Zwer23: BET1: ## Atlanta @ Detroit Over 197,5 @1,952 ## Predicted score: 101 - 105
Last two matchups: ATL 107 - 100 DET ATL 94 - 106 DET
Hawks play 100,9 - 99,2 away on average. Pistons with 104,2 - 98,4 and 18 - 12 Over, last few games home vs teams similar to Hawks: 123 - 103 vs. POR 114 - 101 vs. TOR 106 - 111 vs. NO 89 - 103 vs. TOR 106 - 114 vs. CLE
Over is 17-7 in Pistons last 24 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Zwer23: BET1: ## Atlanta @ Detroit Over 197,5 @1,952 ## Predicted score: 101 - 105
Last two matchups: ATL 107 - 100 DET ATL 94 - 106 DET
Hawks play 100,9 - 99,2 away on average. Pistons with 104,2 - 98,4 and 18 - 12 Over, last few games home vs teams similar to Hawks: 123 - 103 vs. POR 114 - 101 vs. TOR 106 - 111 vs. NO 89 - 103 vs. TOR 106 - 114 vs. CLE
Over is 17-7 in Pistons last 24 home games. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Pacers are 102,1 - 98,1 Home, one of best defensive teams @ home. Raptors are 100,6 - 97,8 away, also one of the best defensive teams on the road. Looking at last matchup and few similar games, I expect sore under 200 points in total.
Indiana vs. teams like Raptors: 103 - 98 102 - 111 96 - 96 OT 111 - 92 89 - 91 93 - 87
Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pacers are 102,1 - 98,1 Home, one of best defensive teams @ home. Raptors are 100,6 - 97,8 away, also one of the best defensive teams on the road. Looking at last matchup and few similar games, I expect sore under 200 points in total.
Indiana vs. teams like Raptors: 103 - 98 102 - 111 96 - 96 OT 111 - 92 89 - 91 93 - 87
Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cleveland is 6 - 2 Under on the road in B2B games with average of 95 - 94,2 points. Also, Cleveland is on a revenge game @ Miami after Miami served them loss in last matchup with 99 - 84 victory. Matchup in Cleveland in October finised with 102 - 92 Cleveland victory, so both games went way under the total for Under, I expect similar for today.
Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Cleveland is 6 - 2 Under on the road in B2B games with average of 95 - 94,2 points. Also, Cleveland is on a revenge game @ Miami after Miami served them loss in last matchup with 99 - 84 victory. Matchup in Cleveland in October finised with 102 - 92 Cleveland victory, so both games went way under the total for Under, I expect similar for today.
Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
## Milwaukee ML vs. Utah @1,917 ## Predicted score: 100 - 95
Bucks are 5-2 SU and ATS on 2 days rest home, Utah played last night and this is their 3rd game in 4 nights, they will be drained. Also, Milwaukee holds 21 - 13 SU and 18 - 16 ATS record home, with 8 - 3 against teams under .400 on the road. Utah is 11 - 23 SU and 14 - 19 ATS on the road, so we have a game of great home team against bad road team, for me, pick is easy!
Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
## Milwaukee ML vs. Utah @1,917 ## Predicted score: 100 - 95
Bucks are 5-2 SU and ATS on 2 days rest home, Utah played last night and this is their 3rd game in 4 nights, they will be drained. Also, Milwaukee holds 21 - 13 SU and 18 - 16 ATS record home, with 8 - 3 against teams under .400 on the road. Utah is 11 - 23 SU and 14 - 19 ATS on the road, so we have a game of great home team against bad road team, for me, pick is easy!
Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.
Last matchup was in that strech when Orlando played few crazy tempo no defence games, other two was way under the total for today, and I expect score somewhere around 206 points.
Orlando is missing Vucevic and that is a big minus for them on offense, Boston will be without Crowder and that is also a offensive and defensive minus.
