Only 2 matches today in the WNBA and obviously the big 1st game between Heat and the Pacers.
The Lynx are -15 fav's which is obviously a massive line but considering the Sun are hopeless on the road and they have a team with hardly any experience, its hard not to see the Lynx roll in that game considering their fantastic home record.
Lynx are 31-3 over the past 2 seasons at home, averaging 87 last season and 90 in 2012. The Sun on the road last season were just 2-15 S/U averaging just 67 and allowing 77. Im just a little worried of a backdoor cover and Brunson, Wright and Peters missing. Maybe 1H ATS might be a better play because I think the Lynx will come out flying.
But I have locked in one play already:
WNBA Season: 2-1
Mercury @ Sparks: Mercury +9
After today's dominate performance against the Storm, I think the Mercury mean business this season. Griner hit 8/9 today from the floor and blocked 5 shots. The Mercury bench hit 32 points today as well. I know they are on a B2B but I don't think that is much of a factor this time of the season. The Mercury did play 1 B2B last season and lost that game by 2 points against the Sky.
Post away fellas. I'm leaning either Pacers ATS or the under in the NBA.
Only 2 matches today in the WNBA and obviously the big 1st game between Heat and the Pacers.
The Lynx are -15 fav's which is obviously a massive line but considering the Sun are hopeless on the road and they have a team with hardly any experience, its hard not to see the Lynx roll in that game considering their fantastic home record.
Lynx are 31-3 over the past 2 seasons at home, averaging 87 last season and 90 in 2012. The Sun on the road last season were just 2-15 S/U averaging just 67 and allowing 77. Im just a little worried of a backdoor cover and Brunson, Wright and Peters missing. Maybe 1H ATS might be a better play because I think the Lynx will come out flying.
But I have locked in one play already:
WNBA Season: 2-1
Mercury @ Sparks: Mercury +9
After today's dominate performance against the Storm, I think the Mercury mean business this season. Griner hit 8/9 today from the floor and blocked 5 shots. The Mercury bench hit 32 points today as well. I know they are on a B2B but I don't think that is much of a factor this time of the season. The Mercury did play 1 B2B last season and lost that game by 2 points against the Sky.
Post away fellas. I'm leaning either Pacers ATS or the under in the NBA.
1st game @ home for Pacers vs Hawks series: Over = 194
1st game @ home for Pacers vs Wizards series: Over = 198
1st game on the road for Heat @ Bobcats Series: Over = 183
1st game on the road for Heat @ Nets Series: Over =194
I like what Wagers said the other day, that the first game goes over, then Vegas adjusts the line for the 2nd game and then we pound the under. I also think that there is going to be plenty of FT's in this game. I was leaning Pacers ATS but cannot put money on them because they are so inconsistent.
1st game @ home for Pacers vs Hawks series: Over = 194
1st game @ home for Pacers vs Wizards series: Over = 198
1st game on the road for Heat @ Bobcats Series: Over = 183
1st game on the road for Heat @ Nets Series: Over =194
I like what Wagers said the other day, that the first game goes over, then Vegas adjusts the line for the 2nd game and then we pound the under. I also think that there is going to be plenty of FT's in this game. I was leaning Pacers ATS but cannot put money on them because they are so inconsistent.
Hey fellas. Watching the classico Djoker-Nadal and looking at the fun bball card today. GL on your plays.
Leaning 1H Min -9 in a home opener against probably the worst team in WNBA.
Phx-Las should be a fun game. Bumbake might be out, but I think it will not be a deciding factor. Both teams are deeper and better than they were last year. First real test for the new Phx coach. I would not put too much weight into the Sea games, Sea is clearly an inferior team to both Phx and Las.
The Sparklets will be very motivated to avenge their last year's playoff losses to Mercury, but I think Taurasi&co will keep it a close game. I actually like the over better than Phx+9 b/c I think especially the 1H should be played at a pretty good pace. Phx +9, o161.5, o80 1H. Yeah, I got Phx+9 last night before the lines moved.
As for NBA, it seems like every good capper likes Indy today to fade the public. However, I think both GM1s will mean almost as much as GM7s, especially to Heat and Spurs. So it might be a nervous game today and Heat will be very motivated to steal the homecourt advantage; last thing they'd want would be to go down 0-1 without a homecourt advantage. Liking Heat -2, Heat 1H (maybe 1H even better than FG b/c Indy tends to start slow). Will probably not play the total, but I would lean the under because of the "GM7" angle. I would expect to see a lot of nervous faces on the court today and the Heat have been in those situations before.
Hey fellas. Watching the classico Djoker-Nadal and looking at the fun bball card today. GL on your plays.
