yanks and why

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: yanks and why
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
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Posted: 5/7/2014 8:55:09 PM

Let's look at some numbers:

        NY        Nuno    120

135  LAA  Santiago   47

LAA angels open up as a 135 favorite. Currently around 137.   Nuno has a numerical rank of 120 while Santiago has a rank of 47 - lower the number the better.   On paper Santiago is clearly the better pitcher, however, when you have an opening line of 135 and you have pitchers with these ranks - historically the away team gets the victory.   Thus I'm taking the Yanks.   Good luck all.

Crodies73 PM Crodies73
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Posted: 5/7/2014 9:00:37 PM
What is the numerical rank exactly? Where did the 120 and 47 come from?
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
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Posted: 5/7/2014 9:09:34 PM

it's a formula I use based on sagarin rankings.    if you go to sagarin.com - it will take you to usa today.....and you will see his data for pitchers and hitters listed.    (rank +  (Mob - Ricky) )

I keep track of the numerical rating for each pitcher as well as the line and the result for each game - for the past 5 seasons.   Your just looking at percentages.   In this case the away team wins more often than the home team - at a significant margin.

veto22 PM veto22
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Posted: 5/7/2014 9:40:45 PM
Only problem is the Angles lineup is staked tonight .  Angles winning they are gonna score tonight
Saint921 PM Saint921
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Posted: 5/7/2014 10:03:07 PM
I'm with you 
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
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Posted: 5/7/2014 10:05:39 PM
Pitching is the key to success.....and handicapping ....I don't pay attention to hitters - just pitchers.
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DODGEpicker PM DODGEpicker
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Posted: 5/7/2014 10:07:21 PM
overs for me
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
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Posted: 5/7/2014 10:15:14 PM
Saint back at ya....dodge good luck on it
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Psychiatrist408 PM Psychiatrist408
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Posted: 5/7/2014 10:46:07 PM
Buddha the beast!
Saint921 PM Saint921
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Posted: 5/7/2014 11:38:04 PM
Looking good at the moment , I would like more runs from the bombers 
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