just my 2 cents. I live AFC NORTH it is my playground lol. Tough division year in year out youre right. Except for last year it was a down year for the AFCN as a whole lol
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