Leaning 1H Min -9 in a home opener against probably the worst team in WNBA.
Phx-Las should be a fun game. Bumbake might be out, but I think it will not be a deciding factor. Both teams are deeper and better than they were last year. First real test for the new Phx coach. I would not put too much weight into the Sea games, Sea is clearly an inferior team to both Phx and Las.
The Sparklets will be very motivated to avenge their last year's playoff losses to Mercury, but I think Taurasi&co will keep it a close game. I actually like the over better than Phx+9 b/c I think especially the 1H should be played at a pretty good pace. Phx +9, o161.5, o80 1H. Yeah, I got Phx+9 last night before the lines moved.
As for NBA, it seems like every good capper likes Indy today to fade the public. However, I think both GM1s will mean almost as much as GM7s, especially to Heat and Spurs. So it might be a nervous game today and Heat will be very motivated to steal the homecourt advantage; last thing they'd want would be to go down 0-1 without a homecourt advantage. Liking Heat -2, Heat 1H (maybe 1H even better than FG b/c Indy tends to start slow). Will probably not play the total, but I would lean the under because of the "GM7" angle. I would expect to see a lot of nervous faces on the court today and the Heat have been in those situations before.
good morning peeps full of hope, haha...you know my take as I've been riding it all playoffs "early round early eastern conference overs" or ereeco
over 89 TT Pacers x5 over 90 1H x3 over 182 x3
did you know? that Mia has not opened a playoff series on the road since the 2011/2012 Finals @OKC 105-94 loss and before that 2010/2011 East Conf Finals @ Chi 103-82 loss...and Pacers have yet to win a playoff opening game at home this year losing 101-93 hosting Atl in 1st round and 102-96 hosting Wash in semis
I'd be very surprised if this was a patented 91-85 win for either team that we will most likely see as the series progresses and defenses lock in and possessions become more valuable. Heat are in unfamiliar territory opening a series on the road, usually they have a 2-0 lead at this point going to the visitors. I look for them to speed the game up from the word go as their offense is efficient and James is on fire and has great games at Indy, also Wade is a defensive liability, if Cha and Bkn can score in the mid to high 90's then I'll bet Pacers at home can get it rolling too with how hot George has been 97-94 somebody
good morning peeps full of hope, haha...you know my take as I've been riding it all playoffs "early round early eastern conference overs" or ereeco
over 89 TT Pacers x5 over 90 1H x3 over 182 x3
did you know? that Mia has not opened a playoff series on the road since the 2011/2012 Finals @OKC 105-94 loss and before that 2010/2011 East Conf Finals @ Chi 103-82 loss...and Pacers have yet to win a playoff opening game at home this year losing 101-93 hosting Atl in 1st round and 102-96 hosting Wash in semis
I'd be very surprised if this was a patented 91-85 win for either team that we will most likely see as the series progresses and defenses lock in and possessions become more valuable. Heat are in unfamiliar territory opening a series on the road, usually they have a 2-0 lead at this point going to the visitors. I look for them to speed the game up from the word go as their offense is efficient and James is on fire and has great games at Indy, also Wade is a defensive liability, if Cha and Bkn can score in the mid to high 90's then I'll bet Pacers at home can get it rolling too with how hot George has been 97-94 somebody
for the ladies went 2-2 last night for 4-5 on the season with 2 2pt losses, if I stuck with my original theory of follow the money
NY @ Conn opens Conn -1.5 and 147.5 moves to Conn -4 and 145 so play on Conn -4 and under 145, NY wins 75-54 split Minn @ Wash open Minn -2.5 and 154.5 moves to Minn -6 and 157 so play on Minn -6 and over 157, Minn wins 89-77 both win 2-0 SA @ Atl opens Atl -11 and 153.5 moves to Atl -9 and 157.5 so play on SA +9 and over 157.5, Atl wins 79-75 split 1-1 Ind @ Chi opens Chi -10.5 and 146.5 moves to Chi -2 and 141 so play on Indy +2 and under 141, Chi wins 74-71 loss 0-2 LA @ Sea opens LA -5 and 152.5 moves to LA -4.5 and 149 so play on Sea +4.5 and under 149 , LA wins 80-69 0-1-1 4-5-1 day 1