Magic lost last game in Toronto 105 - 100 and went under todays total in 6 out of 7 games, Celtics lost last game home to Thunder and today I will expect much better game from them. In similar games, Boston had: 98 - 102 vs. HOU 116 - 96 vs. MEM 105- 104 vs. NYK 116 - 93 vs. POR 100 - 95 vs. UTA
Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a ATS win.
Last matchup was in that strech when Orlando played few crazy tempo no defence games, other two was way under the total for today, and I expect score somewhere around 206 points.
Orlando is missing Vucevic and that is a big minus for them on offense, Boston will be without Crowder and that is also a offensive and defensive minus.
Magic lost last game in Toronto 105 - 100 and went under todays total in 6 out of 7 games, Celtics lost last game home to Thunder and today I will expect much better game from them. In similar games, Boston had: 98 - 102 vs. HOU 116 - 96 vs. MEM 105- 104 vs. NYK 116 - 93 vs. POR 100 - 95 vs. UTA
Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Magic last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a ATS win.
Phoenix is 18 - 15 Over home with average score of 103,3 - 106,1, tonight they play Memphis, who is whitout their top players: Gasol, Conley, Randolph are all out, and they are all good defensive players. Last 5 games whitout them, Memphis is 3 - 2 Over with average of 94,2 - 107,4. Phonex is 4 - 1 Over in home division game with average of 115,2 - 109,8 points and 4 - 0 Over on 2days rest.
Over is 13-3 in Grizzlies last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 4-1-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 7-1 in Suns last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games following a straight up win.
Phoenix is 18 - 15 Over home with average score of 103,3 - 106,1, tonight they play Memphis, who is whitout their top players: Gasol, Conley, Randolph are all out, and they are all good defensive players. Last 5 games whitout them, Memphis is 3 - 2 Over with average of 94,2 - 107,4. Phonex is 4 - 1 Over in home division game with average of 115,2 - 109,8 points and 4 - 0 Over on 2days rest.
Over is 13-3 in Grizzlies last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 4-1-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 7-1 in Suns last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games following a straight up win.
## Charlotte @ Brooklyn Under 209 @1,952 ## Predicted score: 105 - 97
Charlotte plays 99,7 - 102,1 on average away, Brooklyn with 97,9 - 103,3 home.
Charlotte away against bad teams: 96 - 104 @ Nets 95 - 98 @ Bucks 82 - 101 @ Lakers 109 - 107 @ Pelicans 95 - 92 @ Nuggets
Brooklyn home vs teams like Charlotte: 90 - 109 vs. Grizzlies 100 - 114 vs. Pacers 100 - 105 vs. Pistons 98 - 102 vs. Heat 86 - 108 vs. Jazz 94 - 103 vs. Celtics
Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Under is 12-3 in Nets last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 13-5 in Hornets last 18 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
## Charlotte @ Brooklyn Under 209 @1,952 ## Predicted score: 105 - 97
Charlotte plays 99,7 - 102,1 on average away, Brooklyn with 97,9 - 103,3 home.
Charlotte away against bad teams: 96 - 104 @ Nets 95 - 98 @ Bucks 82 - 101 @ Lakers 109 - 107 @ Pelicans 95 - 92 @ Nuggets
Brooklyn home vs teams like Charlotte: 90 - 109 vs. Grizzlies 100 - 114 vs. Pacers 100 - 105 vs. Pistons 98 - 102 vs. Heat 86 - 108 vs. Jazz 94 - 103 vs. Celtics
Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Under is 12-3 in Nets last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 13-5 in Hornets last 18 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Nuggets vs. under .300 teams: 4 - 1 Over with 117 - 113,4 avg. 116 - 98 vs. Suns 120 - 121 vs. Nets 117 - 107 vs. Lakers 107 - 111 vs. Lakers 125 - 130 vs. Pelicans
Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Nuggets vs. under .300 teams: 4 - 1 Over with 117 - 113,4 avg. 116 - 98 vs. Suns 120 - 121 vs. Nets 117 - 107 vs. Lakers 107 - 111 vs. Lakers 125 - 130 vs. Pelicans
Over is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Zwer23: ## Bet is on Clippers to win by -5 vs. Portland @1,926 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 106
Matchups this season: POR 102 - 91 LAC (this was while Clippers had really bad start to season) LAC 102 - 87 - POR POR 98 - 109 LAC So, we see, after that first game, Clippers took Portland serious and beat them two times with ease. Lately, Clippers lost 7 of 10, with tough schedule, playing against GS, HOU, SAS, CLE, OKC, ATL and DAL... now, they are on streak of 3L, but I really think they will revenge all that tonight! Clippers was twice in that situation with 3L this season, and they are 2-0 after that.
