Here's how they came up with the Rays/Nats line... it's the same way I make my projections... simple Power Rankings.
David Price was -150 a week ago at home against RA Dickey. Wang was +110 at home a couple starts ago against RA Dickey. Therefore, we have a 60 cent difference between the two.
Based off a neutral -105/-105 line then, Price would be -165 against Wang on a neutral field. Usually 15 to 20 cents is given to the home team for home field advantage... in cases like this where there is significant road chalk I usually use 25 cents. So take 25 cents off that -165 line and you have the -140/+130 line for Price.
In my opinion this line was spot on and a great job by the oddsmakers.
GL tonight si1ly.
Here's how they came up with the Rays/Nats line... it's the same way I make my projections... simple Power Rankings.
David Price was -150 a week ago at home against RA Dickey. Wang was +110 at home a couple starts ago against RA Dickey. Therefore, we have a 60 cent difference between the two.
Based off a neutral -105/-105 line then, Price would be -165 against Wang on a neutral field. Usually 15 to 20 cents is given to the home team for home field advantage... in cases like this where there is significant road chalk I usually use 25 cents. So take 25 cents off that -165 line and you have the -140/+130 line for Price.
In my opinion this line was spot on and a great job by the oddsmakers.
GL tonight si1ly.
Here's how they came up with the Rays/Nats line... it's the same way I make my projections... simple Power Rankings.
David Price was -150 a week ago at home against RA Dickey. Wang was +110 at home a couple starts ago against RA Dickey. Therefore, we have a 60 cent difference between the two.
Based off a neutral -105/-105 line then, Price would be -165 against Wang on a neutral field. Usually 15 to 20 cents is given to the home team for home field advantage... in cases like this where there is significant road chalk I usually use 25 cents. So take 25 cents off that -165 line and you have the -140/+130 line for Price.
In my opinion this line was spot on and a great job by the oddsmakers.
GL tonight si1ly.
Here's how they came up with the Rays/Nats line... it's the same way I make my projections... simple Power Rankings.
David Price was -150 a week ago at home against RA Dickey. Wang was +110 at home a couple starts ago against RA Dickey. Therefore, we have a 60 cent difference between the two.
Based off a neutral -105/-105 line then, Price would be -165 against Wang on a neutral field. Usually 15 to 20 cents is given to the home team for home field advantage... in cases like this where there is significant road chalk I usually use 25 cents. So take 25 cents off that -165 line and you have the -140/+130 line for Price.
In my opinion this line was spot on and a great job by the oddsmakers.
GL tonight si1ly.
Absolutely a valid point... my opinion is at this point the oddsmakers have enough data to make the lines as sharp as possible.
This one looks like a nailbiter... GL
Absolutely a valid point... my opinion is at this point the oddsmakers have enough data to make the lines as sharp as possible.
This one looks like a nailbiter... GL
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