na,6 points may come in handy.....you can plainly see any team cud put on a 10 point burst in the blink of an eye....but its a total coinflip in terms of game winner...if its close they might start playing seriously at the end and the west probably got better closers so it cud be in their favour.
na,6 points may come in handy.....you can plainly see any team cud put on a 10 point burst in the blink of an eye....but its a total coinflip in terms of game winner...if its close they might start playing seriously at the end and the west probably got better closers so it cud be in their favour.
na,6 points may come in handy.....you can plainly see any team cud put on a 10 point burst in the blink of an eye....but its a total coinflip in terms of game winner...if its close they might start playing seriously at the end and the west probably got better closers so it cud be in their favour.
But if it's a "total coin flip" as you have repeatedly mentioned, there is far more value with the ML......
na,6 points may come in handy.....you can plainly see any team cud put on a 10 point burst in the blink of an eye....but its a total coinflip in terms of game winner...if its close they might start playing seriously at the end and the west probably got better closers so it cud be in their favour.
But if it's a "total coin flip" as you have repeatedly mentioned, there is far more value with the ML......
If Dr John's handicapping is a reflection of his ability as a Dr I have grave concerns for his patients
thankfully he is not a doctor of medicine...i predict he will not be back in this thread,if past history is anything to go by...like his cavs versus warriors pick a while back....no problem losing,we all do that...but if you talk down to people and talk shiit you better expect sum ribbing after the play dont come thru.
If Dr John's handicapping is a reflection of his ability as a Dr I have grave concerns for his patients
thankfully he is not a doctor of medicine...i predict he will not be back in this thread,if past history is anything to go by...like his cavs versus warriors pick a while back....no problem losing,we all do that...but if you talk down to people and talk shiit you better expect sum ribbing after the play dont come thru.
thankfully he is not a doctor of medicine...i predict he will not be back in this thread,if past history is anything to go by...like his cavs versus warriors pick a while back....no problem losing,we all do that...but if you talk down to people and talk shiit you better expect sum ribbing after the play dont come thru.
Yeah I remember that thread. He was only 40 or so points off that so I guess his handicapping had improved since then
thankfully he is not a doctor of medicine...i predict he will not be back in this thread,if past history is anything to go by...like his cavs versus warriors pick a while back....no problem losing,we all do that...but if you talk down to people and talk shiit you better expect sum ribbing after the play dont come thru.
Yeah I remember that thread. He was only 40 or so points off that so I guess his handicapping had improved since then
He's got a model that can predict All Star Games so he should be rich in no time
dr, john....please tell dr. john to tell dr. john (next time you see dr. john of course) that dr. john needs to throw his complex math model in the fu.kking trash can when it comes to all-star games.......you mite be 100 times the handicapper that i am and 1000 times the mathematician but hopefully you learned sumthing today,if not go back and read my posts.......west team just made more of their open,un-contested shots than east did in the second half..simple as that.no stats or predictive model can give you anything useful as it relates to a NON-COMPETITIVE situation.
i had east too but at least im not too pompous to act like i knew sumthing that gave me an edge here.
and it was looking soooo good with that 1 game sample size backing it up too....
He's got a model that can predict All Star Games so he should be rich in no time
dr, john....please tell dr. john to tell dr. john (next time you see dr. john of course) that dr. john needs to throw his complex math model in the fu.kking trash can when it comes to all-star games.......you mite be 100 times the handicapper that i am and 1000 times the mathematician but hopefully you learned sumthing today,if not go back and read my posts.......west team just made more of their open,un-contested shots than east did in the second half..simple as that.no stats or predictive model can give you anything useful as it relates to a NON-COMPETITIVE situation.
i had east too but at least im not too pompous to act like i knew sumthing that gave me an edge here.
and it was looking soooo good with that 1 game sample size backing it up too....
again,not disrespecting a dude for losing a play..we all know wat thats about...or even losing it by 17 points....but to arrogantly act like you can handicap this fun-time circus and talk down to those that try to tell you differently.....stupid,stupid stuff.
hopefully no-one in the forum put serious money on such a thing.
again,not disrespecting a dude for losing a play..we all know wat thats about...or even losing it by 17 points....but to arrogantly act like you can handicap this fun-time circus and talk down to those that try to tell you differently.....stupid,stupid stuff.
hopefully no-one in the forum put serious money on such a thing.
again,not disrespecting a dude for losing a play..we all know wat thats about...or even losing it by 17 points....but to arrogantly act like you can handicap this fun-time circus and talk down to those that try to tell you differently.....stupid,stupid stuff.
hopefully no-one in the forum put serious money on such a thing.