On the other side, Porland is 2 - 8 against over .600 teams away: 110 - 118 @ Spurs 94 - 128 @ Thunder 112 - 128 @ Warriors 115 - 117@ Raptors 109 - 116 @ Heat 90 - 106 @ Thunder ...
Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Trail Blazers are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Zwer23: ## Bet is on Clippers to win by -5 vs. Portland @1,926 ##
Predicted score: 98 - 106
Matchups this season: POR 102 - 91 LAC (this was while Clippers had really bad start to season) LAC 102 - 87 - POR POR 98 - 109 LAC So, we see, after that first game, Clippers took Portland serious and beat them two times with ease. Lately, Clippers lost 7 of 10, with tough schedule, playing against GS, HOU, SAS, CLE, OKC, ATL and DAL... now, they are on streak of 3L, but I really think they will revenge all that tonight! Clippers was twice in that situation with 3L this season, and they are 2-0 after that.
On the other side, Porland is 2 - 8 against over .600 teams away: 110 - 118 @ Spurs 94 - 128 @ Thunder 112 - 128 @ Warriors 115 - 117@ Raptors 109 - 116 @ Heat 90 - 106 @ Thunder ...
Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Trail Blazers are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Lakers L5 home vs. teams similar to Denver: 107 - 100 vs. Grizzlies 90 - 95 vs. Suns 98 - 106 vs. Kings 87 - 90 vs. Knicks 107 - 98 vs. Magic
Trends: Under is 11-1 in Lakers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 8-1 in Lakers last 9 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Lakers L5 home vs. teams similar to Denver: 107 - 100 vs. Grizzlies 90 - 95 vs. Suns 98 - 106 vs. Kings 87 - 90 vs. Knicks 107 - 98 vs. Magic
Trends: Under is 11-1 in Lakers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 8-1 in Lakers last 9 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Zwer23 bet no.2: ## Grizzlies @ Spurs Over 191 @1,877 ## Predicted score: 90 - 105
Spurs play 105,9 - 90,5 on average home, and some of the latest games with bad teams (I say bad teams because Memphis plays without Randolph, Conley and Gasol). For Spurs, Leonard is out, that actually means less defence, and we know Spurs can score on the other side without him.
Spurs vs. bad teams: 104 - 94 vs. Kings 106 - 102 vs. Lakers 110 - 97 vs. Pelicans 107 - 92 vs. Magic 112 - 79 vs. Suns 101 - 95 vs. T'Wolves
Trends: Over is 10-2 in Grizzlies last 12 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Over is 13-5-1 in Spurs last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
Zwer23 bet no.2: ## Grizzlies @ Spurs Over 191 @1,877 ## Predicted score: 90 - 105
Spurs play 105,9 - 90,5 on average home, and some of the latest games with bad teams (I say bad teams because Memphis plays without Randolph, Conley and Gasol). For Spurs, Leonard is out, that actually means less defence, and we know Spurs can score on the other side without him.
Spurs vs. bad teams: 104 - 94 vs. Kings 106 - 102 vs. Lakers 110 - 97 vs. Pelicans 107 - 92 vs. Magic 112 - 79 vs. Suns 101 - 95 vs. T'Wolves
Trends: Over is 10-2 in Grizzlies last 12 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Over is 13-5-1 in Spurs last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
Zwer23 POD: ??Raptors @ Pelicans Over 200,5 @1,884??
