English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Aug 23, 2013 |
The second week of the Barclay's Premier League schedule continues with a pair of matches Sunday.

We talked to Aron Black at Bet365 to get some input about the betting action for a few of Saturday's matches.

Cardiff v Manchester City (+750, +375, -225)

Why bet Cardiff: Despite losing 2-0 to West Ham in their season opener, the Bluebirds can take a lot from their performance. They led possession in the match keeping the ball at a rate of 56 percent and managed 12 attempts at goal, though only one tested Hammers keeper Jussi Jääskeläinen. Cardiff will aim to stay up in the Premier League, and a string of steady performances to kick the season off will certainly help them in the long run.

Key players out/doubtful:
Andreas Cornelius

Why bet Manchester City:
The Citizens demolished an incredibly poor Newcastle United side 4-0 and looked like pure class in doing so. Coach Manuel Pellegrini will probably field the same XI in Sunday's tilt with one exception. Defender Vincent Kompany hobbled off the field in the second half against Newcastle and will likely be replaced by Javi García, who came on for the Belgian last week.

Key players out/doubtful: Vincent Kompany, Stevan Jovetic, Matija Nastasic, Micah Richards

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: City were victorious in just one of their three away matches to newly promoted sides last season. The won at Reading 2-0, but lost at Southampton 3-1 and drew at West Ham 0-0.

Where the action is: "Only one way action on this one: Cit-ay, Cit-ay, Cit-ay. Its not an easy start for the Welsh outfit, on road at West Ham and then home to Man City. New playing style under Manuel Pellegrini should suit the talent at their disposal, and Edin Dzeko looks like a new player under the style being put forth. It would appear that there is just too much depth in quality for Cardiff, even though they have spent handsomely this summer. City look too strong going into it."

Tottenham v Swansea (-163, +300, +550)

Why bet Tottenham:
Spurs did just enough to take home the three points from Crystal Palace a week ago, but they were tested late on in the match. With a lot of new players in the XI, it will take time for AVB's vision to gel, but Thursday's 5-0 win in Europa League qualifying versus Dinamo Tblisi was a great step. Spurs tallied five goals and were dominant from wire to wire in Georgia. The Gareth Bale saga looks to end sooner rather than later and the North London club can begin its new era without the Welsh Wizard.

Key players out/doubtful:
Gareth Bale, Lewis Holtby

Why bet Swansea:
The Swans were defeated handily by Manchester United a week ago but, much like Spurs, looked much, much better midweek in Europa League qualifying. The Swans posted a 5-1 victory over Petrolul Ploiesti and were able to revert to their brand of free-flowing football which should bode well for the side moving forward in the Premier League.

Key players out/doubtful: Nathan Dyer, Jonathan De Guzman, Pablo Hernandez

2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 1, Swansea 0

Key betting note: Swansea have just one point in their four matches against Tottenham over the previous two seasons.

Where the action is: "This is the main game seeing over action. Over 2.5 -125 is the only action we see, under 2.5 -110 is friendless. Given that Swansea like to play a bit, this looks like it may possibly be the most entertaining game of this weekend."

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