5 Inning YTD: 19-28-5, -770.87
9 Inning YTD: 16-15, +547.89
Tigers F5 -109, FG -108 (Peavy / Smyly)
Never easy to lay odds versus Jake Peavy but with Verlander
and Fielder getting all the love in Detroit I think bettors are undervaluing
Smyly and I know for sure the are undervaluing the Tigers offense versus righty
(6.0 offensive era and 13.5% offensive efficiency) versus the White Sox versus lefty
(1.9, 7.4%)
Orioles F5 +148, FG +151 (Chen / Lester)
The Orioles have not let up yet and Lester has not been what
the Red Sox hoped for (yet) just like the rest of the staff. Lester has his
moments but I will back the consistency of Chen at a dog price.
Yankees F5 -162, FG -159 (Sabathia / Chen)
Royals have yet to make a lefty soil his diapers. Milone and
Smyly shut them out through 8 and 6 innings, respectively, and Romero
surrendered only 2 earned runs in 8 innings, so the Royals, having scored just
2 earned runs in 22 innings versus 3 lefty starters have an offensive era of
just 0.9 in that category. Granted the 3 lefties mentioned are very good, but
is not Sabathia also? Yankees also face a competent lefty but just got beat by
one last night and are very likely to bounce back versus the next one they see.
They have not been lefty killers yet this year but with an offensive era of 4.3
in that category they should have the better of it at the plate.
Padres F5 +104, FG +110 (Johnson / Bass)
If Smyly is escaping notice in the wagering world Anthony Bass is right there with him. Bettors should be aware those were not exactly offensive wins at San Francisco and this could be a very good “come back to reality” game for the Marlins. At a plus price and a total at 5.5 or 6 with under catching the action, the dog is dangerous indeed.
BOL
All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post
5 Inning YTD: 19-28-5, -770.87
9 Inning YTD: 16-15, +547.89
Tigers F5 -109, FG -108 (Peavy / Smyly)
Never easy to lay odds versus Jake Peavy but with Verlander
and Fielder getting all the love in Detroit I think bettors are undervaluing
Smyly and I know for sure the are undervaluing the Tigers offense versus righty
(6.0 offensive era and 13.5% offensive efficiency) versus the White Sox versus lefty
(1.9, 7.4%)
Orioles F5 +148, FG +151 (Chen / Lester)
The Orioles have not let up yet and Lester has not been what
the Red Sox hoped for (yet) just like the rest of the staff. Lester has his
moments but I will back the consistency of Chen at a dog price.
Yankees F5 -162, FG -159 (Sabathia / Chen)
Royals have yet to make a lefty soil his diapers. Milone and
Smyly shut them out through 8 and 6 innings, respectively, and Romero
surrendered only 2 earned runs in 8 innings, so the Royals, having scored just
2 earned runs in 22 innings versus 3 lefty starters have an offensive era of
just 0.9 in that category. Granted the 3 lefties mentioned are very good, but
is not Sabathia also? Yankees also face a competent lefty but just got beat by
one last night and are very likely to bounce back versus the next one they see.
They have not been lefty killers yet this year but with an offensive era of 4.3
in that category they should have the better of it at the plate.
Padres F5 +104, FG +110 (Johnson / Bass)
If Smyly is escaping notice in the wagering world Anthony Bass is right there with him. Bettors should be aware those were not exactly offensive wins at San Francisco and this could be a very good “come back to reality” game for the Marlins. At a plus price and a total at 5.5 or 6 with under catching the action, the dog is dangerous indeed.
BOL
All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post
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