Have been awful for 2025, going 0-5 for the NFL this season. Total square bettor. I only look at records, if it is a divisional game, and the line. Tempted to fade myself but you all know what happens when you do that.
So, here are my picks for the upcoming week.
SFO +7 @ LAR - A TD seems like a lot for a division game, between two teams with good records.
MIN -3.5 @ CLE - I like just over a FG for a bad team, at home. CLE might make it close, but not that close.
LVR +7 @ IND - The lucky horseshoe can win, but not by a TD.
PHI -3.5 vs DEN - Yes, I'll take the defending Super Bowl champs at home, for just over a FG, against a mediocre team.
SEA -3.5 vs TB - Taking the home team here, given they both have good records.
ARI -7.5 vs TEN - This is a no-brainer, with a line like -7.5 at home and TEN winless.
WAC ML @ LAC - I don't like to bet two teams, from the same city, winning on the same day. So, WAC it is.
DET -10.5 @ CIN - To me, this line is ridiculous it has to hit. You get the same points at home vs CLE as you do on the road vs. CIN?
NYJ ML vs DAL - Going with NYJ to snap their losing streak at home. Sure, NYJ was bad against a bad team, but DAL did not look that great on Sunday night, either. Yeah they scored 40 points, but at home, and it only got them a tie.
NOS -2.5 vs NYG - Another example that I do not like to bet both teams to win on the same day, from the same city. It could be DAL and NYG or NYJ and NOS, but I think the NFC East takes the hit here. Only PHI wins and covers on Sunday from the division.
NEP -8 @ BUF - Do not like TD+ numbers for divisional games.
KCC -3.5 @ JAX - I cant believe JAX is good this year. They'll have to prove it to me with this game.
Just my thoughts looking at the lines.
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