Fun fact : all 5 favorites beat the spread last night! I happen to be taking a favorite today, my only play of the day.
PICK: Toronto Raptors -5 vs New Orleans Pelicans (rated 2 stars)
My projected lines based on my statistical models are Pelicans +6.4 versus Raptors-6.4. The difference with the actual spread is not very big, but I see many situational factors favoring the team from the north.
First of all, this will be New Orleans’s fourth straight game on the road, so they’ll have quite a bit of traveling in their body. In contrast, Toronto will be playing a third consecutive match in front of their fans.
The Pelicans have defeated their opponents on all first three games of their current road trip: at Dallas, at Chicago and at Indiana. They might already feel like their mission has been accomplished; who would blame them if they lost tonight? No pressure, but less motivation. Also, notice the strength of opposition they have faced; their combined record is 9-24 thus far this season. Not a great way to be ready to face a tough Raptors team.
Toronto came out with the victory on all four most recent meetings with New Orleans, going 3-1 against the spread in those games.
Fun fact : all 5 favorites beat the spread last night! I happen to be taking a favorite today, my only play of the day.
PICK: Toronto Raptors -5 vs New Orleans Pelicans (rated 2 stars)
My projected lines based on my statistical models are Pelicans +6.4 versus Raptors-6.4. The difference with the actual spread is not very big, but I see many situational factors favoring the team from the north.
First of all, this will be New Orleans’s fourth straight game on the road, so they’ll have quite a bit of traveling in their body. In contrast, Toronto will be playing a third consecutive match in front of their fans.
The Pelicans have defeated their opponents on all first three games of their current road trip: at Dallas, at Chicago and at Indiana. They might already feel like their mission has been accomplished; who would blame them if they lost tonight? No pressure, but less motivation. Also, notice the strength of opposition they have faced; their combined record is 9-24 thus far this season. Not a great way to be ready to face a tough Raptors team.
Toronto came out with the victory on all four most recent meetings with New Orleans, going 3-1 against the spread in those games.
Loving the pick and the write up. I’m on it as well, looks like the strongest play, what do you think about the 76ers? Many people are riding them today, can it be a let down spot? They have been brilliant ats wise..
Loving the pick and the write up. I’m on it as well, looks like the strongest play, what do you think about the 76ers? Many people are riding them today, can it be a let down spot? They have been brilliant ats wise..
Staying away because I like OKC to rebound after a bad loss in Sacramento, but playing a 3rd straight road game while the Nuggets will be at home for the 5th time in a row (well-rested). Also, my projections have the Nuggets favored by 1.4 point.
So basically my gut likes the Thunder, but other factors tell me the opposite, which is why I won't bet this game.
Staying away because I like OKC to rebound after a bad loss in Sacramento, but playing a 3rd straight road game while the Nuggets will be at home for the 5th time in a row (well-rested). Also, my projections have the Nuggets favored by 1.4 point.
So basically my gut likes the Thunder, but other factors tell me the opposite, which is why I won't bet this game.
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nba188: Hi proffesor MJ What do you think about oklahoma city -1.5 ?? What your statistic say?? Staying away because I like OKC to rebound after a bad loss in Sacramento, but playing a 3rd straight road game while the Nuggets will be at home for the 5th time in a row (well-rested). Also, my projections have the Nuggets favored by 1.4 point.So basically my gut likes the Thunder, but other factors tell me the opposite, which is why I won't bet this game.
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nba188: Hi proffesor MJ What do you think about oklahoma city -1.5 ?? What your statistic say?? Staying away because I like OKC to rebound after a bad loss in Sacramento, but playing a 3rd straight road game while the Nuggets will be at home for the 5th time in a row (well-rested). Also, my projections have the Nuggets favored by 1.4 point.So basically my gut likes the Thunder, but other factors tell me the opposite, which is why I won't bet this game.
Loving the pick and the write up. I’m on it as well, looks like the strongest play, what do you think about the 76ers? Many people are riding them today, can it be a let down spot? They have been brilliant ats wise..
Sixers could letdown, but the Kings are coming off a big win vs OKC so they may letdown too, who knows. Philly has beaten the spread 6 straight times vs Sacramento! But my projections have Philly as 4.5-point favorites, while the line is 6.5 so too big for me. Staying away.
Loving the pick and the write up. I’m on it as well, looks like the strongest play, what do you think about the 76ers? Many people are riding them today, can it be a let down spot? They have been brilliant ats wise..
Sixers could letdown, but the Kings are coming off a big win vs OKC so they may letdown too, who knows. Philly has beaten the spread 6 straight times vs Sacramento! But my projections have Philly as 4.5-point favorites, while the line is 6.5 so too big for me. Staying away.
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
have you uncovered any results on that mattybeans guy yet?
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
have you uncovered any results on that mattybeans guy yet?
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
Hilarious. Love that people spend the time to type this stuff up.
"Professor" tout... I will continue posting the below until you start posting your record every day:
after the Raptors loss tonight, you're now hitting below 33% on your posted plays here "Professor"
tout... so i ask again... why don't you post your record every day on
here so the readers are aware of that?...
the last time i asked you this question a few days ago you said... "go to my website for my record"...
now
let's think about for a second... why should i or anyone else have to
leave this site and visit your personal site just to try and fish out
your record?... especially considering it would only take you a COUPLE
EXTRA KEYSTROKES per day for you to INCLUDE your record here?...
you
can type 4 paragraphs of meaningless trends for each of your picks
per day... without any real analysis... yet it's too much work for you to post your ACTUAL
RECORD???... LMFAO!
98% of the regular posters here post their YTD record on a daily basis... yet you don't... why is that?...
Hilarious. Love that people spend the time to type this stuff up.
have you uncovered any results on that mattybeans guy yet?
never heard of him... is he a different tout who tries to hide his below 33% record like "Professor" tout does here?... let me know if he needs to be exposed...
have you uncovered any results on that mattybeans guy yet?
never heard of him... is he a different tout who tries to hide his below 33% record like "Professor" tout does here?... let me know if he needs to be exposed...
never heard of him... is he a different tout who tries to hide his below 33% record like "Professor" tout does here?... let me know if he needs to be exposed...
yeah, think so. always posts, no followers, no haters, no nothin. . .fishy. the man needs to be audited, imo
never heard of him... is he a different tout who tries to hide his below 33% record like "Professor" tout does here?... let me know if he needs to be exposed...
yeah, think so. always posts, no followers, no haters, no nothin. . .fishy. the man needs to be audited, imo
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