Exactly, it's not about the fact that he lost because we all lose but boy is he pompous cuunt
again,not disrespecting a dude for losing a play..we all know wat thats about...or even losing it by 17 points....but to arrogantly act like you can handicap this fun-time circus and talk down to those that try to tell you differently.....stupid,stupid stuff.
hopefully no-one in the forum put serious money on such a thing.
Exactly, it's not about the fact that he lost because we all lose but boy is he pompous cuunt
funnily enuff i myself have an advanced and complex math model that takes into account many specially calibrated algorithms,chaos theory and regression factor indices and it is predicting with over 99.985746% certainty that dr. john wont be back to re-visit this thread after dismissing completely anyone who dared to disagree with his assertion about the veracity of "all-star handicapping".
funnily enuff i myself have an advanced and complex math model that takes into account many specially calibrated algorithms,chaos theory and regression factor indices and it is predicting with over 99.985746% certainty that dr. john wont be back to re-visit this thread after dismissing completely anyone who dared to disagree with his assertion about the veracity of "all-star handicapping".
lol @ DrJohn. To those who predicted he wouldn't be back after this loses
At what point will his already losing record be TOO much of a losing record that he'll stop thinking he's the be all end all of sports gambling statistics and analytics? I would surmise he's currently hitting at about a 40% clip. Would 30% make him disappear completely?
lol @ DrJohn. To those who predicted he wouldn't be back after this loses
At what point will his already losing record be TOO much of a losing record that he'll stop thinking he's the be all end all of sports gambling statistics and analytics? I would surmise he's currently hitting at about a 40% clip. Would 30% make him disappear completely?
my model has an assortment of explanatory variables, including individual metrics for each player; it is oriented around regression analysis with the program STATA, though that is not its sole component. refer to my "value with team world" thread if you'd like some further color. I projected the true line to be 3.5 and lo and behold, the game was decided by 3 points.
Now while I'm not purporting that I will have that same level of accuracy 2/2, I will maintain that the value (and a fair amount at that; I'll take ~1.75 pts of value any day of the week) is undoubtedly with the East here. Further, sharp $ concurs.
1.75 points of value!!!...whoop-de-fuk.ken-doo!!!!!...in a game where zero effort is made to ever slow the pace,no fouls are made,3 pointers are taken and allowed on a whim,and about 6 fu.kken shots are taken per minute......wat a bargain grabbing that monster value!!
my model has an assortment of explanatory variables, including individual metrics for each player; it is oriented around regression analysis with the program STATA, though that is not its sole component. refer to my "value with team world" thread if you'd like some further color. I projected the true line to be 3.5 and lo and behold, the game was decided by 3 points.
Now while I'm not purporting that I will have that same level of accuracy 2/2, I will maintain that the value (and a fair amount at that; I'll take ~1.75 pts of value any day of the week) is undoubtedly with the East here. Further, sharp $ concurs.
1.75 points of value!!!...whoop-de-fuk.ken-doo!!!!!...in a game where zero effort is made to ever slow the pace,no fouls are made,3 pointers are taken and allowed on a whim,and about 6 fu.kken shots are taken per minute......wat a bargain grabbing that monster value!!
Dr. John's betting 40% of his bankroll on the Jazz today boys.
Last night...2/3 a 40 of canadian whiskey and 3/4 a gram of blow deep...Dr. John had a vision.
The Archangel Gabriel came to him and said throw your (surprisingly accurate to date) model out the window for tomorrow, and take the Jazz @ -1 or better for 40% of your money.
Dr. John is not one to stand in the way of destiny. Jazz today boys is the play.
Dr. John's betting 40% of his bankroll on the Jazz today boys.
Last night...2/3 a 40 of canadian whiskey and 3/4 a gram of blow deep...Dr. John had a vision.
The Archangel Gabriel came to him and said throw your (surprisingly accurate to date) model out the window for tomorrow, and take the Jazz @ -1 or better for 40% of your money.
Dr. John is not one to stand in the way of destiny. Jazz today boys is the play.
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