66-44-2 ytd +378 units...(60.7%)
13-7 POD's +145 units...(65%)
Wildcard thread had a bit of misfortune going 3-3ats netting -16.5 units. You have to go back beyond week 10 to find a losing week in NFL from me before those Widcard games. Here's the Wildcard thread below in which Tim Tebow & the Saints pooped on:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101232460&page=1
Saturdays action is:
Saints @ 49ers under 47 for 50 units... Don't hear many people talking about the total much. Which is exactly where I see the value with the Saints on the road vs the 49ers . Did you know that 12 of the Saints 17 football games this year were played against the NFL's 19th ranked or worse defenses. Only 2 times all season did the Saints face off vs a top 10 defense ( week#3 at home vs Texans & week 4 @ Jaguars). That road game vs the Jaguars stayed under the suggested total easily as the Saints won 23-10 while the Saints benefited nicely vs the Texans being at home dropping 40 on the Texans (Who's defenses I feel to be over rated). So that's 17 games of football this year while 15 of the Saints opponents have all been ranked outside of the top 10 in defensive yardage allowed. I look at today's game as the Saints will be knocking on 2 doors today:
1.) Playing a defensive team like the 49er's is something the Saints just not seen enough of this year...
2.) Playing that same strong defense on the road will not make any surprises any easier...
On the flip side we get the 49ers offense which ranks just 26th overall in total yards per game @ 310.9 and will be looking to do what they have done all season as they win football games by playing solid defense and killing the clock. The 49ers have played to the under this season at 9-7 with 8 of their past 11 games staying under the total. Today the 47 that has been put on betting boards across different books will be the highest total that a 49er game has seen dating back through 3 and a half years. So yeah I value the under today mightily...POY
I can already see the clock moving...