Ohio St/Iowa St OVER 141: This will be a competitive game thinking both teams in the mid high 70s especially if I St jumps out fast. Both of these have been great ATS and the 7pt. number is about where it should be - maybe 2 or 3 pts too high. Get down now see the total price going up.
NC +6/Kansas: If McAdoo and the big subs can play fairly decent they get this SU. Hairston and Page the next 2 best on
the floor. All about NC depth and better Coach in HOF Williams here. Taking NC +6 here.
Florida-7/Minn: Play of the Day here. Billy the Kid on a mission here having total focus and commitment. Minn a terrible road team despite win over banged up UCLA should be in the NIT not here. Florida big here -7.
Creighton+6/Duke - line going up here. Grabbed the latest wood. Jays keep this in the mid to high 60s - could take this SU. Like the underrated MVC champs here.
Miami -7/Illinois: Clearly the better team here and PG Larkin
along with PG Craft (Ohio St) best in the country pound for pound. This bunch playing real well for their Coach and the beat goes on. Grabbed this one large as well.
Ohio St/Iowa St OVER 141: This will be a competitive game thinking both teams in the mid high 70s especially if I St jumps out fast. Both of these have been great ATS and the 7pt. number is about where it should be - maybe 2 or 3 pts too high. Get down now see the total price going up.
NC +6/Kansas: If McAdoo and the big subs can play fairly decent they get this SU. Hairston and Page the next 2 best on
the floor. All about NC depth and better Coach in HOF Williams here. Taking NC +6 here.
Florida-7/Minn: Play of the Day here. Billy the Kid on a mission here having total focus and commitment. Minn a terrible road team despite win over banged up UCLA should be in the NIT not here. Florida big here -7.
Creighton+6/Duke - line going up here. Grabbed the latest wood. Jays keep this in the mid to high 60s - could take this SU. Like the underrated MVC champs here.
Miami -7/Illinois: Clearly the better team here and PG Larkin
along with PG Craft (Ohio St) best in the country pound for pound. This bunch playing real well for their Coach and the beat goes on. Grabbed this one large as well.
UNC +6.5 IS THE PLAY... THE LINE HAS MOVED 1 FULL POINT.. PEOPLE ARE SEEING THE #1 SEED KANSAS AND THINKING OF THE UNC TEAM EARLY IN THE YEAR... WELL THE NEW UNC LINEUP IS FAST, SPREADS THE BALL AND THEY WILL COMPLETELY ELMINATE KANASAS 7 FOOTER FROM THE GAME.
UNC +6.5 IS THE PLAY... THE LINE HAS MOVED 1 FULL POINT.. PEOPLE ARE SEEING THE #1 SEED KANSAS AND THINKING OF THE UNC TEAM EARLY IN THE YEAR... WELL THE NEW UNC LINEUP IS FAST, SPREADS THE BALL AND THEY WILL COMPLETELY ELMINATE KANASAS 7 FOOTER FROM THE GAME.
The Jayhawks are playing great basketball on both ends of the court in last 4 games. Maybe it did not look like that in their last game but they still out-shot Western Kentucky by a big margin. In their last 4 games, they are 110/204 from the field (.539) offensively and 87/238 (.366) defensively. All they need to do is to take better care of basketball against North Carolina (less turnovers and less offensive rebounds allowed) and they are in business. The Jayhawks get home court advantage in Kansas City here worth 4 points. They destroyed everyone in the Big 12 Tourney on this floor and while they lack a true point guard they do provide issues for North Carolina here, and against their old head coach Roy Williams there is added motivation on Bill Selfs part. The DEFENSE of Kansas is the difference in this game and KU hits the offensive glass very well. You can expect a 80% KU crowd in this one and while both coaches are solid, Bill Self will out coach Williams here with better players overall. Being 45 minutes from your campus is HUGE.
Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 & ML+250 $$$$$$$$$$$
Hate to bet on those teams that made a huge upset in the first round but it is hard to ignore how well these A-Sun teams are doing as OOC underdogs. This conference is on a 35-13-1 ATS run as underdogs in OOC games. Florida Golf Coast is on a 10-0 ATS run of their own and that streak does not include their outright win against Miami Florida.
Illinois +8
(Play of the 2nd Round, 1.5 units)
Miami Hurricanes first clinched their first regular season ACC title ever, then they won their first ever ACC tournament title and finally they advanced to the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament for the first time in more than 5 years. They are flying high, the media is loving their story this season, and they are the public darlings right now. They are now facing an opponent that was on the bubble for the biggest part of the season, played an ugly game in the 1st round, and everyone expects Miami to advance easily. But in reality this could be a difficult game for the Hurricanes. Illinois has 4 wins against ranked opponents this season, they played 11 games against top 25 teams this season, 4 more games against teams that were not ranked at the time they faced them but made the NCAA tournament and 7 more games against NIT/CIT/CBI participants. Their season-to-date strength of schedule is in top 5 in the nation according to every respectable rating site. They have 2 wins against teams that were ranked #1 this season. Big 10 teams are 7-1 ATS in March against ACC teams since 2008. ACC teams are 12-25-1 ATS in last 38 games against B10.