atl @ Indy opens Indy -1 and 147.5 moves to Atl -3 and 146 so play Atl -3 and under 146, Atl win in 2OT 90-88 both lose Chi @ NY opens NY -7 and 149.5 moves to NY -6 and 146 so play on Chi +6 and under 146, Chi wins 79-65 both win Tul @ SA opens SA -9 and 154 moves to SA -6 and 155.5 so play Tulsa +6 and over 155.5, SA wins 80-76 both win Sea @ Phx opens Phx -7.5 and 153.5 moves to Phx -10 and 152 so play Phx -10 and under 152, Phx wins 81-64 both win 6-2 day 2
today Con @ Minn opens Minn -14.5 and 154.5 moves to Minn -15 and 151.5 play on Minn -15 and under 151.5 Phx @ LA opens LA -8.5 and 157 moves to LA -6.5 and 160.5 so play Phx +6.5 and over 160.5
for the ladies went 2-2 last night for 4-5 on the season with 2 2pt losses, if I stuck with my original theory of follow the money
NY @ Conn opens Conn -1.5 and 147.5 moves to Conn -4 and 145 so play on Conn -4 and under 145, NY wins 75-54 split Minn @ Wash open Minn -2.5 and 154.5 moves to Minn -6 and 157 so play on Minn -6 and over 157, Minn wins 89-77 both win 2-0 SA @ Atl opens Atl -11 and 153.5 moves to Atl -9 and 157.5 so play on SA +9 and over 157.5, Atl wins 79-75 split 1-1 Ind @ Chi opens Chi -10.5 and 146.5 moves to Chi -2 and 141 so play on Indy +2 and under 141, Chi wins 74-71 loss 0-2 LA @ Sea opens LA -5 and 152.5 moves to LA -4.5 and 149 so play on Sea +4.5 and under 149 , LA wins 80-69 0-1-1 4-5-1 day 1
atl @ Indy opens Indy -1 and 147.5 moves to Atl -3 and 146 so play Atl -3 and under 146, Atl win in 2OT 90-88 both lose Chi @ NY opens NY -7 and 149.5 moves to NY -6 and 146 so play on Chi +6 and under 146, Chi wins 79-65 both win Tul @ SA opens SA -9 and 154 moves to SA -6 and 155.5 so play Tulsa +6 and over 155.5, SA wins 80-76 both win Sea @ Phx opens Phx -7.5 and 153.5 moves to Phx -10 and 152 so play Phx -10 and under 152, Phx wins 81-64 both win 6-2 day 2
today Con @ Minn opens Minn -14.5 and 154.5 moves to Minn -15 and 151.5 play on Minn -15 and under 151.5 Phx @ LA opens LA -8.5 and 157 moves to LA -6.5 and 160.5 so play Phx +6.5 and over 160.5
A funny wrinkle: Parker & Taurasi (and Gruda) have been playing on the same team in Russia for a couple years at least, I think. So for half a season they are teammates and leaders of their team. Anyway, I am glad to see that your theory is pointing in the same direction as my leans, Wagers. The Phx/LAS total came down a bit to 160.5, but I am not too worried, the early bettors might be looking to hedge their early over bets to get into the "golden" totals' window.
A funny wrinkle: Parker & Taurasi (and Gruda) have been playing on the same team in Russia for a couple years at least, I think. So for half a season they are teammates and leaders of their team. Anyway, I am glad to see that your theory is pointing in the same direction as my leans, Wagers. The Phx/LAS total came down a bit to 160.5, but I am not too worried, the early bettors might be looking to hedge their early over bets to get into the "golden" totals' window.
Wagerman is killing it again. Good call on the 1H over ! My Heat FG bet is not looking good but this is still early in the game. Gotta say, I have not really seen "that" Pacers team for more than 5-10 mins in these playoffs.
Wagerman is killing it again. Good call on the 1H over ! My Heat FG bet is not looking good but this is still early in the game. Gotta say, I have not really seen "that" Pacers team for more than 5-10 mins in these playoffs.
thanks fellas x11...if next total is 188 I'll go under
no play on WNBA Min game thought it tipped at 4pst, it's at half and Conn killing Minn, line regressed to opener Phx now at +4.5 and over 160 undecided
thanks fellas x11...if next total is 188 I'll go under
no play on WNBA Min game thought it tipped at 4pst, it's at half and Conn killing Minn, line regressed to opener Phx now at +4.5 and over 160 undecided
Wow, what is happening to the Lynx?? Seems that they are missing Brunson, Wright and Peters. So maybe it's going to be a long year for the mystics seeing that lynx beat them the other day. Agree Wagers, going unders in next Pacers game if total is 5 or more points higher.
Wow, what is happening to the Lynx?? Seems that they are missing Brunson, Wright and Peters. So maybe it's going to be a long year for the mystics seeing that lynx beat them the other day. Agree Wagers, going unders in next Pacers game if total is 5 or more points higher.