Raptors are B2B and in that situation they are 6 - 4 Over with average of 105 - 99,2, also, they lost last night and they will play to win. On the other side, Pelicans are on 1 day rest, and playing over .500 team, they are 10 - 2 in that situation, with 107,5 - 106,3 points. Few example games: 99 - 113 vs. Heat 109 - 105 vs. Clippers 112 - 117 vs. Blazers 123 - 119 vs. Thunder 100 - 96 vs. Jazz 95 - 110 vs. Grizzlies
Given the fact that Pelicans are without Ryan Anderson, Anthony Davis, Gordon and Evans, with Holiday and Cole questionable, I expect little bit of underestimation from Raptors, and no much effort on defense, Pelicans proved last few games they can score without their starters, as they scored 109 and 99 in last two home games.
Trends: Over is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 14-6-1 in Raptors last 21 road games. Over is 21-4-1 in Pelicans last 26 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 17-5-1 in Pelicans last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Head to Head: Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
Zwer23 POD: ??Raptors @ Pelicans Over 200,5 @1,884??
Raptors are B2B and in that situation they are 6 - 4 Over with average of 105 - 99,2, also, they lost last night and they will play to win. On the other side, Pelicans are on 1 day rest, and playing over .500 team, they are 10 - 2 in that situation, with 107,5 - 106,3 points. Few example games: 99 - 113 vs. Heat 109 - 105 vs. Clippers 112 - 117 vs. Blazers 123 - 119 vs. Thunder 100 - 96 vs. Jazz 95 - 110 vs. Grizzlies
Given the fact that Pelicans are without Ryan Anderson, Anthony Davis, Gordon and Evans, with Holiday and Cole questionable, I expect little bit of underestimation from Raptors, and no much effort on defense, Pelicans proved last few games they can score without their starters, as they scored 109 and 99 in last two home games.
Trends: Over is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 14-6-1 in Raptors last 21 road games. Over is 21-4-1 in Pelicans last 26 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 17-5-1 in Pelicans last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Head to Head: Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
Dallas will play without Williams and Parsons, so I expect less scoring from them. By looking at previous match-ups, they play all games around 205 points in total.
Trends:
Dallas is 11 - 6 under away with 1 day rest, averaging 97,6 - 102,6 points.
Under is 6-1 in Kings last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 9-4 in Kings last 13 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
Dallas will play without Williams and Parsons, so I expect less scoring from them. By looking at previous match-ups, they play all games around 205 points in total.
Trends:
Dallas is 11 - 6 under away with 1 day rest, averaging 97,6 - 102,6 points.
Under is 6-1 in Kings last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 9-4 in Kings last 13 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
I must play this one for 1Unit, because Raptors are one of the best defensive teams Home, and they allow only 97,9 PPG.
Oklahoma City has played low scoring games against non-conference teams, with the under going 17-7 in the Thunder's last 24 versus the Eastern Conference. Oklahoma City has gone under in five of it's last six versus teams with a winning record.
Last matchup:
OKC 98 - 103 TOR
TOR vs. over .600 teams:
103 - 99 vs. CLE
109 - 112 vs. GSW
97 - 94 vs. SA
99 - 97 vs. CLE
112 - 94 vs. LAC
Trends:
Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 17-7 in Thunder last 24 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
I must play this one for 1Unit, because Raptors are one of the best defensive teams Home, and they allow only 97,9 PPG.
Oklahoma City has played low scoring games against non-conference teams, with the under going 17-7 in the Thunder's last 24 versus the Eastern Conference. Oklahoma City has gone under in five of it's last six versus teams with a winning record.
Last matchup:
OKC 98 - 103 TOR
TOR vs. over .600 teams:
103 - 99 vs. CLE
109 - 112 vs. GSW
97 - 94 vs. SA
99 - 97 vs. CLE
112 - 94 vs. LAC
Trends:
Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 17-7 in Thunder last 24 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
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