Creighton +6
Creighton can win/cover when they allow 70+ (Wisconsin, Arizona State, Wichita...), but they can do the same when they score in 60s (Cincinnati, Wichita, Nebraska...). They are considered by some as a one man show (McDermott) but in reality they are a well balanced group where different guys have different roles. McDermott is doing most of the scoring, Echenique is blocking and rebounding, Gibbs is assisting and stealing, and then you have guys like Wragge who can light it up from downtown (9/14 in last two games), Chattman (150 assists on the season), Manigat (doing a little bit of everything), Artino who is not playing much but always taking advantage of any extra time spent on the court. Last season they were on a 2-9-1 ATS run when they got to the 2nd round and lost to UNC but this season the are on a 6-0 ATS run playing excellent basketball both offensively and defensively. They won last 4 games without scoring 70 once, and last two regular season games while scoring 80 and 91. I think they are better than last season and ready for that extra mile. Duke is still a powerhouse, but every year they seem to get cold ATS after they play their final game against UNC. 0-5 ATS in this situation since last season, 12-21 ATS from 2005 to 2010. They are 17-29 ATS in last 46 games played in March and April. This Duke class is on a 0-7 ATS run in the playoffs and last two seasons they were upset in the postseason as much bigger favorites than -5.
The Jayhawks are playing great basketball on both ends of the court in last 4 games. Maybe it did not look like that in their last game but they still out-shot Western Kentucky by a big margin. In their last 4 games, they are 110/204 from the field (.539) offensively and 87/238 (.366) defensively. All they need to do is to take better care of basketball against North Carolina (less turnovers and less offensive rebounds allowed) and they are in business. The Jayhawks get home court advantage in Kansas City here worth 4 points. They destroyed everyone in the Big 12 Tourney on this floor and while they lack a true point guard they do provide issues for North Carolina here, and against their old head coach Roy Williams there is added motivation on Bill Selfs part. The DEFENSE of Kansas is the difference in this game and KU hits the offensive glass very well. You can expect a 80% KU crowd in this one and while both coaches are solid, Bill Self will out coach Williams here with better players overall. Being 45 minutes from your campus is HUGE.
Florida Gulf Coast +7.5 & ML+250 $$$$$$$$$$$
Hate to bet on those teams that made a huge upset in the first round but it is hard to ignore how well these A-Sun teams are doing as OOC underdogs. This conference is on a 35-13-1 ATS run as underdogs in OOC games. Florida Golf Coast is on a 10-0 ATS run of their own and that streak does not include their outright win against Miami Florida.
Illinois +8
(Play of the 2nd Round, 1.5 units)
Miami Hurricanes first clinched their first regular season ACC title ever, then they won their first ever ACC tournament title and finally they advanced to the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament for the first time in more than 5 years. They are flying high, the media is loving their story this season, and they are the public darlings right now. They are now facing an opponent that was on the bubble for the biggest part of the season, played an ugly game in the 1st round, and everyone expects Miami to advance easily. But in reality this could be a difficult game for the Hurricanes. Illinois has 4 wins against ranked opponents this season, they played 11 games against top 25 teams this season, 4 more games against teams that were not ranked at the time they faced them but made the NCAA tournament and 7 more games against NIT/CIT/CBI participants. Their season-to-date strength of schedule is in top 5 in the nation according to every respectable rating site. They have 2 wins against teams that were ranked #1 this season. Big 10 teams are 7-1 ATS in March against ACC teams since 2008. ACC teams are 12-25-1 ATS in last 38 games against B10.
Creighton +6
Creighton can win/cover when they allow 70+ (Wisconsin, Arizona State, Wichita...), but they can do the same when they score in 60s (Cincinnati, Wichita, Nebraska...). They are considered by some as a one man show (McDermott) but in reality they are a well balanced group where different guys have different roles. McDermott is doing most of the scoring, Echenique is blocking and rebounding, Gibbs is assisting and stealing, and then you have guys like Wragge who can light it up from downtown (9/14 in last two games), Chattman (150 assists on the season), Manigat (doing a little bit of everything), Artino who is not playing much but always taking advantage of any extra time spent on the court. Last season they were on a 2-9-1 ATS run when they got to the 2nd round and lost to UNC but this season the are on a 6-0 ATS run playing excellent basketball both offensively and defensively. They won last 4 games without scoring 70 once, and last two regular season games while scoring 80 and 91. I think they are better than last season and ready for that extra mile. Duke is still a powerhouse, but every year they seem to get cold ATS after they play their final game against UNC. 0-5 ATS in this situation since last season, 12-21 ATS from 2005 to 2010. They are 17-29 ATS in last 46 games played in March and April. This Duke class is on a 0-7 ATS run in the playoffs and last two seasons they were upset in the postseason as much bigger favorites than -5.
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