Sharps loving Army; line drops below key number

Dec 8, 2012 |
The pointspread for the lone game on the FBS board today has dropped below a converted touchdown at most online books where Navy sits as a 6.5-point favorite over Army as of 8 a.m. ET Saturday morning.

That's down between 2 and 2 1/2 points from where it opened and the total has also dropped at least a point to 55.5.

"This game has really represented a strong public vs. sharp split with Navy getting the attention from the betting masses and Army drawing the sharps to play," says Bryan, a spokesman at betDSI.

Army is searching for its first win over Navy since 2001 and this marks the first time the Commander in Chief Trophy is on the line in this game since 2005. Both squads beat Air Force, setting up this winner-takes-the-hardware matchup.  

"The current bet count is 2-to-1 in favor of Navy based on that public action," says Bryan."However, the money is reversed with a 2-to-1 ratio in money risked favoring Army based backed by the sharp opinion. The line which opened at Navy -8.5 has moved to -6.5, demonstrating the current betting activity from the sharp side."

Neither side has much to write home about in terms of covering the spread this season. Navy is 4-7 against the number while Army is just 3-8. Navy is 7-3 ATS during the 10-game winning streak over Army, though.

It's not much of a surprise to see this total drop to 55.5 after opening at 57 or 56.5 at most spots. The last six meetings have played under the total and Navy's over/under mark is 3-7 this season.

Sixty-six percent of the Covers Consensus is on Navy -6.5 while 55 percent like the under.

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