Ubaldo Jimenez of the Baltimore Orioles has had an ERA of around 6 for two months. As often happens in MLB the velocity of his fastball has dropped considerably and his ERA has skyrocketed. I have been fading him for a while now. Today he pitches in Toronto. Can you guess where I'm going with this?
Toronto -1.5 +110
Toronto has gone on a 32 game streak where their team is 26 -6 and in those 26 wins they only won one of those games by as little as 1 run. Their bats, particularly in Toronto have crushed average to below average pitching and I expect more of the same today against Jimenez.
On the other side is Baltimore which was a short time ago 8 games over .500 as a team, but they have lost 13 of their last 16 games.
The Toronto pitcher Hutchinson appears to be a below average pitcher with his ERA of the year at 4.87, but in MLB you have to dig into the stats to find your betting edge. This guy pitches like an ace at home with an ERA of 2.46 and a record of 11 and 1. Why some players play like hall of famers at home and bums on the road is beyond me but when the statistics get to a large enough sample size you have to except them.
Ubaldo Jimenez of the Baltimore Orioles has had an ERA of around 6 for two months. As often happens in MLB the velocity of his fastball has dropped considerably and his ERA has skyrocketed. I have been fading him for a while now. Today he pitches in Toronto. Can you guess where I'm going with this?
Toronto -1.5 +110
Toronto has gone on a 32 game streak where their team is 26 -6 and in those 26 wins they only won one of those games by as little as 1 run. Their bats, particularly in Toronto have crushed average to below average pitching and I expect more of the same today against Jimenez.
On the other side is Baltimore which was a short time ago 8 games over .500 as a team, but they have lost 13 of their last 16 games.
The Toronto pitcher Hutchinson appears to be a below average pitcher with his ERA of the year at 4.87, but in MLB you have to dig into the stats to find your betting edge. This guy pitches like an ace at home with an ERA of 2.46 and a record of 11 and 1. Why some players play like hall of famers at home and bums on the road is beyond me but when the statistics get to a large enough sample size you have to except them.
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