I think it might be a factor. I have seen matches like where Pennetta played Vinci last year as a -1000 in a near empty stadium and you could tell she just flat out did not want to be there. You have to train hard no matter where you are and I think consciously, subconsciously or both that players would rather be in certain locations compared to others and that this affects their motivation strongly. Being in Miami is certainly more interesting than Idian Wells and I wondered before the match if the change of locale would lead to more faves winning. I forgot about the thought as I tried to bet on dogs but watching footage of the players partying last night, the chicks all dressed up and beaming, etc I remembered the idea.
Also the dogs will know they are probably going to go out and try too hard to enjoy the location, maybe partying in ways they shouldn't, and here the differences in training from dogs to faves/higher ranked players will become a greater factor than usual.
I think if you agree with this or we can prove it with stats it would be an awesome system. Late last year I saw a ton of tanks in the shittier Asian tournaments. Seen some of that this year as well. Anyone agree or disagree that this might be a legit system? Not just a factor in capping but a starting point to look for matches to bet on that fit that one criteria?