I actually watched the Lynx game starting from 2Q. Gotta say it was more entertaining than the NBA game. Obviously, I missed my 1H play but lucked out with OT to hit 2H over and Lynx -11. Pretty good comeback by the Lynx. I think in the 1H they were expecting the Sun to just roll over, but this Sun team is not as hopeless as it was last season. They got #1 pick in younger Bumbake and she was dominating the paint. Yeah, the Lynx are suffering in the paint without Branson and now McCarville got also injured (sprained ankle). More importantly in the 1H, the Lynx were not really defending well, Whalen played like an a.ss, and Sun were hitting their J's. In the 2H, that all changed and it was fun to watch. Moore, Whalen and Augustus are still the top-3 on any team in WNBA. Pretty entertaining game all in all.
To sum it up, I think the linemakers are about as clueless as I am on the state of teams likes the Sun who have only four players from last year. So some lines are bound to be off, not that I think I can exploit that. But this Sun team might be not as hopeless as it was last year. Now let's see if my leans on the PHX/LAS game will also blow. Somehow, I am down only ~0.5u on the day but the night is young.
I actually watched the Lynx game starting from 2Q. Gotta say it was more entertaining than the NBA game. Obviously, I missed my 1H play but lucked out with OT to hit 2H over and Lynx -11. Pretty good comeback by the Lynx. I think in the 1H they were expecting the Sun to just roll over, but this Sun team is not as hopeless as it was last season. They got #1 pick in younger Bumbake and she was dominating the paint. Yeah, the Lynx are suffering in the paint without Branson and now McCarville got also injured (sprained ankle). More importantly in the 1H, the Lynx were not really defending well, Whalen played like an a.ss, and Sun were hitting their J's. In the 2H, that all changed and it was fun to watch. Moore, Whalen and Augustus are still the top-3 on any team in WNBA. Pretty entertaining game all in all.
To sum it up, I think the linemakers are about as clueless as I am on the state of teams likes the Sun who have only four players from last year. So some lines are bound to be off, not that I think I can exploit that. But this Sun team might be not as hopeless as it was last year. Now let's see if my leans on the PHX/LAS game will also blow. Somehow, I am down only ~0.5u on the day but the night is young.
I'm going to risk just 1 bag o loot on over 159.5, both teams are healthy but I am wondering why line just went from 4.5 to 6 and more importantly game total went down a half point and 1st half total went up a half point that's odd, WNBA gives no last minute ref assignments nor player scratches, hopefully we get a 90pt 1st half and can cruise to the over
I'm going to risk just 1 bag o loot on over 159.5, both teams are healthy but I am wondering why line just went from 4.5 to 6 and more importantly game total went down a half point and 1st half total went up a half point that's odd, WNBA gives no last minute ref assignments nor player scratches, hopefully we get a 90pt 1st half and can cruise to the over
Good day today fellas. Mercury winner, Pacers vs Heatd over winner. Wagers, I'm loving the under tomorrow in Spurs game. Only issue is Ibaka is missing and he is vital for OKCs defense
Good day today fellas. Mercury winner, Pacers vs Heatd over winner. Wagers, I'm loving the under tomorrow in Spurs game. Only issue is Ibaka is missing and he is vital for OKCs defense
Yeah, no OT in the Sparks game, Tolliver missed an open 3-pointer that would have tied with 12 secs left. You shoulda seen the looks she got from the coach and teammates during the timeout. She looks pretty miserable on that team since last year's playoffs. But PHX+9 won, shoulda put a bit on the ML as well.
Anyway, some books still have not adjusted the French Open tennis futures lines. If you can get Djoker for >=+200 and/or Serena for >=+150, I think there is a lot of value in those odds. The higher volume books have already adjusted those lines to +160 and +120, respectively. Frankly, I do not see who can beat Serena right now but there may be a ~25% risk she can get injured. Djoker has a 70-80% chance to make it to the final, I think, and in the worst case scenario he will be a ~+120 dog against Nadal there.
Yeah, no OT in the Sparks game, Tolliver missed an open 3-pointer that would have tied with 12 secs left. You shoulda seen the looks she got from the coach and teammates during the timeout. She looks pretty miserable on that team since last year's playoffs. But PHX+9 won, shoulda put a bit on the ML as well.
Anyway, some books still have not adjusted the French Open tennis futures lines. If you can get Djoker for >=+200 and/or Serena for >=+150, I think there is a lot of value in those odds. The higher volume books have already adjusted those lines to +160 and +120, respectively. Frankly, I do not see who can beat Serena right now but there may be a ~25% risk she can get injured. Djoker has a 70-80% chance to make it to the final, I think, and in the worst case scenario he will be a ~+120 dog against Nadal there.
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